Testing shows hundreds of thousands in LA County may have been infected with coronavirus

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Another study done by Stanford university in the Bay Area yielded similar results, but received a lot of criticism. If this is an accurate depiction, considering there have been 732 COVID-19 deaths as of today, that would put the actual mortality rate at anywhere between .16 to .3%, which is relatively on par with your standard influenza depending on the season.

The coronavirus outbreak in Los Angeles County is believed to have infected at least 200,000 people by early April, which would far surpass the number of officially confirmed cases, according to a report on Monday.

A large scale study by the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health found that 4.1 percent of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the virus in their blood, which is an indicator of past exposure.

Based on the county's population, that means that between 221,000 and 442,000 adults in the area have previously been infected, the study estimated.


Here is the link to the Stanford study which discusses the criticism both studies are receiving regarding their methodology

 
Another study done by Stanford university in the Bay Area yielded similar results, but received a lot of criticism. If this is an accurate depiction, considering there have been 732 COVID-19 deaths as of today, that would put the actual mortality rate at anywhere between .16 to .3%, which is relatively on par with your standard influenza depending on the season.

The coronavirus outbreak in Los Angeles County is believed to have infected at least 200,000 people by early April, which would far surpass the number of officially confirmed cases, according to a report on Monday.

A large scale study by the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health found that 4.1 percent of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the virus in their blood, which is an indicator of past exposure.

Based on the county's population, that means that between 221,000 and 442,000 adults in the area have previously been infected, the study estimated.


Here is the link to the Stanford study which discusses the criticism both studies are receiving regarding their methodology

This is not news to many of us who have been predicting the chinese disease is not as deadly as fauci and the lib academics were telling us

but in fairness to libs the jury is still out
 
Another study done by Stanford university in the Bay Area yielded similar results, but received a lot of criticism. If this is an accurate depiction, considering there have been 732 COVID-19 deaths as of today, that would put the actual mortality rate at anywhere between .16 to .3%, which is relatively on par with your standard influenza depending on the season.

The coronavirus outbreak in Los Angeles County is believed to have infected at least 200,000 people by early April, which would far surpass the number of officially confirmed cases, according to a report on Monday.

A large scale study by the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health found that 4.1 percent of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the virus in their blood, which is an indicator of past exposure.

Based on the county's population, that means that between 221,000 and 442,000 adults in the area have previously been infected, the study estimated.


Here is the link to the Stanford study which discusses the criticism both studies are receiving regarding their methodology


I found the point about NYC already having a 1% mortality rate pretty compelling when it comes to taking these with a grain of salt. Still, it is good to get some new evidence about the prevalence of infections.
 
Comparing Flu mortality with COVID19 mortality when you are actively going out looking for asymptomatic COVID19 cases is a case of apples vrs oranges.

Normally the stats are based on those who seek medical care, not who carries antibodies.
 
This is good news except for the alarmists who want to keep the economy closed. Trump said from the beginning that the death toll would be actually much lower than everyone was predicting. But when it comes to having an absolute figure for the % of deaths among those who contract the disease, the jury will remain out until we have reliable tests that can be given universally. In the end, the % should continue to drop until we have those tests. Trump seemed to know more than Fauci from the beginning.
 
This is good news except for the alarmists who want to keep the economy closed. Trump said from the beginning that the death toll would be actually much lower than everyone was predicting. But when it comes to having an absolute figure for the % of deaths among those who contract the disease, the jury will remain out until we have reliable tests that can be given universally. In the end, the % should continue to drop until we have those tests. Trump seemed to know more than Fauci from the beginning.
Trump will issue guidelines for the state governors, and they will act on their own, Blue states will keep everything locked down for ever waiting for a vaccine, in all likelihood, while Red states will get their economy going early on.

I love Darwin.
 
Does the flu normally kill 50,000 people in 6 weeks?
No it doesn’t, but can we really believe that number? We keep getting conflicting information from media sources. Of course, most of the MSM is in lockstep as always.

Somethings amiss, when a virus becomes political.
 
Does the flu normally kill 50,000 people in 6 weeks?
No it doesn’t, but can we really believe that number? We keep getting conflicting information from media sources. Of course, most of the MSM is in lockstep as always.

Somethings amiss, when a virus becomes political.

Yes, we can trust that number (its an approximate number above but it's close) .
No, we don't expect YOU to trust it. You're paranoid.
 
Does the flu normally kill 50,000 people in 6 weeks?
No it doesn’t, but can we really believe that number? We keep getting conflicting information from media sources. Of course, most of the MSM is in lockstep as always.

Somethings amiss, when a virus becomes political.

Yes, we can trust that number (its an approximate number above but it's close) .
No, we don't expect YOU to trust it. You're paranoid.
Sorry but I require a little more than your personal opinion, which magically matches the trump hating MSM.
 
Another study done by Stanford university in the Bay Area yielded similar results, but received a lot of criticism. If this is an accurate depiction, considering there have been 732 COVID-19 deaths as of today, that would put the actual mortality rate at anywhere between .16 to .3%, which is relatively on par with your standard influenza depending on the season.

The coronavirus outbreak in Los Angeles County is believed to have infected at least 200,000 people by early April, which would far surpass the number of officially confirmed cases, according to a report on Monday.

A large scale study by the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health found that 4.1 percent of the county’s adult population has antibodies to the virus in their blood, which is an indicator of past exposure.

Based on the county's population, that means that between 221,000 and 442,000 adults in the area have previously been infected, the study estimated.


Here is the link to the Stanford study which discusses the criticism both studies are receiving regarding their methodology



This makes total sense to me.

Living in Kalifornia and having a finger in the health care community I continued to wonder WHY the stats weren't higher, especially given the large homeless population
 
The now-infamous swine flu - the one about which Righardia is lately enraged because President Obama botched the response leading to egregious fatality numbers - killed 12k out of 60m infected. That's 0.02%.

Even at 0.2%, the Covid-19 fatality rate is an order of magnitude higher, and that's not accounting for the fact that the coronavirus is way more contagious leading, if not mitigated, to a way higher count of infected.

Moreover, even if one disregards the fatalities, as our righty friends increasingly resolve to do, the hospitalization rate is such that an unmitigated Covid-19 epidemic would overwhelm the healthcare system up and down the country, and a collapse of care not just for Covid-19 patients, but for everybody else, too. That means, the death toll would surge even beyond everybody's wildest dreams. We see the beginnings of same already as folks experiencing heart attacks or strokes do seek medical attention in numbers far below what is expected. Many rather die alone at home than to risk exposure to the virus in hospitals overrun with Covid-19 patients.

All in all, those who think the current mitigation measures are overblown and unnecessary know not whereof they speak, but still, speak they do.
 

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