Originally Posted by
Sandy Shanks
The coronavirus model used by the White House has come under fire for its flawed projections.
The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) first estimated in late March that there would be fewer than 161,000 deaths total in the US. In early April, it revised its projections to say the total death toll through August was “projected to be 60,415."
The IHME on April 29 released a new update raising its estimates for
total deaths to 72,433, but that, too, looks likely to be proved an underestimate as soon as next week.
As of today, there were
27,250 new cases in one day for a total of 1,158,280 cases in the U.S. In one day there were 1,532 new deaths for a
total of 67,285, and that is with a strong suspicion that the governors of Georgia, Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and other states are under reporting coronavirus deaths.[
Written ten days ago]
Originally Posted by
Sandy Shanks
The Times reports, "
As Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of coronavirus cases and deaths over the next several weeks.
The model preferred by the White House, which is provided by the Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, with its estimate of 72,000 deaths by early August was beginning to look absurd. The current death toll is nearly 70,000. What are they smoking in the White House?[
Written 8 days ago]
Written today, the key coronavirus model often cited by the White House has again raised its coronavirus death projection, now
predicting 147,000 deaths in the US by August 4.
Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington,
tied the earlier increase to “explosive increases in mobility in a number of states.”
IHME said exact reasons for the changes vary by state. IHME also pointed to the easing of social distancing policies, but said “the full potential effects of recent actions to ease social distancing policies, especially if robust containment measures have yet to be fully scaled up,
may not be fully known for a few weeks due to the time periods between viral exposure, possible infection, and full disease progression.”
On May 2, there were 1,158,280 cases and 67,285 deaths. There are now 1,408,073 cases, that is an increase of 249,793 caes in ten days. There are now 83,368 deaths, an increase of 16,083 American lives in ten days.
United States Coronavirus: 1,408,155 Cases and 83,377 Deaths - Worldometer
Trump pushed Monday for Pennsylvania to reopen its economy faster, escalating a fight already roiling the state. “
The great people of Pennsylvania want their freedom now, and they are fully aware of what that entails. The Democrats are moving slowly, all over the USA, for political purposes. They would wait until November 3rd if it were up to them. Don’t play politics. Be safe, move quickly!”