Every election year we and read the same old story from Republicans:
BLACKS ARE LEAVING THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY TO VOTE FOR THE REPUBICAN CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT. We have read multiple threads about dems panicking because blacks are running to Trump, or how blacks finally are seeing some "truth" about Democrats as proclaimed by Republicans. And as usual, it's a bunch of malarkey.
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A new report from the Pew Research Center pokes a hole in the oft-repeated claim that a historic racial realignment is occurring within American politics, with nonwhite voters learning to love the GOP and Donald Trump.
In recent years — days, even — there’s been a seemingly endless deluge of news stories hyping up this purported realignment as fact. Trump and his allies have been touting similar claims as well (which seems like all the more reason to question them).
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Hispanic voters (61%) are Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party, while 35% are Republicans or Republican leaners.
- The Democratic Party’s edge among Hispanic voters over the last two years is somewhat narrower than it was in years prior.
Black voters continue to overwhelmingly associate with the Democratic Party, although the extent of the Democratic advantage among this group has fallen off over the last few years.
- Currently, 83% of Black voters are Democrats or lean Democratic, while 12% align with the GOP.
- As recently as 2020, the share associating with the Democratic Party was 5 percentage points higher. That somewhat larger edge in party affiliation had been in place for much of the last two decades.
About six-in-ten Asian voters (63%) align with the Democratic Party, while 36% are oriented toward the GOP.
- The balance of partisan association among Asian voters has changed little over the last few years.
The Republican Party now holds a 15-point advantage among White registered voters and a 6-point edge for voters without a college degree.
www.pewresearch.org