So What if the 2020 Polls are Off by the Same Amount they were Off in 2016?

[JimBowie1958]

Trump still wins, but they are actually off by much more this time.

Zerohedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

Remarkably, if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump would win with 279 of the 538 electoral votes, while Biden would get 259. ​

​

Still, the margin of victory would be within 0.5 percentage points in Wisconsin (for Biden) and Georgia (for Trump), which would trigger an automatic recount and delay results. In addition, the margin in Pennsylvania and Florida would be less than 1.0%, likely resulting in a bitter post-election night fight and contested outcomes.​

​

In short, no matter what happens on Nov 3, expect recounts and extensive delays before we have a clear winner.​

​

Putting this together, Bloomberg said it best: "All of that means a Trump win on Tuesday would represent a historically staggering failure by public opinion polls, eclipsing even the 2016 miss. While the president’s chances of being re-elected aren’t zero, pollsters say it’s a long shot."​

I think Trump will win all the listed states in the graphic above.

 

[BluesLegend]

This election isn't over until we defeat Dems attempts to steal it. The vote tally on election night doesn't really matter, Dems won't accept the result if they lose. It's going to be lawsuits and recounts after recounts just like last time.

 

[Hossfly]

Trump still wins, but they are actually off by much more this time.

Zerohedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

Remarkably, if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump would win with 279 of the 538 electoral votes, while Biden would get 259. ​

​

Still, the margin of victory would be within 0.5 percentage points in Wisconsin (for Biden) and Georgia (for Trump), which would trigger an automatic recount and delay results. In addition, the margin in Pennsylvania and Florida would be less than 1.0%, likely resulting in a bitter post-election night fight and contested outcomes.​

​

In short, no matter what happens on Nov 3, expect recounts and extensive delays before we have a clear winner.​

​

Putting this together, Bloomberg said it best: "All of that means a Trump win on Tuesday would represent a historically staggering failure by public opinion polls, eclipsing even the 2016 miss. While the president’s chances of being re-elected aren’t zero, pollsters say it’s a long shot."​

View attachment 409462

I think Trump will win all the listed states in the graphic above.

 

[gtopa1]

Me

Je suis Henry...



Greg

 

[gtopa1]

Jimmah: again...lmao

Greg