WorldWatcher
Platinum Member
How is it immoral to raise the retirement age?. Back when Social Security was created people didn’t live as long as we do today.
I would think you’d say it was inhumane to do nothing and watch the program cease to exist.
Social Security History
www.ssa.gov
This appears to be the increased life expectancy based on average life expectancy comparisons. But in actuality this isn't the best comparison to make. Why? Because "Average Life Expectancy" (ALE) includes infant & children mortality rates, and infants & children never paid into social security. So it is true that ALE now is a couple of decades higher than it was in the 1930's. However the greatest impact on that higher average is improvements in ensuring the young even reach adulthood.
A better comparison is to look at the number of months the average individual receives benefits once reaching Full Retirement Age (FRA). When looking at those numbers, the increase isn't 20 years (ALE increase), it's actually about 4-years in terms of benefit month payouts.
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Current FRA is 67 years old (for those born after 1960) and seniors (as a voting demographic) have the highest rates of voting. So...
#1 Immediately raising the retirement age (to say 70), isn't going to pass because Seniors will not vote for the benefit cut. (And yes, if you reduce the number of years people can draw benefits, that is a cut.)
#2 To have a likelihood of passing the age bump will have to be grandfathered, with the most likely cutoff being age 50 and above being protected from an age increase. Raising the retirement to 70 for those 50 and below, means the system WON'T SEE ANY IMPACT for about 20 years when those people start retiring at a later time. [ (70-50) + 2024 = the year 2044 ] However the SS Trust fund is projected to be exhausted in 2034 which is only 10 years away. Raising the retirement age (with a grandfather clause) won't help the current funding projections.
#3 Savings by increasing the retirement age will be offset, in part, by increases - especially amongst the blue collar/manual labor population as their bodies wear out and they can't work in those fields. So while there will be savings, the increase in older workers getting Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) will reduce the overall budget impact of regular SS.
WW