The rapid rise of Hurricane Matthew

[flacaltenn]

Some short while back there were some exchanges about what's important in the development of a hurricane. Deniers FCT and Billy Bob put great emphasis on shear and humidity. I argued heated surface waters were critical. So, we now have a hurricane that's been sitting off the northern coast of South America where it was facing wind shear and dry air coming off the continent. The only factor seemingly present was abnormally hot surface water. What did it do? It went from a CAT1 to a CAT5 in less than 24 hours..

Please explain.

When you quote me correctly, and figure out where the northern coast of South America is -- we'll chat. In the meantime -- don't call out members in Opening Posts. Deal??

 

[Billy_Bob]

Here is the current model stack. Westward travel path is no longer present.

Several problems are noted. The high pressure ridge coming down from the north might push this far off shore. The wind shear from the dry line could very quickly diminish this storm..

Cloud top levels have increased and water vapor is stable with a Barometric pressure of 987mb indicating the pressure is rising from its earlier reading of 964mb, which is indicative of of the storm weakening. still just on the edge of 3/4 category.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Ask me how hard Im laughing.........Mathew will be a Cat 1 by Wed. night.

Who's not winning............

Any weather event happens anywhere in the world and the AGW k00ks loose their minds.........you can set you watch by it!!

Most likely a Tropical Depression. The high pressure is moving south drawing the dry air with it and wind shear.. Even their cone of uncertainty is becoming more uncertain.. now it looks like it might go across Mexico but the models are not convincing to direction.

My prediction is that the hurricane will pay zero attention to the prognostications of Silly Billy and Skooks. Warm water on the north of Cuba will make up part of the strength it loses going over Cuba. Where from there is a big question mark. It is a very large storm, packing a lot of energy and water. Should it turn west, it is going to be a problem to areas that already have the ground soaked to capacity.

Wow

An Atlantic hurricane in October.

Unprecedented in all human history until man made global warming

 

[Crick]

Going from Cat 1 to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours in the face of dry air and wind shear is.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Going from Cat 1 to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours in the face of dry air and wind shear is.

Wow.

Why did it stop at Cat 5?

With so much more global warming since Katrina and 400ppm CO2, shouldn't it be up to Cat 6 or 7

 

[Billy_Bob]

Going from Cat 1 to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours in the face of dry air and wind shear is.

There was no wind shear during formation of this storm and it was aided by the eddy effect between jets. this was NOT uncommon.. It was text book!

 

[Old Rocks]

Silly Billy on Saturday. Doggone, Mathew is still a cat 4.

Simple....

Dry air on one side, Wet warm air on the other and the convergence of two jet streams creating an eddy in the atmosphere without upper level wind shear to tear it apart. This storm will soon meet upper level wind shears.. watch what happens..

5 hours ago it was down graded to Cat 4, just one hour ago it was down graded to Cat 3, It has meet with the wind shear. I expect this storm to go down one more level in the next few hours before being torn apart in 24-48 hours.

 

[Old Rocks]

Skook, Sunday.

Ask me how hard Im laughing.........Mathew will be a Cat 1 by Wed. night.

Who's not winning............

Any weather event happens anywhere in the world and the AGW k00ks loose their minds.........you can set you watch by it!!

Hurricane Matthew Makes Landfall in Haiti

Hurricane Matthew made landfall in Haiti this morning, lashing the western shores of the country with 145 mph winds.

Thousands of Haitians are seeking emergency shelter. Storm surges of up to 10 feet and torrential rain that could reach 40 inches in some areas is expected. The situation could create havoc in a country with an infamously fragile infrastructure.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott warned that the storm "could bring devastation to Florida [that] we haven't seen in years," adding that "we can not rule out a direct hit on Florida" starting as early as Wednesday. He declared a state of emergency in anticipation of the storm.

He said that the effects of Matthew could be "catastrophic," bringing with it a chance of heavy rain, rip currents, beach erosion, tornadoes and hurricane-force winds.

 

[skookerasbil]

Skook, Sunday.

Ask me how hard Im laughing.........Mathew will be a Cat 1 by Wed. night.

Who's not winning............

Any weather event happens anywhere in the world and the AGW k00ks loose their minds.........you can set you watch by it!!

Hurricane Matthew Makes Landfall in Haiti

Hurricane Matthew made landfall in Haiti this morning, lashing the western shores of the country with 145 mph winds.

Thousands of Haitians are seeking emergency shelter. Storm surges of up to 10 feet and torrential rain that could reach 40 inches in some areas is expected. The situation could create havoc in a country with an infamously fragile infrastructure.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott warned that the storm "could bring devastation to Florida [that] we haven't seen in years," adding that "we can not rule out a direct hit on Florida" starting as early as Wednesday. He declared a state of emergency in anticipation of the storm.

He said that the effects of Matthew could be "catastrophic," bringing with it a chance of heavy rain, rip currents, beach erosion, tornadoes and hurricane-force winds.

lol.....hey, Im just reporting what the "models" were saying about 24 hours ago. You know..........ummm.........those models you AGW guys promote every day of your life as a slam dunk!! So indeed.......the winning continues!!

 

[Billy_Bob]

Skook, Sunday.

Ask me how hard Im laughing.........Mathew will be a Cat 1 by Wed. night.

Who's not winning............

Any weather event happens anywhere in the world and the AGW k00ks loose their minds.........you can set you watch by it!!

Hurricane Matthew Makes Landfall in Haiti

Hurricane Matthew made landfall in Haiti this morning, lashing the western shores of the country with 145 mph winds.

Thousands of Haitians are seeking emergency shelter. Storm surges of up to 10 feet and torrential rain that could reach 40 inches in some areas is expected. The situation could create havoc in a country with an infamously fragile infrastructure.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott warned that the storm "could bring devastation to Florida [that] we haven't seen in years," adding that "we can not rule out a direct hit on Florida" starting as early as Wednesday. He declared a state of emergency in anticipation of the storm.

He said that the effects of Matthew could be "catastrophic," bringing with it a chance of heavy rain, rip currents, beach erosion, tornadoes and hurricane-force winds.

You are quite the alarmist... If it hits Florida it will be a 1 or 2 category storm as it is already showing signs of weakening and break up...

 

[skookerasbil]

You read this thread and you realize something............

These ******* k00k ***** are rooting for the hurricane to stay monster sized!! Holy ****.......Ive said for a long time we are dealing with mental cases in here but we really are. These people would fit in nicely with the Jim Jones crew in Africa.........

Drinking the Kool-Aid: A Survivor Remembers Jim Jones

 

[Old Rocks]

Well now, Silly Billy, given the accuracy of your prognostications in the past, I would guess that Mathew will hit continental US as a 3 or 4.

 

[Billy_Bob]

Well now, Silly Billy, given the accuracy of your prognostications in the past, I would guess that Mathew will hit continental US as a 3 or 4.

You don't know shit about shinola...

 

[Old Rocks]

You read this thread and you find the 'Conservatives' trying to avoid the reality of the fact that the warming has increased the intensity of the hurricanes. As far as Mathew goes, the scientists are the one that we quoting, not trying to stay politically correct like you fellows are. Had they predicted the storm to lessen, we would have posted that.

 

[Old Rocks]

Well now, Silly Billy, given the accuracy of your prognostications in the past, I would guess that Mathew will hit continental US as a 3 or 4.

You don't know shit about shinola...

Mathew is still a 4, and you are still wrong and full of shit as usual.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

You read this thread and you find the 'Conservatives' trying to avoid the reality of the fact that the warming has increased the intensity of the hurricanes. As far as Mathew goes, the scientists are the one that we quoting, not trying to stay politically correct like you fellows are. Had they predicted the storm to lessen, we would have posted that.

You "predict" whatever is the top story on the Weather Channel.

What a joke

After Katrina you said the storms would be bigger and stronger and more frequent -- and Nature mocked you by not having one here for 11 years

 

[SSDD]

Going from Cat 1 to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours in the face of dry air and wind shear is.

Actually it isn't, but then we all know that you will lie like a rug if you think it will help you make a point.

 

[SSDD]

You read this thread and you realize something............

These ******* k00k ***** are rooting for the hurricane to stay monster sized!! Holy ****.......Ive said for a long time we are dealing with mental cases in here but we really are. These people would fit in nicely with the Jim Jones crew in Africa.........

Drinking the Kool-Aid: A Survivor Remembers Jim Jones

It is their nature....they will be dancing in the street over any fatalities in the US.

 

[skookerasbil]

WeatherChannel update is now saying the storm will hug the shore of Florida and then head out to sea.

By Saturday, we will hear the sound of alarmist's heads exploding as they were rooting for a devastating direct hit!! These people are seriously fuCkEd s0ns!!

 

[Two Thumbs]

Some short while back there were some exchanges about what's important in the development of a hurricane. Deniers FCT and Billy Bob put great emphasis on shear and humidity. I argued heated surface waters were critical. So, we now have a hurricane that's been sitting off the northern coast of South America where it was facing wind shear and dry air coming off the continent. The only factor seemingly present was abnormally hot surface water. What did it do? It went from a CAT1 to a CAT5 in less than 24 hours..

Please explain.

and now it's a cat 3

run along junior, you don't know shit.


oh, as a reminder, your lot claimed cat 5 was going to be the new norm, 15 years ago