Rassmussen State By State: Romney 279, Obama 243, 24 Tied

[TheGreatGatsby]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

 

[Misty]

Suck on that liberals. You lose. Ha!

 

[AceRothstein]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

What's the excuse for why Ras was again biased towards GOP candidates in 2010? Maybe it is because they do a poor job when it comes to state polling.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

What's the excuse for why Ras was again biased towards GOP candidates in 2010? Maybe it is because they do a poor job when it comes to state polling.

I don't know what you're talking about. Dems got a major ass kicking it 2010.

 

[AceRothstein]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

What's the excuse for why Ras was again biased towards GOP candidates in 2010? Maybe it is because they do a poor job when it comes to state polling.

I don't know what you're talking about. Dems got a major ass kicking it 2010.

The Dems most certainly did get an ass kicking in 2010. Didn't stop Ras from being 4 points off in his polls in favor of the GOP candidates, his margins were off more than the other pollsters.

Two elections in a row where Ras overstated numbers by 4 points towards GOP candidates.

 

[NYcarbineer]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

Oh really. Rasmussen's state polls were all wrong, and biased towards McCain,

but that's what proves they were accurate?

Is that your story? Are you mentally handicapped?

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

Oh really. Rasmussen's state polls were all wrong, and biased towards McCain,

but that's what proves they were accurate?

Is that your story? Are you mentally handicapped?

You're an idiot. Polls are at the mercy of division of the samples. If more of either party comes out then it's going to be a different outcome than the poll says. My point was that if you adjusted the outcome to the sampling, then the polls were still pretty accurate.

So, the point is that if it's not another 08 with huge Democratic turn-out, then you can expect the R. polls to be accurately reflected. And if Republican turn-out is up (and I believe it will be) then you can expect the Republicans to exceed the R. poll expectations.

And btw, when that happens, hacks like Nate Silver won't be stating that Rassmussen has a Democratic bias. He will point to turn-out. Yup, we all know how haterals love their revolving doors.

 

[Rinata]

Based upon the latest Rasmussen Polls:

Ohio (10/29) - Romney 50, Obama 48
North Carolina (10/27) - Romney 52, Obama 46
Wisconsin (10/26) - Obama 49, Romney 49 (Romney leads 51-47 among voters who say they're sure to vote)
Florida (10/26) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Virginia (10/25) - Romney 50, Obama 47
Pennsylvania (10/25) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Arizona (10/25) - Romney 52, Obama 44
New Hampshire (10/24) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Nevada (10/24) - Obama 50, Romney 48
Michigan (10/12) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Minnesota (10/23) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Connecticut (10/23) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Colorado (10/22) - Romney 50, Obama 46
Iowa (10/21) - Obama 48, Romney 48
Missouri (10/19) - Romney 54, Obama 43
Montana (10/17) - Romney 53, Obama 45
Washington (10/17) - Obama 55, Romney 42
Mass. (10/16) - Obama 57, Romney 42
Indiana (10/16) - Romney 54, Obama 41
New Mexico (10/10) - Obama 54, Romney 43
Maine (Unkn.) - Obama 52, Romney 40

In Ohio, they're running voting machines where when people vote for Romney, Obama's name is selected as their vote. Voting Machine Swaps Obama for Romney

Election fraud is such an ugly animal. How shall the DNC Cheat you? Let me count the ways....

In the article that you sited, one woman had a problem with the machine. It doesn't sound as though any fraud was involved. In any case, that is the specialty of the GOP. Remember 2000???

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

Based upon the latest Rasmussen Polls:

Ohio (10/29) - Romney 50, Obama 48
North Carolina (10/27) - Romney 52, Obama 46
Wisconsin (10/26) - Obama 49, Romney 49 (Romney leads 51-47 among voters who say they're sure to vote)
Florida (10/26) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Virginia (10/25) - Romney 50, Obama 47
Pennsylvania (10/25) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Arizona (10/25) - Romney 52, Obama 44
New Hampshire (10/24) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Nevada (10/24) - Obama 50, Romney 48
Michigan (10/12) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Minnesota (10/23) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Connecticut (10/23) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Colorado (10/22) - Romney 50, Obama 46
Iowa (10/21) - Obama 48, Romney 48
Missouri (10/19) - Romney 54, Obama 43
Montana (10/17) - Romney 53, Obama 45
Washington (10/17) - Obama 55, Romney 42
Mass. (10/16) - Obama 57, Romney 42
Indiana (10/16) - Romney 54, Obama 41
New Mexico (10/10) - Obama 54, Romney 43
Maine (Unkn.) - Obama 52, Romney 40

In Ohio, they're running voting machines where when people vote for Romney, Obama's name is selected as their vote. Voting Machine Swaps Obama for Romney

Election fraud is such an ugly animal. How shall the DNC Cheat you? Let me count the ways....

In the article that you sited, one woman had a problem with the machine. It doesn't sound as though any fraud was involved. In any case, that is the specialty of the GOP. Remember 2000???

No. One woman was interviewed. It was multiple people who had problems.

This could have been a mere malfunction from what I've read. It did not concern me as much as other tales of cheating in the past.

 

[Interpol]

Based upon the latest Rasmussen Polls:

Ohio (10/29) - Romney 50, Obama 48
North Carolina (10/27) - Romney 52, Obama 46
Wisconsin (10/26) - Obama 49, Romney 49 (Romney leads 51-47 among voters who say they're sure to vote)
Florida (10/26) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Virginia (10/25) - Romney 50, Obama 47
Pennsylvania (10/25) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Arizona (10/25) - Romney 52, Obama 44
New Hampshire (10/24) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Nevada (10/24) - Obama 50, Romney 48
Michigan (10/12) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Minnesota (10/23) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Connecticut (10/23) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Colorado (10/22) - Romney 50, Obama 46
Iowa (10/21) - Obama 48, Romney 48
Missouri (10/19) - Romney 54, Obama 43
Montana (10/17) - Romney 53, Obama 45
Washington (10/17) - Obama 55, Romney 42
Mass. (10/16) - Obama 57, Romney 42
Indiana (10/16) - Romney 54, Obama 41
New Mexico (10/10) - Obama 54, Romney 43
Maine (Unkn.) - Obama 52, Romney 40

Rasmussen is the only polling outfit showing a Romney lead in Ohio.

That's the key state.

I'm still of the mind that Obama will win it by 2.

Obama has also come back in the polls in NC, VA, FL and CO. The FL poll is about a week old now, shows Romney ahead by 2. In the Rasmussen survey the week before that, Romney was ahead by 5, so it's looking like Obama is making up ground there and could very well win with the help of increased Latino turnout.

And I just don't see Romney taking WI either.

For the Rasmussen numbers to pan out in reality, 80% of the electorate must be white while 6% must be Hispanic, but only 77% of 2008 voters were white while 7% were Hispanic.

This time around, 87% of Hispanics said they're going to vote and Obama leads with them by over 40 points.

On top of all that, Romney's uptick in the polls ended almost 2 weeks ago while Obama has come back up, and the winner is the one who closes out strong, which is why Obama remains ahead in every study except for Rasmussen, which believes the electorate will look more like 2010 than 2008, which is highly unlikely.

 

[LoneLaugher]

In Ohio, they're running voting machines where when people vote for Romney, Obama's name is selected as their vote. Voting Machine Swaps Obama for Romney

Election fraud is such an ugly animal. How shall the DNC Cheat you? Let me count the ways....

In the article that you sited, one woman had a problem with the machine. It doesn't sound as though any fraud was involved. In any case, that is the specialty of the GOP. Remember 2000???

No. One woman was interviewed. It was multiple people who had problems.

This could have been a mere malfunction from what I've read. It did not concern me as much as other tales of cheating in the past.

Other tales of cheating in the past? Sounds ominous.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

Based upon the latest Rasmussen Polls:

Ohio (10/29) - Romney 50, Obama 48
North Carolina (10/27) - Romney 52, Obama 46
Wisconsin (10/26) - Obama 49, Romney 49 (Romney leads 51-47 among voters who say they're sure to vote)
Florida (10/26) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Virginia (10/25) - Romney 50, Obama 47
Pennsylvania (10/25) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Arizona (10/25) - Romney 52, Obama 44
New Hampshire (10/24) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Nevada (10/24) - Obama 50, Romney 48
Michigan (10/12) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Minnesota (10/23) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Connecticut (10/23) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Colorado (10/22) - Romney 50, Obama 46
Iowa (10/21) - Obama 48, Romney 48
Missouri (10/19) - Romney 54, Obama 43
Montana (10/17) - Romney 53, Obama 45
Washington (10/17) - Obama 55, Romney 42
Mass. (10/16) - Obama 57, Romney 42
Indiana (10/16) - Romney 54, Obama 41
New Mexico (10/10) - Obama 54, Romney 43
Maine (Unkn.) - Obama 52, Romney 40

Rasmussen is the only polling outfit showing a Romney lead in Ohio.

That's the key state.

I'm still of the mind that Obama will win it by 2.

Obama has also come back in the polls in NC, VA, FL and CO. The FL poll is about a week old now, shows Romney ahead by 2. In the Rasmussen survey the week before that, Romney was ahead by 5, so it's looking like Obama is making up ground there and could very well win with the help of increased Latino turnout.

And I just don't see Romney taking WI either.

For the Rasmussen numbers to pan out in reality, 80% of the electorate must be white while 6% must be Hispanic, but only 77% of 2008 voters were white while 7% were Hispanic.

This time around, 87% of Hispanics said they're going to vote and Obama leads with them by over 40 points.

On top of all that, Romney's uptick in the polls ended almost 2 weeks ago while Obama has come back up, and the winner is the one who closes out strong, which is why Obama remains ahead in every study except for Rasmussen, which believes the electorate will look more like 2010 than 2008, which is highly unlikely.

Could you get any nuttier? Only half the country votes. So, no. 87 percent of hispanics won't be voting.

Obama won't win NC, Florida or Virginia. And he only has an outside shot at Colorado. Assuming it holds, that puts Romney at 257. And I trust that New Hampshire is going Romney also. He's ahead there and he's been advertising in the Boston market which reaches it.

That puts Romney at 261. That means that if he wins Wisconsin; he'll break 270. If not, Ohio, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Iowa and New Mexico are in play. Now, Obama can win all of them. But only a nutter will tell you that he/she is confident he will do so.

 

[Sarah G]

Based upon the latest Rasmussen Polls:

Ohio (10/29) - Romney 50, Obama 48
North Carolina (10/27) - Romney 52, Obama 46
Wisconsin (10/26) - Obama 49, Romney 49 (Romney leads 51-47 among voters who say they're sure to vote)
Florida (10/26) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Virginia (10/25) - Romney 50, Obama 47
Pennsylvania (10/25) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Arizona (10/25) - Romney 52, Obama 44
New Hampshire (10/24) - Romney 50, Obama 48
Nevada (10/24) - Obama 50, Romney 48
Michigan (10/12) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Minnesota (10/23) - Obama 51, Romney 46
Connecticut (10/23) - Obama 52, Romney 45
Colorado (10/22) - Romney 50, Obama 46
Iowa (10/21) - Obama 48, Romney 48
Missouri (10/19) - Romney 54, Obama 43
Montana (10/17) - Romney 53, Obama 45
Washington (10/17) - Obama 55, Romney 42
Mass. (10/16) - Obama 57, Romney 42
Indiana (10/16) - Romney 54, Obama 41
New Mexico (10/10) - Obama 54, Romney 43
Maine (Unkn.) - Obama 52, Romney 40

Rasmussen is the only polling outfit showing a Romney lead in Ohio.

That's the key state.

I'm still of the mind that Obama will win it by 2.

Obama has also come back in the polls in NC, VA, FL and CO. The FL poll is about a week old now, shows Romney ahead by 2. In the Rasmussen survey the week before that, Romney was ahead by 5, so it's looking like Obama is making up ground there and could very well win with the help of increased Latino turnout.

And I just don't see Romney taking WI either.

For the Rasmussen numbers to pan out in reality, 80% of the electorate must be white while 6% must be Hispanic, but only 77% of 2008 voters were white while 7% were Hispanic.

This time around, 87% of Hispanics said they're going to vote and Obama leads with them by over 40 points.

On top of all that, Romney's uptick in the polls ended almost 2 weeks ago while Obama has come back up, and the winner is the one who closes out strong, which is why Obama remains ahead in every study except for Rasmussen, which believes the electorate will look more like 2010 than 2008, which is highly unlikely.

Could you get any nuttier? Only half the country votes. So, no. 87 percent of hispanics won't be voting.

Obama won't win NC, Florida or Virginia. And he only has an outside shot at Colorado. Assuming it holds, that puts Romney at 257. And I trust that New Hampshire is going Romney also. He's ahead there and he's been advertising in the Boston market which reaches it.

That puts Romney at 261. That means that if he wins Wisconsin; he'll break 270. If not, Ohio, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Iowa and New Mexico are in play. Now, Obama can win all of them. But only a nutter will tell you that he/she is confident he will do so.

Comon notsogreat, you're getting boring with this. You know it is not going to happen.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

Sarah are you really in denial? Or just being your belligerent self? Tell me what you think the count will be if I'm supposedly wrong.

 

[Sarah G]

Sarah are you really in denial? Or just being your belligerent self? Tell me what you think the count will be if I'm supposedly wrong.

Romney won't take even one battleground state except possibly NC.

 

[AceRothstein]

^^^

Democratic turn-out for Obama exceeded the samples in 08. It's as simple as that. Otherwise, the accuracy was still there.

Oh really. Rasmussen's state polls were all wrong, and biased towards McCain,

but that's what proves they were accurate?

Is that your story? Are you mentally handicapped?

You're an idiot. Polls are at the mercy of division of the samples. If more of either party comes out then it's going to be a different outcome than the poll says. My point was that if you adjusted the outcome to the sampling, then the polls were still pretty accurate.

So, the point is that if it's not another 08 with huge Democratic turn-out, then you can expect the R. polls to be accurately reflected. And if Republican turn-out is up (and I believe it will be) then you can expect the Republicans to exceed the R. poll expectations.

And btw, when that happens, hacks like Nate Silver won't be stating that Rassmussen has a Democratic bias. He will point to turn-out. Yup, we all know how haterals love their revolving doors.

Your argument doesn't fit here when Rasmussen predicted higher GOP turnout in '08 & '10, two vastly different elections.

 

[candycorn]

We can see how "accurate" Rasmussen is now, can't we?

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

Rassmussen was probably in the ball park. Obama clearly got a bump from his Sandy photo ops. It didn't matter that FEMA was nowhere to be found. That was enough for our TMZ electorate.

 

[AceRothstein]

Rassmussen was probably in the ball park. Obama clearly got a bump from his Sandy photo ops. It didn't matter that FEMA was nowhere to be found. That was enough for our TMZ electorate.

Things were already swinging back towards Obama before Sandy and he NEVER lost his EV lead in RCP or 538. Don't double down on your stupidity now.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

Rassmussen was probably in the ball park. Obama clearly got a bump from his Sandy photo ops. It didn't matter that FEMA was nowhere to be found. That was enough for our TMZ electorate.

Things were already swinging back towards Obama before Sandy and he NEVER lost his EV lead in RCP or 538. Don't double down on your stupidity now.

I'm not interested in getting into a pissing contest. Familiarize yourself with the exit polls on Sandy.