Why Nobody Believes the "climate change" infested NOAA predictions

[Circe]

If I want a snapshot of my local weather I go to weather underground......Ignore the 10-day it's only good for 36-48 hours max.

Amen to the short forecasts only.

They should get stuck with their forecasts. They make a forecast, don't get to change it!! They look out the window and see it's raining and change the forecast. Hey, *I* can do that.

 

[Circe]

LOL.....I'm no climatologist but we have had four named "storms" this season, none of which lasted 24 hours......Seems way off the mark to me.

And to add insult to injury they were storms that would not have even been reported as such 10 years ago.

Darn, I thought we'd got them broke of that ---- naming summer thunderstorms. They've stopped saying every rainfall will have giant hail, that's something.

Aaaarrrrrrrrrrrgh. The Weather Channel must be all leftists; they tell so many LIES.

 

[ReinyDays]

Nice post.

I can remember when the hurricanes only had female names. A lot of us got pretty fed up with the tired old joke that "Hurricane Hilda was no lady." So okay with the male storms.

I get so sick of the Weather Channel and their "baseball size hail." Every summer thunderstorm was going to have killer hail for awhile. Then they started naming rain storms!! That is just sorry. I really hate the Weather Channel, they are ALWAYS wrong, fail the most elementary look-out-the-window tests, and constantly hype the weather into Storm of the Century and Sharknado.

Husbands tend to like weather-TV-watching but whenever one actually wants to see what the forecast is, they've got the 764th rerun of getting big trucks turned upright again after they go off the road and turn over.

If I could, I would never look at another worthless weather forecast as long as I live.

The Weather Channel is garbage, always has been ... it's all about docu-dramas now ... yet another useless channel cable companies foist upon us ... who cares if a woman's twat gets twitchy during snow storms, Peggy Bundy told us all about that already ...

My interests are more scientific ... and only the NWS provides the technical details for the state of the atmosphere ... when you click through the maps to get to your own house, look for the link to the "forecast discussion" ... TMI for most but this is where we find the rationale for the forecast

"baseball size hail."

HAW HAW HAW HAW ... to the complete and utter embarrassment of every weather and climate specialist, these are the OFFICIAL™ names for the measure of hail stones ... pea-sized, nickel-sized, golf ball sized, baseball sized and softball sized ... {[Peachtree City, GA], only partially confirms my claims} ...

 

[Circe]

The Weather Channel is garbage, always has been ... it's all about docu-dramas now ... yet another useless channel cable companies foist upon us ... who cares if a woman's twat gets twitchy during snow storms, Peggy Bundy told us all about that already ...

"baseball size hail."

HAW HAW HAW HAW ... to the complete and utter embarrassment of every weather and climate specialist, these are the OFFICIAL™ names for the measure of hail stones ... pea-sized, nickel-sized, golf ball sized, baseball sized and softball sized ... {[Peachtree City, GA], only partially confirms my claims} ...

They are also using the word "quarter-size" hail. I've seen hail about once every two or three years in my life. Never very big. Only falls about two minutes, max. Yeah, it really is a bad channel, purely clickbait now.

I am not an enthusiast about human ability to predict the future in any category at all. So the Weather Channel is about my favorite villain for that kind of thing, fake and bad predictions.

 

[ReinyDays]

They are also using the word "quarter-size" hail. I've seen hail about once every two or three years in my life. Never very big. Only falls about two minutes, max. Yeah, it really is a bad channel, purely clickbait now.

I am not an enthusiast about human ability to predict the future in any category at all. So the Weather Channel is about my favorite villain for that kind of thing, fake and bad predictions.

Yes ... my citation better confirms your claims than mine ... my fault for typing and then checking ... but my point was these seemingly ridiculous standards are in fact what are used officially and scientifically ... reminds me of the RCH used in astronomy ...

If the wind is in your face, and you see rainfall straight ahead ... then it will be raining at your location very soon ... and this forecast is almost perfectly accurate all the time ... we can even call upstream and get weather forecasts that way ... again, almost perfectly accurate in the two to three hour forecast period ... just looking at the clouds will give us a great idea of tomorrow's weather, say within 90% accuracy ...

48-hour forecasts start to get fishy ... and 72-hour forecasts are the limit for reasonable accuracy, and by no means all the time ... surprisingly, these new fangled high-speed google-FLOP computers don't increase accuracy very much, but they do tell us how accurate the forecasts are ... which is important information in of itself ... we issued full undisputed warnings at 120 hours before for both Katrina hitting New Orleans and Sandy hitting the Jersey Shore ... which is simply amazing for an old-timer like me ...

This is in the context of my location getting 12-hour forecasts that are just climatological ... and in the NWS forecast discussion, they explain that the models are everyplace and the NWS cannot make a scientifically accurate forecast for 12 hour from now ... they're posting the averages and saying that's the best they can do ... the NWS isn't trying to sell you a Ford F-150, so they're more than happy to say they just don't know ...

The vast majority of experts work on these weather forecasts ... leaving climatology to those of less expertise, meaning the idiots ... creating 72-hour forecasts is a useful endeavor, we just need to mind the accuracy issues ... past that we're into "coin-flipping" style accuracy and so not as useful ...

Only an idiot would think we can predict weather 100 years from now ...

 

[Crick]

Only an idiot would think we can predict weather 100 years from now ...

That might explain why no one is doing so.