Ive been looking at trends today covering the last two weeks and the increases and decreases.... Biden has been losing ground in every battle ground state while Trump has been making great leaps. Even some states that I didn't believe were in play are most certainly in play.
Minnesota is one that I didn't think was in play but today that state has Trump up +2 points and one of the democrat senators, who thought they were good, is now a dead heat with a Republican. Its looking like a Trump win in Minnesota and that could bring with it one more senate seat. The suppression attempt by the governor and attorney general did not go over well with the people and this morning a recall petition has been started.
Pennsylvania is a statistical dead heat... Trump has four rallies today there and two more on Monday..
Ohio is +3 for Trump... Unless something massive happens this one is Trumps..
Georgia is a statistical dead heat... Once again we have a republican in a dead heat for a democrat seat and if trump wins this we will most likely pick up that seat as well.
Wisconsin is a statistical dead heat but trump has picked up another point.
Florida is now Trump +3 points... Voter turn out in democrat cities is only 60% of 2016.
New Mexico is now +3 for trump
Arizona is now a statistical dead heat...
Texas is now firmly in Trumps hands as it is +5 for Trump.
Trump is doing 11 rallies in two days and another 5 on Monday and the enthusiasm is all on Trumps side. In recent elections the person with the most enthusiasm garnered +3 points over what polling shows. IF the current trends continue this election will be over on Nov 3rd... even if two states are not fully counted.
The last poll in Ohio shows Biden with a 5 point lead. This will be a dead heat.
Georgia is a statistical dead heat however 2 Republican senators are in big trouble.
Wisconsin is not a statistical dead heat. Even the Trafalger Group cannot put Trump ahead.
Florida is a dead heat. The poll that shows Trump up by 3 is the Trafqalger Group.
A honest poll has not been taken in months. New Mexico will go to Biden easily.
Arizona is a lean to Biden. Three questionable polls make it close.
Texas is not firmly in Trump's corner. It leans that way but it is far from certain.
What you fail to realize is that voters who oppose Trump are motivated to vote as well.
www.thetrafalgargroup.org