t is however, one of the most, if not THE most popular polls/topics in USMB history and lookie how people weighed in... and to how the questions were phrased. It wasn't a mediocre "no". It was a "oh HELL NO!" with fortitude. That might be a clue as to why dems got their butt whipped in the middle bloc voting against them last week (not for the GOP). That group was voting against something palpable clinging to the democratic label like a repugnant dingleberry. The poll is your "Here's your sign"... 82% is IMPRESSIVE...
We've been through this, Silo:
1) The straw poll doesn't ask about support for gay marriage. You insist it does. You're obvious wrong.
2) The poll is a straw poll. One of the most unreliable polling methods that exist because it involves only interested parties. Ron Paul, for example, won every straw poll in his 2008 presidential bid. Most by unheard of margins. But didn't carry a single state or come close to it. Which is why no credible pollster uses straw polls...as they're fantastically unreliable.
3) Your straw poll allows for multiple voting. As you've admitted yourself, anyone can create a new sock puppet (fake account). And every sock gets to vote. So we have no idea how many votes are from different people. And how many are the same person voting over and over again. Where in randomized polls ( like Gallup), each person only gets to vote once.
4) Your polling sample is too small. You have about 130 voters. That's a polling sample far beyond the threshold of any credible national poll. Most polls start at around 800 and work their way up to 3000.
5) Your straw poll is singular. So...even if your straw poll asked about support for gay marriage (which it doesn't), even if it wasn't a straw poll, but a randomized polling sample (which it isn't) even if you had a larger polling sample (which you don't), your straw poll would still be an outlier. As there are literally DOZENS of polls asking directly about support for gay marriage that show strong support. With margins of support being between 12 and 19 points. And growing. If a few dozen polls point in one direction, and one points in the other.....the 'other' is an outlier. And of no particular statistical significance.
6) Poll after poll after poll after poll (about 3 and half dozen at last count) show strong support for gay marriage. Gallup, Reuters, AP, NBC, CBS, Rasmussen, every major polling agency. And these polls avoid the blunders of your strawpoll.
First, they are randomized, meaning that you get a generic cross section of the population rather than exclusively interested parties.
Second, each respondent only gets to vote once.
Third, the polls ask about support for gay marriage. Your strawpoll never does.
Fourth, they have statistically significant polling samples.
Fifth, they all point in the same direction. The consistency of outcome, with almost all of the results in the same stastistical range strongly indicate that you're getting accurate results.
And you know all of this. But you cling to your delusion that all the scientific polls MUST be wrong. And only a random strawpoll on a message board can be right.
Um, no.