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From the article YOU linked:
It’s not clear how severe a recession we’re going to get.
Right. So there WILL be a recession--we're just not sure how severe. And we knew this, and voters know just who to blame. But in your fevered imagination, the slightest downturn in the economy that Biden shipwrecked will send Americans voting for Democrats in droves.
Yeah okay
The recession was going to happen no matter who won in 2020. The US has averaged a recession every 7 years since the end of the Great Depression. These are not glitches, these are built into our system.
Now, the real debate will be over how much worse Biden's actions will make the recession.