berg80
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- Oct 28, 2017
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What to Eat on a Burning Planet
This election season, many Americans are deeply distraught about the cost of food. You hear their frustrations in polls, at rallies and in focus groups — sticker shock is one of the few issues left to unite Americans across the political spectrum. But as painful as foodflation is, it may just be an early ripple of the kind of disruption to the food system that’s coming. The scale of these changes will be breathtaking. Their global consequences will be profound. And for most of us, they will change what’s in our refrigerators and on our kitchen tables.
Already, we can see the early tremors starting to rattle the global food system. As climate change permanently alters weather patterns, farmers are struggling to produce crops in the same huge volumes they once did. In California this month’s heat wave turned lettuce yellow. In Vietnam extreme heat has damaged the coffee crop, sending prices worldwide soaring. Consumers will soon see even higher prices and less of the foods they have come to know and love. Like it or not, our produce aisles are on the brink of transformation.
Opinion | What to Eat on a Burning Planet
Food as You Know It Is About to Change
About three-quarters of all global agricultural land is vulnerable to substantial climate disruptions, NASA’s Jonas Jägermeyr says, “so mostly everywhere you look, things will change in one way or the other.” And that probably means the food you’re eating, too.
“The good news is, we’ve seen this show before — we’ve faced crises before,” says Mr. Barrett. The examples of success he cites are probably familiar: Innovations to solve the challenges of the Dust Bowl in America and later the Green Revolution in Asia allowed hundreds of millions of people to avoid starvation and helped usher in the fastest escape from extreme poverty the world has ever experienced.
Mr. Barrett sees plenty of promise on the horizon now, too: biofortified crops; new techniques to fix nitrogen from the air, limiting the use of fossil-fuel based fertilizer; resilient varieties, like flood-resistant rice, that are already transforming the paddies of South Asia. But there’s no magic-bullet solution, he says: We need a bundle of innovations and interventions.
Opinion | Food as You Know It Is About to Change
The reason for the vulnerability? Partly because the 10 hottest years on record have all occurred since 2014. And partly because extreme weather events like heat waves and floods have increased about 400% in the last 50 years. Not to mention that both drought and floods can degraded the quality of topsoil needed to grow crops. The insurer Lloyd's estimates there is a 50% chance of a food shock in which a multiyear period of extreme weather leads to major crop failures in the next 30 years. (Mods, some of the stats are from an article in The Week for which I have no link)
If anyone needed another reason to vote for Harris, this is it.