IMHO if Kavanaugh is not confirmed, the Dems will not win control of either the House or the Senate next month, as too many Repubs and independent voters will be totally pissed at them. Might also hurt them in 2020 too. Same goes for impeachment in the House of Trump or Kavanaugh (if confirmed), or anyone. The surest way I know of for the Dems to give back the House in 2020, assuming they win it this year, is to go on some Quixotic crusade with insufficient evidence to prove their case.
I think conservative voters that were likely going to be disinterested are now fully engaged, fired up, and will come out to vote
remember when super high turnout in 2016 was supposed to be bad new for Trump specifically and republicans in general?
well, we got really high turnout, and it did not work out for our friends on the left like they hoped and expected
I believe we will see a repeat of that in the 2018 midterm elections
my thoughts on what is likely:
democrats will, once again, see more actual votes come in for their side; but mostly in places like Cali & NY - deep blue areas
independent voters in purple states and districts will break republican
why?
because the left is trying to dismantle the presumption of innocence and other deeply rooted principles that most Americans hold dear
and they have been amazing hypocrites
nobody wants to see an actual sexual assault go unpunished; but independent women in purple areas also do not want their fathers, husbands, brothers and sons to be subjected to unfair penalties because of falllacious accusations from vindictive women with an agenda
this thing is already blowing up in their face
1 example, and then I have to get back to work...
Heidi Heitkamp, the Dem Senator from ND has long been seen as a "safe" Democrat in a red state. But now? She is in deep trouble, and it does not even look like a "yes" vote on Kav can save her
she is down close to double digits in polling; which, as we have seen before, almost always tends to overstate the Democrats strength