This president reversed major expansion plans for drilling domestically. When you consider the potential resources we have, OPEC becomes a smaller fish in a bigger pond. Do you believe OPEC drove the price down in 2008? Their production was essentially constant during that period. The only thing that changed was the expiration of the offshore drilling ban here, the subsequent plans for comprehensive extraction increases domestically and then the reimposition of that ban. Obama reimposed the ban.
So?
As I said before, the "potential" that exists only exists within a little bubble which requires oil and gas prices to be high enough for them to be profitable. If the US starts pumping out oil and gs too much, prices drop to a point where it's no longer economically viable. OPEC know this, hence why they're doing what they're doing. I'm not saying Obama stopped domestic drilling in places because he knew that too much production would cause such an effect, however you can't criticise someone for not allowing something to go ahead which would have damaged the US economy. I mean this in the sense that this extra drilling would have further lowered prices, would probably have gone bankrupt by the end of OPEC's campaign to put oil prices down. Some of the present drilling sites might just go bust soon anyway.
OPEC doesn't become a smaller fish, it becomes a slightly less large fish. Do you know how much oil the US would have to be producing in order to make OPEC lose its power? Let's just say it isn't all the potential oil the US thinks is there.
When Bush lifted the ban on offshore drilling and prices decreased massively, it was just one of those things. Prices rose again.
We're talking here about prices dropping in 2014. So Bush said he would drill, prices drop. Obama reversed this and prices are dropping. Supply and demand? Or a cartel in OPEC deciding prices? They don't set prices so much as control them. Things are outside of their control for a time and oil prices will change to reflect that. However they can always put out a strategy that will have far more of an impact than a US president who can make a small impact, but ultimately not much.
Obama put new restrictions on oil in the gulf at the end of 2010, and prices rose. Why did oil prices rise? Just the market? Or did OPEC have anything to do with this?
Here's another chart. Oil exports by Qatar went down in 2006/2007 time and increased around 2009. Why?
We see the same thing with Saudi Arabia.
If the president said "hey, we're stopping the ban on offshore drilling", why would this reduce the exports of oil BEFORE the impact of the lifting of the ban could take place?
OPEC were already taking measures to make sure they were in control. The market was happy, the president had that initial impact on the market. But OPEC were reducing production, hence exports in a bid to raise oil prices.
Now it's completely different. OPEC wanted oil prices to rise. They probably didn't have a strategy back then. Now their strategy has changed, and it's to drive US oil companies out of business. They might even get at Russian oil too.