Trump Rallies Will Lead to 700 COVID Deaths - Study

CrusaderFrank

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Given how far behind Orange Jesus is, it’s probably not a good idea to be offing any of his supporters.



We investigate the effects of large group meetings on the spread of COVID-19 by studying the impact of eighteen Trump campaign rallies. To capture the effects of subsequent contagion within the pertinent communities, our analysis encompasses up to ten post-rally weeks for each event. Our method is based on a collection of regression models, one for each event, that capture the relationships between post-event outcomes and pre-event characteristics, including demographics and the trajectory of COVID-19 cases, in similar counties. We explore a total of 24 procedures for identifying sets of matched counties. For the vast majority of these variants, our estimate of the average treatment effect across the eighteen events implies that they increased subsequent confirmed cases of COVID-19 by more than 250 per 100,000 residents. Extrapolating this figure to the entire sample, we conclude that these eighteen rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19. Applying county- specific post-event death rates, we conclude that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths (not necessarily among attendees).​

We only have like 10 years left on the AOC countdown clock, so, what's the BFD?
 
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depotoo

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Such lies-
cdc survival rates from covid

A quick summary of COVID-19 survival rates is shown below. The summary is based on the CDC table provided at the end of this report.
CDC COVID-19 Survival Rates
  • Age 0-19 — 99.997%. Death .003%
  • Age 20-49 — 99.98%. .02%
  • Age 50-69 — 99.5%. .5%
  • Age 70+ — 94.6%. 5.4%
And that death rate for 70 and above is artificially high due to places like nyc sending COVID patients into nursing homes
Yes, the world is wrong and you are right. It must feel good to be so presumptuous.
Are you saying the cdc is wrong?
 

NoNukes

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Well worth the effort
680 of them would be dead in 4 months due to other life threatening illnesses that Covid merely piggybacks onto and frightened lib loons and agenda compliant media fake it up as all Covid
Proof?
General common knowledge
Not everything in life is sourced by a link. You have to get out and experience life and learn mostly on your own otherwise you are a babbling frightened simpleton relying on fake, emotional drivel media
Good deflection. I feel sorry for you being so stupid to think that your general knowledge amounts to anything.
Not a deflection but rather something you cannot rebuke with fake emotions
Another good deflection. Was this your major in college?
 

JimBowie1958

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Given how far behind Orange Jesus is, it’s probably not a good idea to be offing any of his supporters.



We investigate the effects of large group meetings on the spread of COVID-19 by studying the impact of eighteen Trump campaign rallies. To capture the effects of subsequent contagion within the pertinent communities, our analysis encompasses up to ten post-rally weeks for each event. Our method is based on a collection of regression models, one for each event, that capture the relationships between post-event outcomes and pre-event characteristics, including demographics and the trajectory of COVID-19 cases, in similar counties. We explore a total of 24 procedures for identifying sets of matched counties. For the vast majority of these variants, our estimate of the average treatment effect across the eighteen events implies that they increased subsequent confirmed cases of COVID-19 by more than 250 per 100,000 residents. Extrapolating this figure to the entire sample, we conclude that these eighteen rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19. Applying county- specific post-event death rates, we conclude that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths (not necessarily among attendees).​

Did you know that 87.45% of all statistics are BS made up on the spot?
 

NoNukes

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Such lies-
cdc survival rates from covid

A quick summary of COVID-19 survival rates is shown below. The summary is based on the CDC table provided at the end of this report.
CDC COVID-19 Survival Rates
  • Age 0-19 — 99.997%. Death .003%
  • Age 20-49 — 99.98%. .02%
  • Age 50-69 — 99.5%. .5%
  • Age 70+ — 94.6%. 5.4%
And that death rate for 70 and above is artificially high due to places like nyc sending COVID patients into nursing homes
Yes, the world is wrong and you are right. It must feel good to be so presumptuous.
Are you saying the cdc is wrong?
What are you babbling about?
 

Sun Devil 92

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And 19,000 will die from drunk drivers.

Let's outlaw alcohol.
 

NoNukes

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Sun Devil 92

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Willing sacrificial lambs for Trumpism.
Akin to the Jim Jones group.
In essence, Trump must be voted out of office to save lives; if reelected, he’ll likely have similar ‘victory rallies’ with the same deadly result.
Hopefully you are the first to drop.
Typical asshole right winger. You people can be terrible.
And you second.
 

whitehall

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You almost gotta laugh. The crazy left lectured America about the sensitive issue of the phrase "sexual preference" as used by the candidate for the Supreme court because of the remote possibility that the phrase might be offensive to the homosexual community. Meanwhile the same crazy left seems fine using the obviously offensive and bigoted phrase "orange jesus" for the President of the United States.
 

Zander

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Given how far behind Orange Jesus is, it’s probably not a good idea to be offing any of his supporters.



We investigate the effects of large group meetings on the spread of COVID-19 by studying the impact of eighteen Trump campaign rallies. To capture the effects of subsequent contagion within the pertinent communities, our analysis encompasses up to ten post-rally weeks for each event. Our method is based on a collection of regression models, one for each event, that capture the relationships between post-event outcomes and pre-event characteristics, including demographics and the trajectory of COVID-19 cases, in similar counties. We explore a total of 24 procedures for identifying sets of matched counties. For the vast majority of these variants, our estimate of the average treatment effect across the eighteen events implies that they increased subsequent confirmed cases of COVID-19 by more than 250 per 100,000 residents. Extrapolating this figure to the entire sample, we conclude that these eighteen rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19. Applying county- specific post-event death rates, we conclude that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths (not necessarily among attendees).​

Always thought you were too smart to fall for so much blatant unsubstantiated panic porn....:dunno:
Nope. He's just another brain dead NPC. Orange man bad! Orange man Bad!!!!

 

Nostra

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Given how far behind Orange Jesus is, it’s probably not a good idea to be offing any of his supporters.



We investigate the effects of large group meetings on the spread of COVID-19 by studying the impact of eighteen Trump campaign rallies. To capture the effects of subsequent contagion within the pertinent communities, our analysis encompasses up to ten post-rally weeks for each event. Our method is based on a collection of regression models, one for each event, that capture the relationships between post-event outcomes and pre-event characteristics, including demographics and the trajectory of COVID-19 cases, in similar counties. We explore a total of 24 procedures for identifying sets of matched counties. For the vast majority of these variants, our estimate of the average treatment effect across the eighteen events implies that they increased subsequent confirmed cases of COVID-19 by more than 250 per 100,000 residents. Extrapolating this figure to the entire sample, we conclude that these eighteen rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19. Applying county- specific post-event death rates, we conclude that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths (not necessarily among attendees).​


So sez a FAR LEFT Stanford ECONOMICS Prof.

:iyfyus.jpg:
 

Nostra

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Did this "economics" professor do a study like this for the large crowds of Dimwingers during thier riot and looting sprees?

No?

I'm shocked............SHOCKED I tells ya!
 

Mac1958

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Tipsycatlover

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Given how far behind Orange Jesus is, it’s probably not a good idea to be offing any of his supporters.



We investigate the effects of large group meetings on the spread of COVID-19 by studying the impact of eighteen Trump campaign rallies. To capture the effects of subsequent contagion within the pertinent communities, our analysis encompasses up to ten post-rally weeks for each event. Our method is based on a collection of regression models, one for each event, that capture the relationships between post-event outcomes and pre-event characteristics, including demographics and the trajectory of COVID-19 cases, in similar counties. We explore a total of 24 procedures for identifying sets of matched counties. For the vast majority of these variants, our estimate of the average treatment effect across the eighteen events implies that they increased subsequent confirmed cases of COVID-19 by more than 250 per 100,000 residents. Extrapolating this figure to the entire sample, we conclude that these eighteen rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19. Applying county- specific post-event death rates, we conclude that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths (not necessarily among attendees).​

Last desperate attemt to scare people into voting for biden. One got to be pretty scared to vote for that old politician ... just listen to him . 47 years a politician all of a sudden he is for buying america .... what a lying P.O.S. . . 1 QUESTION, are you an American or are you a Democrat?
Those that vote and support the Democratic Party are as American as those that vote for Trump!

Oh hell Donald Trump once donated to the Democratic Party and hanged with Bill and Hillary Clinton, so was Trump anti-American back then but is now one of the good guys?
The democrats weren't always communist.
 

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