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I originally posted this in response to another thread but, I think it's better as it's own topic and I'll do one for Israeli public opinion.
This thread is to explore Palestinian public opinion as it relates to the Peace Process and their beliefs about Israeli's.
I also think that what matters is not just the numbers, but the beliefs that lie behind them. The popular narrative we hear over and over again (and one that I believe is intended to dehumanize the people), is that it is a "culture of hate the Jews". I believe it's important for everyone to believe that because it enforces the belief that one can not negotiate with the Palestinians, that they are subhuman, and justifies continued marginalization. There are powerful attempts to control the message coming from both the Pro-Zionist's and the Pro-Pallywood camps. I chose those terms deliberately - one side forces the narrative that the Palestinians do not have a just cause or rights, and the other side pushes the narrative that Palestinians are perpetual victims incapable of controlling their own choices.
There are some other disturbing polls though...Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No-58 | PCPSR this one, I've posted before. But what, in my opinion, is more important than just the numbers is what lies behind them - the WHY of it and what people BELIEVE as truth.
One thing that comes out over and over is "national interests" and "national rights" as important factors (as opposed to "exterminate the Jews"). The other is a deep distrust of Israel's motives and ambitions and a giving up on the ability of negotiations as a means of obtaining their rights. Those three things are powerful drivers. Another disturbing trend I read (not in this poll) is that many Palistinians get their news from social media, one of the worst ways to get accurate news because there is no accountability for what is posted. All of this, combined with Israel's own beliefs and actions (which I will make another thread about) lead me to think that prospects for peace are grim.
Taken from that poll:
Again, here, we see national motivation as the largest category.
This part also speaks to "beliefs" of people (which may or may not be supported by facts, that would be another thread) and it's a disturbingly high number and indicates a high level of distrust of Israel.
Another narrative being pushed by the Pro-Zionist camp is to conflate ISIS with the Palestinian cause (and throw in the Nazi's for good measure) which is just another form of demonizing a people. But here again - ISIS enjoys very little support.
These are very powerful beliefs about the other's intentions. How well are they supported by facts and, how can a peace process develop?
Like I said, I'll post a thread on Israel public opinion polls as well.
This thread is to explore Palestinian public opinion as it relates to the Peace Process and their beliefs about Israeli's.
I also think that what matters is not just the numbers, but the beliefs that lie behind them. The popular narrative we hear over and over again (and one that I believe is intended to dehumanize the people), is that it is a "culture of hate the Jews". I believe it's important for everyone to believe that because it enforces the belief that one can not negotiate with the Palestinians, that they are subhuman, and justifies continued marginalization. There are powerful attempts to control the message coming from both the Pro-Zionist's and the Pro-Pallywood camps. I chose those terms deliberately - one side forces the narrative that the Palestinians do not have a just cause or rights, and the other side pushes the narrative that Palestinians are perpetual victims incapable of controlling their own choices.
There are some other disturbing polls though...Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No-58 | PCPSR this one, I've posted before. But what, in my opinion, is more important than just the numbers is what lies behind them - the WHY of it and what people BELIEVE as truth.
One thing that comes out over and over is "national interests" and "national rights" as important factors (as opposed to "exterminate the Jews"). The other is a deep distrust of Israel's motives and ambitions and a giving up on the ability of negotiations as a means of obtaining their rights. Those three things are powerful drivers. Another disturbing trend I read (not in this poll) is that many Palistinians get their news from social media, one of the worst ways to get accurate news because there is no accountability for what is posted. All of this, combined with Israel's own beliefs and actions (which I will make another thread about) lead me to think that prospects for peace are grim.
Taken from that poll:
51% of the Palestinian public (67% in the Gaza Strip and 40% in the West Bank) believe that most of the Palestinians who fell after being shot by the Israeli army or settlers have in fact stabbed or were attempting to stab Israelis. But 47% believe that most of those who were shot have not stabbed or were not attempting to stab Israelis.
Almost half of the Palestinian public believes that those were shot by Israeli's were innocent of stabbing. (I'm not talking facts, but beliefs, which are often much more powerful then facts).
We also asked the public in an open-ended question about the motivation of the little school girls who participate in stabbing attacks: 41% said they believe they are driven by national motivation; 26% said the motivation was personal; and 16% said the motivation was religious. 11% said it was a combination of national and religious motivations.
Again, here, we see national motivation as the largest category.
This part also speaks to "beliefs" of people (which may or may not be supported by facts, that would be another thread) and it's a disturbingly high number and indicates a high level of distrust of Israel.
(2) The future of the Oslo agreement:
Palestinian views on the peace process are also grim when you look at what they believe to be true.- 90% believe that Israel does not abide by the Oslo Agreement and 68% support abandoning that agreement.
- Two thirds believe that President Abbas is not serious about abandoning the Oslo Agreement.
- 70% support a ban on the importation of Israeli goods; 64% support ending security coordination; and 58% support ending civil coordination even if such steps lead to Israeli retaliation.
65% believe the two state solution is no longer practical due to settlement construction and 75% believe that the chances for the creation of a Palestinian state during the next five years are slim to non-existent.
82% believe that Israel’s long term aspirations are to extend its borders to include all territories occupied in 1967 and expel the Palestinian inhabitants or deny them their political rights.
51% believe that Israel plans to destroy al Aqsa Mosque and the Dome of the Rock and build a Jewish temple in their place.
82% believe that Israel’s long term aspirations are to extend its borders to include all territories occupied in 1967 and expel the Palestinian inhabitants or deny them their political rights.
51% believe that Israel plans to destroy al Aqsa Mosque and the Dome of the Rock and build a Jewish temple in their place.
A majority of 65% believes that the two-state solution is no longer practical due to settlement expansion while 34% say it is still practical. Despite this, only 29% support, and 70% oppose, a one-state solution in which Arabs and Jews enjoy equal rights. 75% believe that the chances for establishing a Palestinian state next to the state of Israel in the next five years are slim to non-existent and 24% believe the chances are high or medium. Findings also show that 45% support the Arab Peace Initiative and 53% oppose it. Similarly, only 39% support a mutual recognition of national identity of Israel as the state for the Jewish people and Palestine as the state for the Palestinian people and 61% oppose it.
The percentage of those who are worried that they would be hurt by Israel or that their land would be confiscated or homes demolished stands at 79%. 21% are not worried. Furthermore, an overwhelming majority of 82% believes that Israel’s long term aspiration is to annex the lands occupied in 1967 and expel their population or deny them their rights. 16% believe that Israel’s long term aspiration is to insure its security and withdraw from all or most of the territories occupied in 1967.When asked about the long term aspiration of the PA and the PLO, 65% said that it is to recover all or parts of the land occupied in 1967 while 26% said it was to conquer the state of Israel or conquer the state of Israel and kill most of the Jews.
Another narrative being pushed by the Pro-Zionist camp is to conflate ISIS with the Palestinian cause (and throw in the Nazi's for good measure) which is just another form of demonizing a people. But here again - ISIS enjoys very little support.
(6) ISIS, Paris attacks, and waves of refugees:
This public opinion poll is complex and contradictory - it looks at beliefs and thoughts about prospects. There are some disturbing numbers - for example, "26% believe that the PA/PLO long term aspirations are to conquer Israel or conquer and kill most of the Jews" - that's a distinct minority but a significant minority (I'd like to know the break down and how the original questions were asked). The other significant numbers are the 82% that believe Israel will annex them, confiscate their land and expel them, and only 39% now support recognizing Israel as a Jewish state and Palestine as a Palestinian state. Here two I'd like to see the breakdowns and questions.- 88% believe that ISIS does not represent true Islam.
- An overwhelming majority opposes ISIS attacks in Lebanon, Sinai, and Paris.
These are very powerful beliefs about the other's intentions. How well are they supported by facts and, how can a peace process develop?
Like I said, I'll post a thread on Israel public opinion polls as well.
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