My final prediction...a more realistic assessment.

[justoffal]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

If Trump does win.. we can put to rest once and for all whether or not the media and the polling are worth shit. I already know the answer but I'm still not sure what's going to happen on election day.

 

[Lisa558]

She is likely a crazy cat lady who is overweight, ugly as sin and dumber than a tree stump

Is it my imagination, but does it appear to you that Democrat women are uglier and much less feminine than Republican women?

 

[Missourian]

Did anyone see Virginia early voting?

 

[Missourian]

If Trump does win.. we can put to rest once and for all whether or not the media and the polling are worth shit. I already know the answer but I'm still not sure what's going to happen on election day.

Even the pollsters see the writing on the wall...



This is exactly what I've been saying.

If 2024 polling misses like 2020 polling...Trump wins easily.

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

Is it my imagination, but does it appear to you that Democrat women are uglier and much less feminine than Republican women?

It’s not your imagination

You’re correct

 

[MarathonMike]

America is ready to put Trump behind 'em. Too much turmoil. Trump fatigue is gonna do that old cob in.

What are you going to do if Trump wins?

 

[Yarddog]

Harris is gonna win cause there are a lot more good people than that Trumpen dreck.

Your negativity is duly noted. Trump the guy you hate and believe to be a racist even said there are good people on both sides of an issue. With many Democrats especially the brainwashed younger ones, there is only good and evil. The good being on their side.
What a very limited view of the world around you.

 

[Yarddog]

America is ready to put Trump behind 'em. Too much turmoil. Trump fatigue is gonna do that old cob in.

fatigue created and manufactured by who?? It was all for a purpose.

 

[Arlette]

Another one vilifying half the country. What an awful person you are

Your ilk isn't half the country. Not by a long shot.

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

Your ilk isn't half the country. Not by a long shot.

“Ilk” lmao

 

[Missourian]

 

[Missourian]

Found the 2020 breakdown for Wisconsin...one of the two seeing states Kamala is leading...



2020 Wisconsin Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Trump over-performed polling by +6.

 

[Missourian]

And here is Wisconsin 2016... Trump over-performs polling by +7...

2016 Wisconsin Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Polls | RealClearPolling

Discover the comprehensive poll data for the 2016 Wisconsin Election, featuring the Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein matchup. Gain insights into the diverse electoral landscape and key trends that defined this pivotal race.

www.realclearpolling.com

 

[Missourian]

2016 Michigan polling vs election results. This is the only other swing state Kamala is currently leading (by 0.5). Trump over performed polling in 2016 by +4...

2016 Michigan Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore detailed poll data from the 2016 Michigan Election, emphasizing the Trump vs. Clinton matchup. RealClearPolling offers valuable insights into key trends and electoral dynamics that shaped this pivotal election.

www.realclearpolling.com

 

[The Irish Ram]

Trump leads sewing states by +1 and nationally by 0.2...

Yes, but can he knit 2 and pearl 1?

 

[LeroyDumonde]

America is ready to put Trump behind 'em. Too much turmoil. Trump fatigue is gonna do that old cob in.

Even Walz wants to turn the page on the last 4 years of the Biden/Harris administration.

 

[DonGlock26]

 

[Missourian]

Yes, but can he knit a sweater?

Not sure, but he does a good job needling radical liberals in the legacy media.

(Dam you autocorrect)

 

[Foxfyre]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

I wish I had your confidence. But the dems have worked so hard to soften ballot security and there have been so many incidents of cheating reported, I honestly don't know what will happen. It do know those who did not vote straight GOP at least at the national level and/or those who did not vote have voted for further demise of America and further march toward totalitarianism.

I hope hope hope there are enough principled and thinking people left to put Trump and a reasonable majority of GOP in Congress over the top. But if not, then that's that. I suspect we will never ever have another opportunity in our lifetime to vote for common sense and a strong, free, secure, prosperous Ameria.

 

[Missourian]

2016 Michigan polling vs election results. This is the only other swing state Kamala is currently leading (by 0.5). Trump over performed polling in 2016 by +4...

View attachment 1035958

2016 Michigan Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore detailed poll data from the 2016 Michigan Election, emphasizing the Trump vs. Clinton matchup. RealClearPolling offers valuable insights into key trends and electoral dynamics that shaped this pivotal election.

www.realclearpolling.com

Here is 2020...Trump over-performed polling by 1.4...Harris currently leads this state by +0.5...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/Michigan.html