Comparing the number of cases without reference the size of the population is meaningless.
No. Again, that is stupid and wrong.
If you were to plot expected cases based on R0, or try to determine R0 from the data on the number of cases, at no point would you need the population number of the country.
Try to pay attention. The conversation was about comparing the numbers between two countries, Iran and the US and the numbers are meaningless in that regard without also looking at the size of the populations in those two countries. To compare how bad the outbreak is the relevant statistics are infections per capita or deaths per capita, etc.
Now you're talking about TIME, and that's logical-- RATES in a given period. To that end, a quick glance at the latest stats shows the US has reported five times more cases in the last 24h period that Iran has, and our proportion of the population infected is now 73, compared to Iran's which is 245, But the TIME factor reminds us that just a week ago that number of 73 was SIX, so it's grown more than twelvefold. In a week.
As a matter of perspective, not only have we accrued infection numbers well past Iran's but we've eclipsed Germany as well and are barely behind Spain. The only countries above there are China and Italy. A week ago (or whatever period you like, a day, a fortnight etc) we were nowhere near that position.
I'm not talking about time. You are as you continue to search for ways to attack the US regardless of the facts. I'm talking about the number of infections and deaths per capita.
Once AGAIN ----
you can't do that without taking TIME into account. That has not changed since last night. Coronavirus can incubate for 24 days; that means it takes TIME for that number of recoveries to establish. That's why Iran, China, Germany, all those countries including Italy, have more recoveries than they do infections. Because they've had more
time.
So Iran has 19 deaths per 1 million people and the US has 0.9 deaths per 1 million people. To any rational, reasonable person that means you are more than twenty times more likely to die from covid19 in Iran than you are in the US.
NO, it doesn't mean that at all because WE DON'T EVEN KNOW THOSE NUMBERS YET. In EITHER country. There you go again with the Apples and Brake Cylinders comparison. It was bullshit last night and it remains bullshit today.
And why don't we know those numbers yet? All together now ---- TIME.
Similarly, Iran has 252 confirmed cases of infection per 1 million people while the US has only 73.8 cases per 1 million people, meaning you have 3 1/2 times the likelihood of being infected if you live in Iran.
Actually 245/73. This is again where TIME comes in. Our woefully-late testing operations are still catching up with infections already out there. We don't actually know how many infections we
have --- what we know is how many we've
identified. So AGAIN we don't know what that true number is, what we do know is as it approaches an accurate figure it's going up exponentially. In, again, the last 24h we have more reported cases than any country in the world except Italy. And there it is again --- TIME.
It is just brain dead stupid to claim things are going better in Iran than the US.
That's why I don't do it. Maybe you shouldn't either.
