The UAE is now launching attacks on Iranian facilities. Let's go!

[WEATHER53]

True which has little to do with the price of gasoline after a US declaration of war turns Iran into East Carolina.

I haven't driven a motor vehicle in 30 years; however, I currently walk to a from my local supermarket several times a week, and I recognize how the price of diesel fuel affects my monthly budget:

GoogleAI Overview:

"Diesel prices in the U.S. have surged by over 40% to 54% since the start of the U.S.-Israel war with Iran on Feb. 28, 2026, driven by a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, rising above $5.00-$5.69 a gallon by late March/April 2026.

"This increase exceeds the rise in gasoline prices, raising inflation and transport costs."

So you admit you don’t own or drive a car yet you are an expert on oil and gas issues
A fraud is what you are

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

I didn't say "bottle of the barrel".

No, autocorrect did! Thank you very much!

That's what I get for using my phone while on a doctor visit.

 

[kyzr]

GoogleAI Overview agrees:
"Based on May 2026 intelligence, Iran can likely withstand the US naval blockade and economic pressure for three to four months (approximately until August 2026), according to CIA assessments and experts.
"While oil exports are severely restricted, Iran has significant reserves afloat and can continue to operate domestically through stored supplies, using asymmetric tactics to harass shipping."

Would Americans tolerate $7 a gallon gasoline by Labor Day if the current conflict continues until August?

EU airlines will run out of jet fuel early July.
They should help open Hormuz, if they have any modern escort capable ships??

Gas costs what it costs. Americans will deal with it. Some EU countries have $9 gas as normal pricing.

 

[kyzr]

Iran has restored operational access to 30 of the 33 missile sites it maintains along the Strait of Hormuz and still retains about 70% of its prewar missile arsenal, according to classified U.S. intelligence assessments described by The New York Times.
The assessments contrast with public statements by President Donald Trump, who said the Iranian military had been severely weakened during the campaign.
The assessments, dated to early May, indicate that much of Iran's missile infrastructure remains operational despite the U.S.-Israeli air campaign, Operation Epic Fury, which began 10 weeks earlier.

So? Like we can't whack their missile sites again? We still have lots of bombs. Take a nerve pill.

 

[georgephillip]

EU airlines will run out of jet fuel early July.
They should help open Hormuz, if they have any modern escort capable ships??

Gas costs what it costs. Americans will deal with it. Some EU countries have $9 gas as normal pricing.
View attachment 1256599

Speaking of early July:

"US gasoline supplies are at risk of running critically low, with some projections indicating storage tanks could run empty around or before July 4, 2026, due to severe, ongoing supply disruptions.

"The crisis is driven by high demand and significantly reduced oil, diesel, and gas supplies, as the U.S. acts as a key supplier for the global market."

GoogleAI Overview

I haven't seen any reason why Iran would be likely to open the Strait of Hormuz over the next ~50 days

 

[georgephillip]

So you admit you don’t own or drive a car yet you are an expert on oil and gas issues
A fraud is what you are

I don't need to own a car or drive to understand Trump is the biggest fraud in US History; what's your excuse?

• "Wartime Supply Crisis: The 2026 Iran war has disrupted global supplies, creating a record deficit where demand exceeds available supply.
• Dangerous Inventory Levels: Oil and product supplies have seen steep declines, with analysts predicting a critical low point around July 4th.
• Regional Impact: While not a total disappearance of gasoline, shortages are likely to be severe in certain areas, particularly on the East and West Coasts.
• Rising Prices: Gasoline prices have already surged, with potential for continued high prices due to the strain on supply."

GoogleAI Overview

 

[kyzr]

Speaking of early July:
"US gasoline supplies are at risk of running critically low, with some projections indicating storage tanks could run empty around or before July 4, 2026, due to severe, ongoing supply disruptions. "The crisis is driven by high demand and significantly reduced oil, diesel, and gas supplies, as the U.S. acts as a key supplier for the global market." GoogleAI Overview

Copilot has a different answer:
"Based on current 2026 data, the U.S. is not at risk of “running out” of gasoline or diesel this summer, but regional shortages, price spikes, and supply stress are very possible, especially for diesel, due to the unprecedented global oil disruption caused by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
The U.S. remains physically supplied, but the global shock is severe enough that tight inventories, refinery strain, and localized outages are realistic risks—not a nationwide depletion."

I haven't seen any reason why Iran would be likely to open the Strait of Hormuz over the next ~50 days

Iran doesn't have to "open" Hormuz.
Project Freedom is supposed to open new travel lanes and provide escorts for safe passage thru Hormuz.
Iran is still not shipping oil and will need to cap wells, which means much less revenue going forward.

 

[georgephillip]

Iran doesn't have to "open" Hormuz.
Project Freedom is supposed to open new travel lanes and provide escorts for safe passage thru Hormuz.
Iran is still not shipping oil and will need to cap wells, which means much less revenue going forward.

You are assuming the US blockade of Iranian ports is airtight.
It isn't.
Iran is shipping oil by sea and overland through its seven land borders.
Iran also has import/export capacity through the Caspian Sea

Iran can sustain this conflict longer than Trump.
They hold all the cards.

 

[kyzr]

You are assuming the US blockade of Iranian ports is airtight. It isn't.
Iran is shipping oil by sea and overland through its seven land borders.
Iran also has import/export capacity through the Caspian Sea

Iran can sustain this conflict longer than Trump. They hold all the cards.

Iran shipped 90% of its oil thru Kharg island and Hormuz, the other 10% went 5% rail to China and 5% thru the Caspian sea.
RR bridges can be taken out, and pumping stations can be taken out. The blockade is at least 90% effective and can be made nealy 100% effective. Iran's wells need to keep pumping or they lose capacity, Trump has all the cards.

 

[Political-Junkie]

Iran shipped 90% of its oil thru Kharg island and Hormuz, the other 10% went 5% rail to China and 5% thru the Caspian sea.
RR bridges can be taken out, and pumping stations can be taken out. The blockade is at least 90% effective and can be made nealy 100% effective. Iran's wells need to keep pumping or they lose capacity, Trump has all the cards.

Trump said their pipelines were going to explode. What happened?

 

[kyzr]

Trump said their pipelines were going to explode. What happened?

He was trying to describe what happens when you stop a well from pumping oil.
The well loses capacity and can't get it back.
He used the term "explodes" to describe that the wells lose capacity.
Not the right word, but the correct end result.

 

[Political-Junkie]

He was trying to describe what happens when you stop a well from pumping oil.
The well loses capacity and can't get it back.
He used the term "explodes" to describe that the wells lose capacity.
Not the right word, but the correct end result.

Nothing happened, no matter what he meant.

 

[ChemEngineer]

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/iran-missiles-military/2026/05/13/id/1256114/

Iran has restored operational access to 30 of the 33 missile sites it maintains along the Strait of Hormuz and still retainsYo about 70% of its prewar missile arsenal, according to classified U.S. intelligence assessments described by The New York Times.

The assessments contrast with public statements by President Donald Trump, who said the Iranian military had been severely weakened during the campaign.

The assessments, dated to early May, indicate that much of Iran's missile infrastructure remains operational despite the U.S.-Israeli air campaign, Operation Epic Fury, which began 10 weeks earlier.

You and Democrats talk like you want Iran to win. How many American ships have your Mullah pals sunk, exactly with all their missile power?

 

[georgephillip]

Iran shipped 90% of its oil thru Kharg island and Hormuz, the other 10% went 5% rail to China and 5% thru the Caspian sea.
RR bridges can be taken out, and pumping stations can be taken out. The blockade is at least 90% effective and can be made nealy 100% effective. Iran's wells need to keep pumping or they lose capacity, Trump has all the cards.

What evidence can you supply to prove the US blockade is intercepting 90% of ships attempting to transit the straits?

2026 United States naval blockade of Iran - Wikipedia

"By 17 April, Lloyd's List reported that 8 Iranian vessels had managed to evade the blockade and cross westward into the Gulf of Oman to reach Iran.

"The vessels were headed for Iranian ports, and at least one vessel had managed to reach Bandar Abbas by 16 April.

"Two sanctioned oil supertankers had also crossed the US blockade line but did not indicate their destination to mask their route."

 

[kyzr]

Nothing happened, no matter what he meant.

Iran is permanently losing oil well capacity, that is a fact.
Oil wells need to be pumped, the oil needs to be shipped, and it isn't.

 

[kyzr]

What evidence can you supply to prove the US blockade is intercepting 90% of ships attempting to transit the straits?

The US blockade of Iranian oil started 13APR26.
On average 100 to 138 ships moved thru Hormuz before the war.
Since the US blockade started very few have evaded the US blockade.

"By 17 April, Lloyd's List reported that 8 Iranian vessels had managed to evade the blockade and cross westward into the Gulf of Oman to reach Iran. "The vessels were headed for Iranian ports, and at least one vessel had managed to reach Bandar Abbas by 16 April.
"Two sanctioned oil supertankers had also crossed the US blockade line but did not indicate their destination to mask their route."

I think the tankers are allowed into the gulf empty, but not allowed out of the gulf with oil.

A ‘Huge’ Iranian Supertanker Just Gave the US Navy the Slip

The appropriately-named Iranian oil tanker is known to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, but there is no word of its current whereabouts.

nationalinterest.org

The appropriately-named Iranian oil tanker is known to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, but there is no word of its current whereabouts.​

"The Huge had been at sea when the blockade began, but so far hasn’t been detained by US forces."

The US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has reportedly cost Tehran as much as $4.8 billion. However, it has cost the global economy far more, raising questions about how long it can persist in the absence of a US–Iran peace deal.