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Well that's it then. Oh wait:
Effect of Jobs Numbers on Presidential Race Is Uncertain - NYTimes.com
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Explains why they are acting a little nuttier...
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Who?
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
Explains why they are acting a little nuttier...
This is what happens when you nominate a horrible candidate and base your entire campaign on lies.
Explains why they are acting a little nuttier...
This is what happens when you nominate a horrible candidate and base your entire campaign on lies.
But Obama won in 2008.
The economy sucks. Foreign policy sucks. If the press covered the deaths of US troops in Afghanistan under Obama like they did in Iraq under Bush people would be screaming.
Nate Silver? Who the fuck is he? WHo gives a shit? Other sources put OBama's chance at nil.
As the economy deteriorates Obama's chances deteriorate with it.
Why?Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Who?
Nate Silver. Sabermetrics and statistical model expert. Made his bones in baseball and then moved onto election modeling. Was named one of Time's 100 most influential people in 2009 for his work on the 2008 elections.
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
No cept maybe there, TT, and it isn't a coincidence that FDR got reelected and Obama is on his way to doing so as well.
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Who?
And no Pres has one [sic] election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
But the key thing is, Obama doesn't have a challenger of the caliber of Reagan or Clinton. He has a Weird Mormon Robot who isn't even liked by his own party.
The gop is still run by moderates.Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Who?
And no Pres has one [sic] election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
And before that, the number was 5%, until Reagan won with 7.4.
And there's always the possibility we can dip below 8% before November.
The problem with this kind of reasoning is the only three examples we have of an incumbant losing with a high number are Carter (7.5) Ford (7.7) and Bush-41 (7.3) All close to where Reagan was, actually.
Ford wasn't really an incumbant, and he barely lost, but what probably did him in was that he pardoned Nixon.
Carter and Bush-41 had the problem of facing a third party challenger that sapped their base. That probably had as much to do with them losing as the UE rate.
Carter also had a hostage crisis, gas lines, double digit inflation, double digit interest rates etc.
So having not pardoned an unpopular predecessor, faced a third party challenge or had other crisis to deal with, all Obama has is an unemployment rate that is bad, but not as bad as it was.
But the key thing is, Obama doesn't have a challenger of the caliber of Reagan or Clinton. He has a Weird Mormon Robot who isn't even liked by his own party.
Why?Who?
Nate Silver. Sabermetrics and statistical model expert. Made his bones in baseball and then moved onto election modeling. Was named one of Time's 100 most influential people in 2009 for his work on the 2008 elections.
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
No cept maybe there, TT, and it isn't a coincidence that FDR got reelected and Obama is on his way to doing so as well.
what's he done?
You realize the same guy wrote that the election was uncertain? Which is it, 19% or Uncertain?Well that's it then. Oh wait:
Effect of Jobs Numbers on Presidential Race Is Uncertain - NYTimes.com
And .... ?
You do realize you are citing the same guy who has Romney at a 19.3% chance to win, right?
You realize the same guy wrote that the election was uncertain? Which is it, 19% or Uncertain?Well that's it then. Oh wait:
Effect of Jobs Numbers on Presidential Race Is Uncertain - NYTimes.com
And .... ?
You do realize you are citing the same guy who has Romney at a 19.3% chance to win, right?
This guy can't make up his f*ckin' mind.
You realize the same guy wrote that the election was uncertain? Which is it, 19% or Uncertain?And .... ?
You do realize you are citing the same guy who has Romney at a 19.3% chance to win, right?
This guy can't make up his f*ckin' mind.
Since when is an 80.7% chance certain?
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Who?
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
This is what happens when you nominate a horrible candidate and base your entire campaign on lies.
This is what happens when you nominate a horrible candidate and base your entire campaign on lies.
then the Dems shouldn't have done it, should they...
