Trafalgar Pollster Predicts Biden Likely Landslide(?): Trump Voters Still Embarrassed, Admitted!

mascale

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Five-Thirty-Eight has Fox polling showing Biden leading in Florida 10 points, most recently. Like Rasmussen, Trafalgar polls tend to overstate the Republican advantages: Most likely reliant on a stratified sampling method. Especially in the new context of a monster voter turnout, the samples cannot be said predictive of a complete national polling of likely or registered voters. A lower turnout actually makes their polls look better. That isn't happening.

So CNN created an opportunity for Trafalgar polling to advertise and explain itself.


The first take-away is the sampling problem, then the second is the use of machines to create the interview responses. The Trafalgar justification is about the "Shy" Trump voters(?): Still After Four Years: Completely Embarrassed By The Whole Thing Trumped-Up--Especially The Record(?)!

The embarrassment, "Shy" contention: Tends to support the lack of a relevant sample for a national or statewide prediction. There is better said an over-sample of Trump supporters--apparently entirely glaring.

The voter turnout so far is spectacular. Then other recent polling results tend to be less focused on the national election and more on the state level elections. No pollster focuses entirely on California, for example: But a 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% other kind of outcome is way more likely than "Trump wins Florida," just this weekend.

For one thing, The Red States are getting way more Covid-19 blasted than California. City-County of San Francisco is virtually reopened, completely: Pelosi friendly, Biden Spot Right-on!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
 

Death-Ninja

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You are a room temperature IQ'd sub-moron, democratic fascists are wigging out because Miami/Dade turnout is reduced below even what the Clinton absorbed, Trump has likely locked up Florida, certainly Biden has no chance of winning such via landlside.... :fu:
 

Mac-7

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Five-Thirty-Eight has Fox polling showing Biden leading in Florida 10 points, most recently. Like Rasmussen, Trafalgar polls tend to overstate the Republican advantages: Most likely reliant on a stratified sampling method. Especially in the new context of a monster voter turnout, the samples cannot be said predictive of a complete national polling of likely or registered voters. A lower turnout actually makes their polls look better. That isn't happening.

So CNN created an opportunity for Trafalgar polling to advertise and explain itself.


The first take-away is the sampling problem, then the second is the use of machines to create the interview responses. The Trafalgar justification is about the "Shy" Trump voters(?): Still After Four Years: Completely Embarrassed By The Whole Thing Trumped-Up--Especially The Record(?)!

The embarrassment, "Shy" contention: Tends to support the lack of a relevant sample for a national or statewide prediction. There is better said an over-sample of Trump supporters--apparently entirely glaring.

The voter turnout so far is spectacular. Then other recent polling results tend to be less focused on the national election and more on the state level elections. No pollster focuses entirely on California, for example: But a 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% other kind of outcome is way more likely than "Trump wins Florida," just this weekend.

For one thing, The Red States are getting way more Covid-19 blasted than California. City-County of San Francisco is virtually reopened, completely: Pelosi friendly, Biden Spot Right-on!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
Why are you telling us this?
 

WEATHER53

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Remember vividly thru Election Day that polls no longer represent opinion but rather try to influence and create opinion
Just another part of the corrupt, fake, fact absent media.

They want to Hoax that Trump is so far behind that it’s useless to vote for him. It backfires because thinkers conservatives don’t dive headfirst into melancholy and dispair like emotion driven liberals
 

Maxdeath

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Remember vividly thru Election Day that polls no longer represent opinion but rather try to influence and create opinion
Just another part of the corrupt, fake, fact absent media.

They want to Hoax that Trump is so far behind that it’s useless to vote for him. It backfires because thinkers conservatives don’t dive headfirst into melancholy and dispair like emotion driven liberals
Every once in a while I kind of wish I could drop my IQ to the point of being dumber then a fence post so I would have some idea of how leftists react and pretend to think.
 

bigrebnc1775

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Five-Thirty-Eight has Fox polling showing Biden leading in Florida 10 points, most recently. Like Rasmussen, Trafalgar polls tend to overstate the Republican advantages: Most likely reliant on a stratified sampling method. Especially in the new context of a monster voter turnout, the samples cannot be said predictive of a complete national polling of likely or registered voters. A lower turnout actually makes their polls look better. That isn't happening.

So CNN created an opportunity for Trafalgar polling to advertise and explain itself.


The first take-away is the sampling problem, then the second is the use of machines to create the interview responses. The Trafalgar justification is about the "Shy" Trump voters(?): Still After Four Years: Completely Embarrassed By The Whole Thing Trumped-Up--Especially The Record(?)!

The embarrassment, "Shy" contention: Tends to support the lack of a relevant sample for a national or statewide prediction. There is better said an over-sample of Trump supporters--apparently entirely glaring.

The voter turnout so far is spectacular. Then other recent polling results tend to be less focused on the national election and more on the state level elections. No pollster focuses entirely on California, for example: But a 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% other kind of outcome is way more likely than "Trump wins Florida," just this weekend.

For one thing, The Red States are getting way more Covid-19 blasted than California. City-County of San Francisco is virtually reopened, completely: Pelosi friendly, Biden Spot Right-on!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
your title of this thread is a lie
But demcrat jim crow is just that democrat racism
 

rightwinger

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Remember vividly thru Election Day that polls no longer represent opinion but rather try to influence and create opinion
Just another part of the corrupt, fake, fact absent media.
An excellent description of Trafalgar
 

Dick Foster

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Five-Thirty-Eight has Fox polling showing Biden leading in Florida 10 points, most recently. Like Rasmussen, Trafalgar polls tend to overstate the Republican advantages: Most likely reliant on a stratified sampling method. Especially in the new context of a monster voter turnout, the samples cannot be said predictive of a complete national polling of likely or registered voters. A lower turnout actually makes their polls look better. That isn't happening.

So CNN created an opportunity for Trafalgar polling to advertise and explain itself.


The first take-away is the sampling problem, then the second is the use of machines to create the interview responses. The Trafalgar justification is about the "Shy" Trump voters(?): Still After Four Years: Completely Embarrassed By The Whole Thing Trumped-Up--Especially The Record(?)!

The embarrassment, "Shy" contention: Tends to support the lack of a relevant sample for a national or statewide prediction. There is better said an over-sample of Trump supporters--apparently entirely glaring.

The voter turnout so far is spectacular. Then other recent polling results tend to be less focused on the national election and more on the state level elections. No pollster focuses entirely on California, for example: But a 60% Biden, 30% Trump, 10% other kind of outcome is way more likely than "Trump wins Florida," just this weekend.

For one thing, The Red States are getting way more Covid-19 blasted than California. City-County of San Francisco is virtually reopened, completely: Pelosi friendly, Biden Spot Right-on!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
Liars and morons all.
 
OP
M

mascale

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CNN gets its reputation upgrade from creating the interview, even. The post is herein created since the interview did not exaggerate the "Shy" Trump voter concept, but noted that machine-interviews are also used by other pollsters.

Those polls come up with different results.

"Shy Trump Voters" is never mentioned. They are not even alleged to be, "Embarrassed:" Like the pro-Trump pollsters describe them.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
 

SassyIrishLass

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CNN gets its reputation upgrade from creating the interview, even. The post is herein created since the interview did not exaggerate the "Shy" Trump voter concept, but noted that machine-interviews are also used by other pollsters.

Those polls come up with different results.

"Shy Trump Voters" is never mentioned. They are not even alleged to be, "Embarrassed:" Like the pro-Trump pollsters describe them.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
Wut?
 

Thunk

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Remember when cher walked into hillarys victory party...saw everybody crying...and walked back out? :auiqs.jpg:
 

Billyboom

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If you are going to believe polls at all, you should at least give credence to the one that got it right when ALL the others were way off.
The ONLY poll that matters happens on election day.
 
OP
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mascale

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Old Times Fare, Is Long Forgotten. . . .!

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!
(Even Trump Rallies Shrink, like in the prayers(?): Matt 25: 14-30! Lives Don't Matter!)
 

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