Just because I do not agree with a position does not mean I did not read or did not understand it. It just means I have a different opinion.No, you are not listening,
Ummm that's the same thing. To look at the effects of a policy and judge its effectiveness.it is NOT to validate policy, it is to accurately describe what the estimates are of it's macroeconomic effects.
We CAN accurately estimate/measure change in jobs and change in rate of change.Estimates DO NOT show whether jobs were saved or created, they show how many more(or less) jobs there are due to specific policy.
But we go from objective to more subjective measurements when we try to link those changes to policy decisions. This is why BLS is forbidden from commenting on policy or policy effects.
Which inherently involves estimating how many would have been laid off without the policy. By saying the policy sustained X jobs, you are necessarily saying that approximately X jobs would otherwise have been lost.Again, macroeconomic estimate cannot tell you how many people didn't get fired because of policy vs how many got a new job, it looks at how many jobs a policy sustains.