Toroshit,
As usual, you're missing the point, you ******* Obamarrhoidal arsehole.
The point being made that not raising the Debt Ceiling doesn't automatically mean that the country tanks. Mail will function, the Military will get paid, the more important financial obligations will be met etc.......and the LIEBTARDS will be forced to face the Nation with their RIDICULOUS SPENDING BINGE which is NON-SUSTAINABLE BECAUSE AT THE $14 TRILLION+ mark THE COUNTRY IS ******* BANKRUPT !!!!
gaytardma
You are a drooling moron with an unhealthy scatological obsession. Are your doctors at the sanatorium aware of this obsession?
I'll explain it to you, gaytardma. But because you're an insane raving lunatic obsessed with what comes out of bodily cavities, I doubt you'll understand it.
The government will spend $3.8 trillion. It will take in $2.2 trillion. That means the government must issue $1.6 trillion in debt this year. If the government does not raise the debt ceiling, it must cut $1.6 trillion from its budget, or $130 billion a month, which is equivalent to 9% of GDP. That means the economy will start to contract at an annualized rate of 11%, double the rate of the contraction of the last recession. $1.6 trillion is not going to suddenly appear out of nowhere to replace that lost spending. The economy would start to contract at a rate faster than it did during the financial crisis.
We are going to spend $200 billion on interest costs this year. Making the highly questionable assumption that the non-governmental economy will still grow 3% this year while the government contracts at 11%, tax revenues will be $2 trillion. $800 billion will go to social security. $800 billion will go to medicare and medicaid. $800 billion will go to defense. On those three things alone, we are at $2.4 trillion. Don't believe me?
Here is the budget.
So we have to cut $400 billion from social security, medicare, medicaid and defense and every single other thing the government does if we don't raise the debt ceiling.
Now here's where it gets interesting. If I am a large holder of US bonds, i.e. a foreigner, who do I think is going to get stiffed? Old people? The troops? Or bondholders? Who has more political capital?
In fact, it doesn't even matter what the answer is. All I, as a large bondholder, have to do is ponder that question. Because if I think I, as a bondholder, am further down the priority list compared to old people and the troops, I'm not going to stick around. I'm going to start selling my bonds, which will mean higher interest rates. This is where you could get a dollar crisis if there is a run on US bonds because bondholders think they're going to get stiffed.
The risk is enormous.
So you see, gaytardma, the debt ceiling is going to get raised. Drooling insane nutters like yourself aside, neither the Republican party nor the Democrat party are that stupid.