The demographic reality of the 2016 presidential election

[ScienceRocks]

Whites are around 65% of the country(including Spaniard whites that are hispanic(62.1 that are non-hispanic white)). They should be happy that they get 70% of the electorate this year. They have more power then they should have! Remember that when Hillary kicks the shit out of Trump in Nov!

Hispanics are 17.6% of the population, but in 2012 only made up around 10% of the electorate! Some of the power that hispanics would have if they came out instead goes to whites.
Asians 5.6% of the population, but 3% of the electorate.
Blacks 12.6% of the population and 13% of the electorate.
Native Americans(native American indians and hawaiians, islanders) make up the difference...

How Groups Voted in 2012 - Roper Center

Don't be surprised if the hispanic share grows this year to at least 12-12.5% or more. These people will probably also vote Hillary big time with the break down being around 80/20. I seen one poll that has Trump as low as 14%! hahaha

In 2012 women went 55/44 for Obama, Men went 52/45 for Romney.
Also in 2012 all races of women made up 53% of the electorate, while all races of men made up only 47%!
White men make up 34% of the electorate, White women make up 36% of the electorate.

I bet white males will be the only demographic in this whole country to vote for Trump! hahaha

Remember, we have the first female top of the ticket candidate in history!!! Expect the number of females voting for Hillary to be near 60%!(some polling data suggest that 70+% don't like trump) This will make the white vote over all impossible to top 60% as Romney couldn't in 2012. Hispanic men will also go more Clinton making up some of the lose from the white male group in the male portion of the column!

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

 

[ScienceRocks]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

That is including about half of the hispanics that are clearly non-white in reality. HIspanics will vote in higher numbers against trump this election.

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

That is including about half of the hispanics that are clearly non-white in reality.

No, 72.4 is the total.

HIspanics will vote in higher numbers against trump this election.

Only the illegal ones.

 

[Nyvin]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

 

[Nyvin]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

 

[ScienceRocks]

In 1950 off the top of my head America was about 3% spaniard decent. We see about 3-4,000 greencards per year from that country.

Most of the hispanics that have come to America are of native American decent or mix decent. So between race mixing within said group and the reality that mainly the poorest come to America = it is very likely that this subgroup of whites is smaller by percentage then it was 60 years ago.

We get 100,000 naturalization and about the same for green cards from Mexico yearly. Mostly from family link ups and illegals applying for legalization.

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

There are approximately 150,000,000 registered voters. 11.4% did not vote in the 2012 election. That is a significant number of voters, and one must take into account the current visceral anger of the electorate, the rising fear among Christians concerning the diminishing of 1st Amendment rights, and the general concern over Supreme Court nominations.

 

[Nyvin]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

There are approximately 150,000,000 registered voters. 11.4% did not vote in the 2012 election. That is a significant number of voters, and one must take into account the current visceral anger of the electorate, the rising fear among Christians concerning the diminishing of 1st Amendment rights, and the general concern over Supreme Court nominations.

I think the white conservative vote is mostly maxed out....they already have some of the highest turnout of the electorate. Most of the eligible voters who don't vote are either young, poor, part of a minority ethnic race, or a mix of the three. None of those groups favor Republicans all that much (especially not minorities).

The electorate is not moving in the Republican's direction, as evidenced by the fact that they haven't surpassed their 2004 vote total in the last two elections.

 

[Yousaidwhat]

Whites are around 65% of the country(including Spaniard whites that are hispanic(62.1 that are non-hispanic white)). They should be happy that they get 70% of the electorate this year. They have more power then they should have! Remember that when Hillary kicks the shit out of Trump in Nov!

Hispanics are 17.6% of the population, but in 2012 only made up around 10% of the electorate! Some of the power that hispanics would have if they came out instead goes to whites.
Asians 5.6% of the population, but 3% of the electorate.
Blacks 12.6% of the population and 13% of the electorate.
Native Americans(native American indians and hawaiians, islanders) make up the difference...

How Groups Voted in 2012 - Roper Center

Don't be surprised if the hispanic share grows this year to at least 12-12.5% or more. These people will probably also vote Hillary big time with the break down being around 80/20. I seen one poll that has Trump as low as 14%! hahaha

In 2012 women went 55/44 for Obama, Men went 52/45 for Romney.
Also in 2012 all races of women made up 53% of the electorate, while all races of men made up only 47%!
White men make up 34% of the electorate, White women make up 36% of the electorate.

I bet white males will be the only demographic in this whole country to vote for Trump! hahaha

Remember, we have the first female top of the ticket candidate in history!!! Expect the number of females voting for Hillary to be near 60%!(some polling data suggest that 70+% don't like trump) This will make the white vote over all impossible to top 60% as Romney couldn't in 2012. Hispanic men will also go more Clinton making up some of the lose from the white male group in the male portion of the column!

Blah blah Trump blah blah Hillary blah blah blah, yada yada Vagina candidate blah blah historic blah blah Nazis blah blah racist blah blah yada yada polls blah blah infrastructure blah blah cuts blah blah whites blah blah yada yada.

Results. Hillary becomes President.

Matt waits patiently for his grants and benefits.

They never come.

16 years without a Republican in office. Matt blames the next Republican President.

 

[Friends]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

How enthusiastic to you think Evangelicals will be for the most famous adulterer in the United States?

 

[Hutch Starskey]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

There are approximately 150,000,000 registered voters. 11.4% did not vote in the 2012 election. That is a significant number of voters, and one must take into account the current visceral anger of the electorate, the rising fear among Christians concerning the diminishing of 1st Amendment rights, and the general concern over Supreme Court nominations.

You also have to take in to account the 270 electoral votes required. Just like Romney ,Trump must sweep the majority of swing states to win. It's not likely to happen.

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

How enthusiastic to you think Evangelicals will be for the most famous adulterer in the United States?

I believe they will take the destruction of the 1st Amendment more seriously.

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

There are approximately 150,000,000 registered voters. 11.4% did not vote in the 2012 election. That is a significant number of voters, and one must take into account the current visceral anger of the electorate, the rising fear among Christians concerning the diminishing of 1st Amendment rights, and the general concern over Supreme Court nominations.

You also have to take in to account the 270 electoral votes required. Just like Romney ,Trump must sweep the majority of swing states to win. It's not likely to happen.

It was less likely that he would be the nominee.

 

[rightwinger]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

Trump is going to need a lot more than 60 million votes to beat Hillary

Where is he going to get them?

 

[Dekster]

Whites are around 65% of the country

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

Trump is going to need a lot more than 60 million votes to beat Hillary

Where is he going to get them?

Vote totals do not matter except the total of votes in the Electoral College. 100% turnout to Hillary in California, is no better than +1 vote in California.

 

[Blackrook]

Matthew, sometimes I think you're a monkey who somehow got caught in a science fiction experiment gone wrong and you learned how to use a typewriter.

 

[rightwinger]

Nope. 72.4, and you are unwise to believe that other races will vote in lockstep with the Democrats.

Also, recall that the Evangelicals stayed home in 2012 rather than vote for a Mormon. That issue does not apply to this election.

About half of Bernie's people will vote Green, or not at all.

Romney got about a million more votes than McCain 08 and a million less votes than Bush 04. Obama won 2012 with about 5 million more votes than Romney.

Your math doesn't add up.

Show your work.

2004 George W Bush 62,040,610
John Kerry 59,027,115

2008 Barack Obama 69,498,516
John McCain 59,948,323

2012 Barack Obama 65,915,796
Mitt Romney 60,934,407

Trump is going to need a lot more than 60 million votes to beat Hillary

Where is he going to get them?

Vote totals do not matter except the total of votes in the Electoral College. 100% turnout to Hillary in California, is no better than +1 vote in California.

Very true...and that is where it gets bad for Trump

Hillary s leading in every swing state and even NC Arizona and Georgia are up for grabs

 

[yiostheoy]

Whites are around 65% of the country(including Spaniard whites that are hispanic(62.1 that are non-hispanic white)). They should be happy that they get 70% of the electorate this year. They have more power then they should have! Remember that when Hillary kicks the shit out of Trump in Nov!

Hispanics are 17.6% of the population, but in 2012 only made up around 10% of the electorate! Some of the power that hispanics would have if they came out instead goes to whites.
Asians 5.6% of the population, but 3% of the electorate.
Blacks 12.6% of the population and 13% of the electorate.
Native Americans(native American indians and hawaiians, islanders) make up the difference...

How Groups Voted in 2012 - Roper Center

Don't be surprised if the hispanic share grows this year to at least 12-12.5% or more. These people will probably also vote Hillary big time with the break down being around 80/20. I seen one poll that has Trump as low as 14%! hahaha

In 2012 women went 55/44 for Obama, Men went 52/45 for Romney.
Also in 2012 all races of women made up 53% of the electorate, while all races of men made up only 47%!
White men make up 34% of the electorate, White women make up 36% of the electorate.

I bet white males will be the only demographic in this whole country to vote for Trump! hahaha

Remember, we have the first female top of the ticket candidate in history!!! Expect the number of females voting for Hillary to be near 60%!(some polling data suggest that 70+% don't like trump) This will make the white vote over all impossible to top 60% as Romney couldn't in 2012. Hispanic men will also go more Clinton making up some of the lose from the white male group in the male portion of the column!

Be nice if you linked to your citations.

Whites are 63.7%
Latino are 16.3%
Blacks are 12.2%
Asians are 4.7%
Native Amer are 1%
Mixed are 2.1%

Demography of the United States - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia