My final prediction...a more realistic assessment.

[dblack]

If Harris wins, the next four years will be a complete shitshow.

If Trump wins, the next four years will be a complete shitshow.

 

[SassyIrishLass]

If Harris wins, the next four years will be a complete shitshow.

If Trump wins, the next four years will be a complete shitshow.

It's been a shit show for the last 16 years

 

[dblack]

It's been a shit show for the last 16 years

Just keeps getting shittier and shittier. Lesser, and lesser and lesser we go!

 

[martybegan]

Prepare for disappointment.

All current trends point to a Harris victory.

Keep believing that, skippy.

 

[M14 Shooter]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

This is good to see:

Of course, the media won't call PA before I get up Wednesday AM


I've said any number of times: Harris needs at least +3 nationally to win.
And she doesn't have it.

 

[westwall]

Wisconsin polling 2020... Trump over-performs by 6 points...

View attachment 1035923

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

2016 Battleground polling...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

View attachment 1035916

Trump won every swing state except Nevada.

View attachment 1035919

2016 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

And Nevada was stolen for sure.

 

[dblack]

Keep believing that, skippy.

Don't suppose it matters much what any of us believe.

 

[Thunderbird]

If Trump wins he’ll end the stupid Ukraine War, he’ll work to improve the economy, he’ll regain control of the border, he’ll try to put the flabby bureaucracies on a a diet, and in 4 years he’ll retire to Florida.

Nothing to be scared of. Ignore the election year hysteria.

 

[justoffal]

Is it my imagination, but does it appear to you that Democrat women are uglier and much less feminine than Republican women?

It goes with the territory....They celebrate the blurring of the sexes.....we on the other hand celebrate the awesome diversity of the sexes.....huh....go figure. They claim to be diverse and yet do not want any categories such as male and female.

JO

 

[martybegan]

Don't suppose it matters much what any of us believe.

it's not the belief of some of these nimrods, it's the unwarranted certainty.

 

[Missourian]

https://archive.is/2024.11.04-183137/https://nypost.com/2024/11/03/opinion/this-race-is-close-but-im-predicting-donald-trump-wins-the-electoral-college-and-possibly-the-popular-vote/

 

[dblack]

it's not the belief of some of these nimrods, it's the unwarranted certainty.

Kinda like the certainty that the last election was rigged.

 

[martybegan]

Kinda like the certainty that the last election was rigged.

I'm not certain it was, but I am very suspicious about things.

 

[Mashmont]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

Well done. You called it.

 

[Missourian]

Well done. You called it.

Thanks.

Isn't it strange that an non college educated truck drivin' redneck from Missouri can look at the polls and add two plus two...but the entire legacy media can't...or won't.

 

[Missourian]

Rasmussen takes Nate Silver to task...praises RCP polling.