The Last Days of the Iranian Regime

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The Last Days of the Iranian Regime

Iran’s regime lost the war the moment American force and economic pressure exposed its bluff; what remains is the slow collapse of a terror state running out of money, options, and time.
3 May 2026 ~~ By Roger Kimball

Some nearly stochastic notes on Iran. I begin by singing the same song I have been crooning since President Trump announced the ceasefire and naval blockade in mid-April. The war is over. If this were a novel, we’d be in epilogue territory where we tie up some loose threads in the plot and learn about the fates of various characters.
~Snip~
It is very difficult for rats in a sewer pipe to know what’s going on in the outside world. Some color for the Iranian leadership as they literally sit in the dark:
  1. The United States has complete control of the Strait of Hormuz.
  2. There is a hard currency, i.e., U.S. dollar, shortage.
  3. Food and gasoline rationing are in place.
  4. The entire international community has turned against you. T
  5. The BLOCKADE will continue until there is pre-February 27 Freedom of Navigation.
Many of the thugs running Iran and enforcing its terror regime have retirement accounts and other assets outside the country. The US Treasury knows all about them. “The retirement funds they thought they had outside of Iran, we are freezing. Same with their villas in the South of France. We are going to track them down, and we are going to continue the economic pressure as well as the blockade.”
~Snip~
President Trump may very well choose to redeploy the kinetic option. We’ll see. Either way, the regime is finished. Let’s leave the last word to Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy:
We’ve learned two things from our conflict with Iran:
1. If you turn the other cheek with Iran, they’ll stab you in the neck.​
2. President Trump has oranges the size of beach balls.​




Commentary:
I was disheartened today when I learned my neighbor is a full-on terminal TDS deep end, so I scoured the Internet looking for some optimism.
In what little of Iran’s 14 point peace counter proposal is known, the gist is—–America, back off, leave the Strait, guarantee no new attacks, and pay us for all the damage you’ve done. And, oh by the way, we aren’t giving up our nukes.
In the meantime, Al-Jazeera reports that US air activity is picking up. At least 12 C-17A Globemaster III military cargo planes are enroute to the region bring re-supply materials. Each C-17 is capable of carrying 77 tons of equipment. In addition, flights of KC-135 refueling tankers are also up. It appears President Trump is preparing a kinetic response to Iran’s latest demands.
I have no idea how much longer this is going to drag out. I only know that Iran is finished. I suppose it will end when those scurrying for power wake up to that fact they've lost it all.
 

The Last Days of the Iranian Regime

Iran’s regime lost the war the moment American force and economic pressure exposed its bluff; what remains is the slow collapse of a terror state running out of money, options, and time.
3 May 2026 ~~ By Roger Kimball

Some nearly stochastic notes on Iran. I begin by singing the same song I have been crooning since President Trump announced the ceasefire and naval blockade in mid-April. The war is over. If this were a novel, we’d be in epilogue territory where we tie up some loose threads in the plot and learn about the fates of various characters.
~Snip~
It is very difficult for rats in a sewer pipe to know what’s going on in the outside world. Some color for the Iranian leadership as they literally sit in the dark:
  1. The United States has complete control of the Strait of Hormuz.
  2. There is a hard currency, i.e., U.S. dollar, shortage.
  3. Food and gasoline rationing are in place.
  4. The entire international community has turned against you. T
  5. The BLOCKADE will continue until there is pre-February 27 Freedom of Navigation.
Many of the thugs running Iran and enforcing its terror regime have retirement accounts and other assets outside the country. The US Treasury knows all about them. “The retirement funds they thought they had outside of Iran, we are freezing. Same with their villas in the South of France. We are going to track them down, and we are going to continue the economic pressure as well as the blockade.”
~Snip~
President Trump may very well choose to redeploy the kinetic option. We’ll see. Either way, the regime is finished. Let’s leave the last word to Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy:
We’ve learned two things from our conflict with Iran:
1. If you turn the other cheek with Iran, they’ll stab you in the neck.​
2. President Trump has oranges the size of beach balls.​




Commentary:
I was disheartened today when I learned my neighbor is a full-on terminal TDS deep end, so I scoured the Internet looking for some optimism.
In what little of Iran’s 14 point peace counter proposal is known, the gist is—–America, back off, leave the Strait, guarantee no new attacks, and pay us for all the damage you’ve done. And, oh by the way, we aren’t giving up our nukes.
In the meantime, Al-Jazeera reports that US air activity is picking up. At least 12 C-17A Globemaster III military cargo planes are enroute to the region bring re-supply materials. Each C-17 is capable of carrying 77 tons of equipment. In addition, flights of KC-135 refueling tankers are also up. It appears President Trump is preparing a kinetic response to Iran’s latest demands.
I have no idea how much longer this is going to drag out. I only know that Iran is finished. I suppose it will end when those scurrying for power wake up to that fact they've lost it all.
As I've posted several times, KEEP THE FOOT ON THEIR FEEDING TUBE. Time is on our side, not theirs. Their capacity to store oil is almost nil. They will be forced to shutdown their production to try and save their oil infrastructure. Their endless fountain of money will be plugged up. KEEP ALL THEIR FOREIGN ASSETS FROZEN. Let's see how long the IRGC works for no pay. FINISH THE JOB, GET THE REGIME RATS OUT OF IRAN.
 
I'm watching Ken Burs doc on the Vietnam war right now. The milestones on the way to our ultimate defeat are shockingly similar.
===

1962 meeting with Edward Lansdale​

One example arose in an early 1962 conversation between U.S. Air Force Brigadier General Edward Lansdale and McNamara. Lansdale reportedly told McNamara, who was trying to develop a list of metrics to allow him to scientifically follow the progress of the war, that he needed to add an 'x-factor'; McNamara wrote that down on his list in pencil and asked what it was. Lansdale told him it was the feelings of the common rural Vietnamese people. McNamara then erased it and sarcastically told Lansdale that he could not measure it.<a href="McNamara fallacy - Wikipedia"><span>[</span>3<span>]</span></a>

===
This is where we are right now.
 
.
Few here believe you. Not with your track record
ron-swanson-dont-even-care.gif

Also: My track record is not that bad, retard.
 

The Last Days of the Iranian Regime

I have no idea

Are you ready to receive your Gullibility Badge ?

It's all Theatre and they are all having fun with their Peace Plans which are just put together for press release to you and other Munchers , and nobody involved is in the least interested in their absurd details --- both sides.

The main thing to check on is the progress of the Energy and Food Starvation Psy Op
Only another 6 weeks maximum of the present impasse should guarantee the deaths of a billion or more next year .

It seems still on target , so get Prepping if you are smart --- which probably rules you out .
 
As I've posted several times, KEEP THE FOOT ON THEIR FEEDING TUBE. Time is on our side, not theirs. Their capacity to store oil is almost nil. They will be forced to shutdown their production to try and save their oil infrastructure. Their endless fountain of money will be plugged up. KEEP ALL THEIR FOREIGN ASSETS FROZEN. Let's see how long the IRGC works for no pay. FINISH THE JOB, GET THE REGIME RATS OUT OF IRAN.
Do we know for sure that they are out of storage?
 
Nothing is certain, but most experts think they have around a month before they have to begin shutdown procedures which is potentially devastating to their production.
A month from now?
 
Not for long. When it comes, it's gonna be the biggest thing yet.
5X bigger than what Israel did to Hezbollah when the ceasefire was declared.
All in a few hours or less.
Then I suggest he get to it. He has 6 months before he loses the House and Senate...
 
Then I suggest he get to it. He has 6 months before he loses the House and Senate...
Timing is everything with something like that. Windows of opportunity are narrow.
We want maximum gains with minimum collateral damage.
 
Are you ready to receive your Gullibility Badge ?

It's all Theatre and they are all having fun with their Peace Plans which are just put together for press release to you and other Munchers , and nobody involved is in the least interested in their absurd details --- both sides.

The main thing to check on is the progress of the Energy and Food Starvation Psy Op
Only another 6 weeks maximum of the present impasse should guarantee the deaths of a billion or more next year .

It seems still on target , so get Prepping if you are smart --- which probably rules you out .
I'm smoking a 10-lb ham. Do you know how many meals can be made out of that and how long it lasts?
I can make a pot of beans with plenty of ham in it on an outdoor fire if I have to.
Whip up some rotten milk cornbread and add some onion, and there ya go!
 
15th post
Timing is everything with something like that. Windows of opportunity are narrow.
We want maximum gains with minimum collateral damage.
I agree with what Trump is doing in regard to Iran, but timing IS everything. In 6 months people won't be asking how things are going in Iran. They are going to the voting booth, with soaring prices at the pump, inflation continuing, and food prices as bad as before he was elected. Had he concentrated on those things, and waited until after the midterms to go after Iran, he would have had plenty of time to wait them out. He is slitting his own throat now...
 
Iran knows this....probably willing to wait it out.
We are assuming too much .... they may actually be able to wait it out.

JO
We are not going to wait on those terrorist bastards. :nono:
 
I agree with what Trump is doing in regard to Iran, but timing IS everything. In 6 months people won't be asking how things are going in Iran. They are going to the voting booth, with soaring prices at the pump, inflation continuing, and food prices as bad as before he was elected. Had he concentrated on those things, and waited until after the midterms to go after Iran, he would have had plenty of time to wait them out. He is slitting his own throat now...
Iran was ready to start making major moves with conventional missiles while getting close to a dozen nukes to go on them soon.
Now China has shipped them 5 of their knockoff C-5 planes full of stuff. We'll see how this goes.
I wouldn't bet against there being RPGs and drones in there.
 
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