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JimH52

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Gallup vs. the World - NYTimes.com

However, its results are deeply inconsistent with the results that other polling firms are showing in the presidential race, and the Gallup poll has a history of performing very poorly when that is the case.[/QUOTE

Dream on Rightys
 

Leweman

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anything that makes you feel better.
 

Charles_Main

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Gallup vs. the World - NYTimes.com

However, its results are deeply inconsistent with the results that other polling firms are showing in the presidential race, and the Gallup poll has a history of performing very poorly when that is the case.[/QUOTE

Dream on Rightys
Deeply Inconsistent my ass. Perhaps a bit ahead of the Curve because it's a 7 Day rolling Average, but RCP has Romney up as well.

Somebody is Dreaming, but it's not people who are saying Obama is in Trouble, It's anyone who thinks he isn't.
 

C_Clayton_Jones

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Gallup vs. the World - NYTimes.com

However, its results are deeply inconsistent with the results that other polling firms are showing in the presidential race, and the Gallup poll has a history of performing very poorly when that is the case.[/QUOTE

Dream on Rightys
All polls and data need to be analyzed to create an accurate projection.

Gallup Performs Poorly When Out of Consensus

Usually, when a poll is an outlier relative to the consensus, its results turn out badly.

You do not need to look any further than Gallup’s track record over the past two election cycles to find a demonstration of this.

In 2008, the Gallup poll put Mr. Obama 11 points ahead of John McCain on the eve of that November’s election.

That was tied for Mr. Obama’s largest projected margin of victory among any of the 15 or so national polls that were released just in advance of the election. The average of polls put Mr. Obama up by about seven points.

The average did a good job; Mr. Obama won the popular vote by seven points. The Gallup poll had a four-point miss, however.

In 2010, Gallup put Republicans ahead by 15 points on the national Congressional ballot, higher than other polling firms, which put Republicans an average of eight or nine points ahead instead.

In fact, Republicans won the popular vote for the United States House by about seven percentage points — fairly close to the average of polls, but representing another big miss for Gallup.

Gallup vs. the World - NYTimes.com
 

Trajan

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So let's see, ras is bias, Gallup apparently is now so screwed up, they cannot be trusted either? Who's left?

:lol:
 

auditor0007

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Gallup vs. the World - NYTimes.com

However, its results are deeply inconsistent with the results that other polling firms are showing in the presidential race, and the Gallup poll has a history of performing very poorly when that is the case.[/QUOTE

Dream on Rightys
I have noticed this about Gallup for the last few months. Much of the time they are about five points off from the rest of the pollsters. This was also true when they had Obama up seven points, then one week later had him up one, and this was before any of the debates.
 

auditor0007

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So let's see, ras is bias, Gallup apparently is now so screwed up, they cannot be trusted either? Who's left?

:lol:
I think Ras has a small bias, but I also think they drop that bias as the election gets close. They don't want to be wrong when it really counts. Overall, I think they are fairly credible. As for Gallup, I agree with it. Just look at their polling numbers. They are consistently out of whack with the rest of the pollsters.
 
OP
JimH52

JimH52

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gives additional EVs to Obama. You folks keep hanging on to your RCP maps though...:lol::lol::lol:

ElectoralVote
 

OODA_Loop

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You were all RCP .........til RCP trended against you.

Now you are something else.
 

Katzndogz

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Too late, Romney has already taken the EV.
 

decker

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gives additional EVs to Obama. You folks keep hanging on to your RCP maps though...:lol::lol::lol:

ElectoralVote
rcp worried me today. gone from 294 to 244 toward romney with 281 to 257 as they put va in romney box

midwest for me obama best chance of winning man
 

Zander

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Self delusion will only make it worse later........Obama is circling the bowl.
 

candycorn

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You were all RCP .........til RCP trended against you.

Now you are something else.
RCP still has Obama ahead when you face the fact that WI, MI, and PA are in Obama's column. They are hedging and that's all fine and good but there is zero chance of the Governor winning MI and PA and only a slightly better chance in WI since his running mate is from there. RCP was the same site that had GA and TX as "leans Romney" at one point; this is how much they hedge.
 

decker

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for me though it getting bit worried how that firewall are best chance

ohio,wi,mi,pa and nev are the ones gibbs and team need to aim at every single day. best states of winning.

romney got fi and nc sewn up in my view. leads in va and co.

deep down we know ohio is the prize that will get white house this year.
 

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