NYT Admits Pollsters Overestimating Democrat Candidates Due to ‘Persistent and Unaddressed Biases’

Doc7505

Diamond Member
Feb 16, 2016
18,041
32,314
2,430

NYT Admits Pollsters Overestimating Democrat Candidates Due to ‘Persistent and Unaddressed Biases’​

12 Sep 2022 ~~ By Wendell Husebo

Pollsters could be overestimating the strength of Democrat senate candidates with “persistent and unaddressed biases in survey research,” the New York Times reported Monday via data analysis.
The data was assembled by analyzing and comparing the 2016 and 2020 elections, which created a “poll error” that reveals Democrat Senate candidates in the 2022 cycle “are outrunning expectations in the same places where the polls overestimated Mr. Biden in 2020 and Mrs. Clinton in 2016.” The overestimated Democrat expectations match polling failures in previous elections.
The states where pollsters in 2022 could be overestimating Democrat strength are in key races that will determine which party controls the Senate. They include Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin. Polling in all five states remains very tight, besides Ohio, where President Joe Biden has one of the worst approval ratings.
~Snip~
Wasserman’s latest 2022 predictions are in part based on the abortion issue, which the Times argued may be factoring into “signs of nonresponse bias — when people who don’t respond to a poll are meaningfully different from those who participate — creeping back into their surveys.”
On Monday morning, Wasserman tweeted the Times article and was notably quiet about its grim findings. “Those surprisingly strong polls for Dems you see in the same states where 2020 polls overestimated them? Probably another mirage,” he tweeted.

Commentary:
It appears that the Quisling biased Media is oushing a mythical Blue wave which is actually less than a ripple.
Many conservatives despise the press and refuse to respond. They try to correct for that by adjusting for party but it doesn’t work because the Republicans who do respond are not representative of Republicans as a whole.
In this report, the NYT finally admits to their biases. I'm shocked. Sadly, only the pollsters and fake media ever believed the polls anyway. Even when they poll well for the republican, they always poll below what the actual number is. Pollsters and the media are filled with sick freaky people.
If the vast majority of comments I read here on USMB and other sites are any indication, huge numbers of conservatives are not drinking the koolaid. Just hold the line, folks, and don't sit out the midterms. Vote and as Democrats tell us, "Vote Often".
 
Volunteer to be a poll watcher.....Question every irregularity. Hold their feet to the fire.....Refuse to leave if counting is stopped till the venue is cleared-out and put under lock and key by the county.....We were advised to stay on site to make sure counting did not resume till the slated time.
 

Forum List

Back
Top