Didn't welfare reform go down in 1996?
Yes, my mistake. People were kicked off welfare in 1996. I keep tying it to the budget battle of 1995. Welfare reform was an aspect of the budget battle, because it was one of the things Republicans wanted to cut..... to balance the budget.
But yes. It was 1996, and it worked.
And it looks like it was signed into law late in 1996, August.
So GDP growth in 1996: 3.8%
GDP growth now: around 2%
Unemployment rate 1996: 5.4%
Unemployment rate now: 6.7%
U.S. GDP by Year
In 1996 we were in the .com boom. Now we are in a stagnant economy.
Sorry but 1996 and now don't look at all alike. Cut welfare now and you'll just slow the economy more. And when the liberals come out to vote it will be back with higher taxes.
So you are saying that 5.4% is a booming economy, and 6.7% is a slow stagnant economy. 1.3% is the difference between booming, and stagnant.
See I guess where I have the problem is, you are saying we can't do that today.
Yet in 1994, Newt Gingrich, wrote the Contract with America, during the 1994 Campaign. Part of that Contract with America was drastically cutting Welfare.
Contract with America - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
You see is that part of it, right there.
They won. In 1995, they started pushing for welfare reform.
So in 1994, when they proposed and ran their campaign on cutting welfare, and other cost cutting reforms.... the Unemployment rate was up in the 6%+ range, and the GDP growth rate was down in the 2% to 3% range. Very comparable.
Yet the Republicans ran on, and won, with a cutting welfare policy position.
GDP went up after cutting welfare. As one would expect it to (if they understand basic economics).
And unemployment was 1% lower than it was in 1994, and 1% lower than it is today, yet after passing welfare reform, it went even lower. Down to 4%.
I think you are greatly overstated the dot.com boom. The dot.com boom at it's very very height, was extremely limited on the employment side. And while they had a tremendous effect on the stock market, they were not very effective at increasing GDP.
The BLS, wrote a report in 2009 about the Dot.com Bubble, and concluded that the bursting of the bubble caused the loss of 85,000 jobs.
In a country of 300 Million, 85,000 jobs is barely a scratch. Most of the job losses during the 2001 recession time, were not related to the dot.com boom.
It won't let me post the link for some odd reason. Google "After the Dot-com Bubble BLS".