Midterm history sets bar high for a “wave”

[citygator]

Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.

“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.

The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.

The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project

www.presidency.ucsb.edu

 

[SweetSue92]

Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.

“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.

The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.

The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project

www.presidency.ucsb.edu

The COPE has started folks

 

[Couchpotato]

Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.

“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.

The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.

The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project

www.presidency.ucsb.edu

It’s not even election day and you’re already in damage control?

 

[JWBooth]

 

[citygator]

It’s not even election day and you’re already in damage control?

You folks have lowered your expectations of a historic ass kicking since the spring. This is a reminder that this election will be close. I’m not Nostradamus but it’ll likely be better than average and not a historical butt kicking even with inflation as topic number 1.

 

[Carl in Michigan]

It’s not even election day and you’re already in damage control?

Exactly what I thought.

 

[frigidweirdo]

Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.

“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.

The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.

The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project

www.presidency.ucsb.edu

Shows you just how predictable the voters are.

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

The wound licking has begun

 

[1srelluc]

It’s not even election day and you’re already in damage control?

Well it's about the only thing he has been honest about.....He's been going on for some time about how the party in power more often than not loses seats. Fair enough, it's true.

In recent history when a POTUS is under 50% approval (Tater is 40-ish) his party loses big in the mid-terms, toss inflation into the mix and it's just a question now of how big those loses will be.

Watch VA-7 and VA-10 early, if either of those NOtVA districts are flipped from D to R then go to bed and rest assured it's going to be a very long night for the dems.

 

[Meathead]

Just for perspective for you hammerheads so you don’t move the goalposts.

“In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 -2018, the President's party has averaged a loss of 28 House seats and four Senate seats. The president’s party has gained seats in both houses only twice.”

That’s how high the bar is just to be an average election. In order to be a wave we’ll need to see something bigger than average.

The Senate is too close to call. The House was always gonna bounce back after 19 new gerrymandered seats were spun this election cycle in the spring.

The democrats have higher expectations after the Pubs nominated 2 historically bad candidates putting the Senate in play. We’ll see how they end up but know where the goalposts are located.

The 2022 Midterm Elections: What the Historical Data Suggest. | The American Presidency Project

www.presidency.ucsb.edu

God, you could at least wait for the drubbing before you start making excuses and mitigating it.

 

[citygator]

Well it's about the only thing he has been honest about.....He's been going on for some time about how the party in power more often than not loses seats. Fair enough, it's true.

In recent history when a POTUS is under 50% approval (Tater is 40-ish) his party loses big in the mid-terms, toss inflation into the mix and it's just a question now of how big those loses will be.

Watch VA-7 and VA-10 early, if either of those NOtVA districts are flipped from D to R then go to bed and rest assured it's going to be a very long night for the dems.

Or just wait a few hours for results.

 

[citygator]

God, you could at least wait for the drubbing before you start making excuses and mitigating it.

What excuse? Unlikely to be a drubbing. Winning the house isn’t a drubbing and that’s all that’s guaranteed right now.

 

[1srelluc]

Or just wait a few hours for results.

LOL....Well I've been assured by your ilk it's going to take days and I value my sleep.

 

[Meathead]

What excuse? Unlikely to be a drubbing. Winning the house isn’t a drubbing and that’s all that’s guaranteed right now.

Excuse: Gerrymandering
Drubbing: A given
The House: The Senate

Pre-emptive whining isn't going to help.

 

[citygator]

Excuses flying out of the Pubs:

 

[Couchpotato]

You folks have lowered your expectations of a historic ass kicking since the spring. This is a reminder that this election will be close. I’m not Nostradamus but it’ll likely be better than average and not a historical butt kicking even with inflation as topic number 1.

Who's you folks? I think you're making excuses and trying to downplay the loss your team might take before the game even starts that doesn't mean I'm rooting for the other team. I do think the Democrats are going to lose and lose big, and it's their own fault. They spent way too much time on bull shit investigations, and political theater. Dont worry I imagine the Republicans will be just as stupid and worthless.

 

[Couchpotato]

What excuse? Unlikely to be a drubbing. Winning the house isn’t a drubbing and that’s all that’s guaranteed right now.

The Dems are going to lose the House and Senate. The only thing in question right now is by how many seats. There are people predicting the GOP might have 54 seats by the end of the night.

 

[kyzr]

The Dems are going to lose the House and Senate. The only thing in question right now is by how many seats. There are people predicting the GOP might have 54 seats by the end of the night.

I'm expecting Manchin to switch parties after Biden's eliminating coal powerplant statement.

 

[JWBooth]

It would demonstrate more character than he’s got

 

[Moonglow]

Couchpotato Can't handle the facts of historical data.