Thomas Massie's chances of winning primary plunge on eve of Election Day

[BackAgain]

MSN

Representative Thomas Massie’s chances of winning against Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein in the Republican primary for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District have plunged one day before the election.

Early Monday, Massie, who had previously been the favorite on prediction markets, slipped down to a 43 percent chance of victory on both Kalshi and Poloymarket, down from 61 percent and 56 percent respectively on Saturday, as in-person early voting ended.

I don't know about those "prediction markets" but some here put faith in them. I prefer to let the voters decide.

Traditional polls show roughly the same thing.

New poll shows Gallrein overtaking Massie in GOP primary

GOP primary​

Photo by: Jon Cherry/AP
Congressional candidate Ed Gallrein speaks as President Donald Trump listens at Verst Logistics Contract Packaging Facility Wednesday, March 11, 2026, in Hebron, Ky. (AP Photo/Jon Cherry)


FRANKFORT, Ky. — A new Quantus Insights poll published on May 13 shows Rep. Thomas Massie now trailing former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District GOP primary election.

In the new poll, Quantus Insights showed Gallrein moving ahead of Massie, 53% to 45% — an eight-point margin. The same pollster previously showed Massie ahead 47% to 38%.

I’m a bit torn. Since his behavior tends to support the liberal Democrap voting bloc, I am perfectly ok with his getting fired.

I do credit him with a bit of fidelity to his political beliefs.

But he has no ability to engage in any political compromise. And in politics (particularly our highly divided land), compromise isn’t always a dirty word.

On balance, I’m ok seeing him lose. But I already regret that outcome in many ways.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Trump?

Exactly. They worship the biggest RINO of them all. They don't even know what that term means.

 

[Rawley]

Well, I think its pretty fucked up how our president did his best to keep the files hidden.
The fact that you dont, says a lot.

1) there has never been an allegation of pedophilia, against anyone, even Epstein. Again, your obsession with pedophilia is disturbing; and

2) He's released 6.5 million pages of files. And, as administration after administration has told you, there is no there there. But your cult masters, for blindingly partisan reasons, have convinced you rabid TDSers that there is still something there that everyone for 20 years has been hiding.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

I’m a bit torn. Since his behavior tends to support the liberal Democrap voting bloc, I am perfectly ok with his getting fired.

Tell us all about it, MAGAt cultist

 

[TNHarley]

I'm lay this right here -

The support for Massie seems to really be more hate for Jews than love for Massie.

I am against all foreign aid, leftist.

 

[Billiejeens]

"But he has no ability to engage in any political compromise. And in politics (particularly our highly divided land), compromise isn’t always a dirty word."

He hasn't and never will do anything to be missed for.

 

[Billiejeens]

I am against all foreign aid, leftist.

That's nice, also a very ignorant position to take, fringy.

 

[TNHarley]

1) there has never been an allegation of pedophilia, against anyone, even Epstein. Again, your obsession with pedophilia is disturbing; and

2) He's released 6.5 million pages of files. And, as administration after administration has told you, there is no there there. But your cult masters, for blindingly partisan reasons, have convinced you rabid TDSers that there is still something there that everyone for 20 years has been hiding.

Delusional MAGA smh

 

[TNHarley]

That's nice, also a very ignorant position to take, fringy.

Yeah, America first is fringe.

 

[Billiejeens]

Tell us all about it, MAGAt cultist

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Describe the usefullnes that you see with Massie.

 

[Billiejeens]

Yeah, America first is fringe.

You don't know that foreign aid often helps the United States of America in a myriad of ways?

 

[Billiejeens]

Yeah, America first is fringe.

America First is The Party of Trump.

 

[Rawley]

Delusional MAGA smh

Feel free to support your rant

 

[TNHarley]

America First is The Party of Trump.

 

[TNHarley]

Feel free to support your rant

There is confirmed court evidence of pedophilia. A simple google would have told you that.
He also broke Federal law that HE signed about the files. A simple google would have told you that.
There is a lot of horrendous things in there. Not sure why you act like there isnt. Oh yeah, because of TD(edication)S. I forgot.
"but muh trummmmmmp"
weirdo.

 

[Rawley]

There is confirmed court evidence of pedophilia. A simple google would have told you that.
He also broke Federal law that HE signed about the files. A simple google would have told you that.
There is a lot of horrendous things in there. Not sure why you act like there isnt. Oh yeah, because of TD(edication)S. I forgot.
"but muh trummmmmmp"
weirdo.

Do you think rant part III supports rants I and II? LOL

 

[Hellokitty]

There is confirmed court evidence of pedophilia. A simple google would have told you that.
He also broke Federal law that HE signed about the files. A simple google would have told you that.
There is a lot of horrendous things in there. Not sure why you act like there isnt. Oh yeah, because of TD(edication)S. I forgot.
"but muh trummmmmmp"
weirdo.

So why hasn't Massie read the list of names like he promised?

 

[TNHarley]

So why hasn't Massie read the list of names like he promised?

He has given some names. One of them even quit his career because of it.