Well they don't want us to have them either. I don't like China having them.
Do you want North Korea to have them? What cha gonna do about it?
Did you hear that when AI is asked to play war games it launches nukes 95% of the time?
So we should ban AI.
AI Opted to Use Nuclear Weapons 95% of the Time During War Games: Researcher
Remember Chaney said even if there is a 1% chance Saddam has nukes? Well then I guess we better slow down on the AI because there's a 95% chance they'll destroy the human race.
Did you know that any civilized species that has nukes has a 99% of destroying itself in 10,000 years?
The probability of a nuclear-armed civilization destroying itself within 10,000 years is high due to the cumulative nature of low-probability risks over long timeframes. While a total extinction-level event is considered relatively unlikely (estimated at
), a catastrophic collapse of modern civilization from nuclear war is considered a significant, long-term risk.
- Cumulative Probability: Over 10,000 years, even low-probability events (like a nuclear war) become almost inevitable.
- Existential Threat Levels: Estimates suggest a 20–50% chance of a major nuclear event within the next 100 years, and while the chance of total human extinction is lower (
), the risk of civilization-ending collapse is non-zero.
- Weapon Capacity: While current arsenals are significantly reduced from Cold War peaks, they still hold enough power to cause global, long-term climatic and societal disruption.
- Survival Factors: Some analysts suggest that while nuclear war might not result in complete human extinction, it could destroy industrial civilization, with only certain, isolated, or well-prepared nations surviving, as mentioned in discussions on Brussels Morning Newspaper.
Wikipedia +5
Although some analyses suggest that a total, extinction-level event is not the most likely outcome, the 10,000-year timeframe represents an extremely long period for a technological society to manage the risks of its own advanced weaponry without a catastrophic, potentially civilization-ending, incident.
80,000 Hours +1
- Problem profiles: Nuclear weapons | 80,000 Hours
Jun 14, 2024 — We think the chance of a nuclear war in the next 100 years is something like 20–50%. Estimates of the existential risk from nuclea...
80,000 Hours
- Nuclear war is unlikely to cause human extinction - LessWrong
Nov 7, 2020 — Extinction Unlikely: A full-scale nuclear exchange is unlikely (estimated at <1%) to cause human extinction, based on analysis of ...