Lol there is no way Trump will have a political career by then for a number of reasons.
Trump's political career is a product of conservative batshit.
And I've learned never to underestimate the danger of stupid people in large numbers.
It’s not that I think people won’t support him under normal circumstances. I just think he’s already going through dementia. By then he’ll probably be useless in a mental capacity. I also think he could wind up in prison by then as well.
I really don't think it matters. I think the 2024 nomination from the GOP has only one significant test:
Will Trump's image suffer as his claim to fame becomes being the most well known loser.
And it depends on the GOP's commitment to being the victim party. If they continue head down, ass up....lamenting endlessly about who fucked them in the ass and why, then I think Trump has a superb shot. As he's the reigning champ of losing.
If the GOP sacks up and tries to grow a backbone based on principle or success.....then Trump will fade away as an embarrassment.
And I genuinely think it could go either way.