Lucy Hamilton
Diamond Member
- Oct 30, 2015
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- #21
The below web site is an "official" COVID-19 scoreboard.
Shows 1,197,405 cases worldwide.
Shows 64,606 deaths.
Shows 246,152 total recovered.
So my question is where are the 886,647 cases?
If you subtract the deaths and recovered from total cases where are the 886,647 cases? In hospitals.. yes ... in nursing homes...yes... but that seems to be a minority? Where are the rest? At home? Walking around?
Just curious...
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"So my question is where are the 886,647 cases?"
The majority will be in self-isolation, this because if we go on our own cases which I am part of our team that work to determine what is happening in our nation with ALL COVID-19 cases, the majority will have mild symptoms.
From our experience 98% have mild symptoms and/or in a mild condition.
Okay so to illustrate the breaking down of the total numbers, I use yesterday Saturday's total from our nation:
Total Cases 11.781 New Cases 257 Total Deaths 186 New Deaths 18 Total Recovered 2.507 Active Cases 9.088 Serious/Critical 245
Now from the above, the MOST important figures we look at every day are Active Cases and Serious/Critical, in both these contained within are the New Cases and the Serious/Critical figure is where EVERY new death has been coming from since we have been tracking COVID-19 since mid-February.
So within Active Cases and Serious/Critical we have these figures:
Active Cases 9.088 of those 9.088 Active Cases we have 8.843 in a Mild Condition this is 97% in the Mild Condition.
Active Cases 9.088 of those 9.088 Active Cases we have 245 in a Serious/Critical Condition this is 3% in the Serious/Critical Condition. As I comment since day one ALL New Deaths have come from this Serious/Critical Condition figure each day.
Now to answer your specific question and this again going on how we determine this IF you have COVID-19 in the Mild Condition and this is again I mention 97% of cases these peoples are not in hospital, they are told to self-isolate at home for approx 7 days they are told to ONLY request emergency medical attention ie. probable taken to a hospital ONLY if they develop one or more of the following symptoms:
Breathing problems, chest pains, initial mild symptoms getting WORSE after the 7 days self-isolation, including severe nausea and vomiting.
The ONLY group of peoples that we currently have in Intensive Care Units in our hospitals are those who are in Serious/Critical condition.
I hope this answers your question. If other nations are doing the same it should answer your question.
We do have other nations Serious/Critical now also that have been transported to us via special Charter Flights Under Quarantine, this is because we have a superior healthcare system and more available Intensive Care Unit beds available than they do and so we are taking in patients from Italy because Italy is literally low on ventilators now. We were more prepared than Italy, we took action before Italy, we have been in total lockdown for 4 weeks, we closed all our borders and banned flights, we were 2 weeks ahead of Italy doing all of this and we also have been mass testing, Italy was behind us on that for 1 week. Italy's Serious/Critical that we have taken into our Intensive Care Units of course they appear in Italy's Serious/Critical Cases and not ours.
Thanks. So your experience is a survival rate of 98.4% of your cases survive.
So far as of now yes, we have also the begin of flattening the curve. To illustrate I provide the below graphs. We think we Peaked on March 26 and notice from March 26 we have been getting lower New Cases each day you can see the line getting lower each day:
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The below graph again show March 26 as the Peak, you then see that New Cases going down and New Recoveries going up:
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The below graph again show March 26 as the Peak, you then see the Death Rate going down and the Recovery Rate going up:
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We have so far achieve these above situations by doing this:
MASSIVE lockdown, extreme social restrictions, MASSIVE COVID-19 testing, when find cases TOTAL ISOLATION of them including ANY Cluster Cases we find all combined this has so far contained COVID-19 in the nation and also we have a very superior healthcare system and a massive amount of available beds and medical facilities etc as opposed to Italy and I mention Italy because they are in a NIGHTMARE that is out of control and we share a direct border with Italy and yet we take immediate measures of closing the border, banning flights and banning basically everything else.
Okay now I have to begin work for today, going to be swamped again it looks like.
^^^^
As of April 6 yesterday we think we have flattened the curve, it is our intention now to begin lifting the total lockdown. We are aiming to begin this slowly on April 14 and then more lifting measures on May 1 and we aim to have the total lockdown lifted by mid-May. This ALL though will occur IF the peoples continue to social distance and wear the masks until at least September and IF the curve begins to rise again we will have to reintroduce the total lockdown. But we are aiming to be open by mid-May.