mikegriffith1
Mike Griffith
Obama is the first president in our history whose margin of victory for reelection was smaller than his first one.
Indeed, his margin of victory dropped by over 60% and he lost many demographic groups that he won handily the first time around.
For example, Romney handily beat Obama among every income group except the bottom two: the poor and lower middle income ($0 to $25K and $25K to $50K). Romney won soundly among voters who earn $50K or more, i.e., the middle class, the affluent, the rich, and the super rich ($50K-$99K, $100K-$199K, $200K-$249K, $250K and above). Romney's margins of victory in those groups were 6%, 10%, 5%, and 13% respectively.
Romney also carried independents by a margin of 5%, 50% to 45%.
On the other hand, Obama soundly beat Romney among high school dropouts, winning that sad demographic by nearly 2 to 1 (64% to 35%). By the way, those uneducated voters accounted for about 3% of all votes cast, so we're not talking about some insignificant number. By any measure, a group that makes up 2-3% of the electorate is important, especially when the election is decided by less than 3%.
If low-income and lower-middle-income voters had not gone so overwhelmingly for Obama--63% to 35% and 57% to 42%--Romney would have won.
So, in a very real sense, one can say that Obama owes his victory to the two bottom income groups and high school dropouts, the two least-successful demographic groups among us.
Indeed, his margin of victory dropped by over 60% and he lost many demographic groups that he won handily the first time around.
For example, Romney handily beat Obama among every income group except the bottom two: the poor and lower middle income ($0 to $25K and $25K to $50K). Romney won soundly among voters who earn $50K or more, i.e., the middle class, the affluent, the rich, and the super rich ($50K-$99K, $100K-$199K, $200K-$249K, $250K and above). Romney's margins of victory in those groups were 6%, 10%, 5%, and 13% respectively.
Romney also carried independents by a margin of 5%, 50% to 45%.
On the other hand, Obama soundly beat Romney among high school dropouts, winning that sad demographic by nearly 2 to 1 (64% to 35%). By the way, those uneducated voters accounted for about 3% of all votes cast, so we're not talking about some insignificant number. By any measure, a group that makes up 2-3% of the electorate is important, especially when the election is decided by less than 3%.
If low-income and lower-middle-income voters had not gone so overwhelmingly for Obama--63% to 35% and 57% to 42%--Romney would have won.
So, in a very real sense, one can say that Obama owes his victory to the two bottom income groups and high school dropouts, the two least-successful demographic groups among us.
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