That's kind of funny though. The Queban's have short term memory. I remember the last admin wouldn't let them enter in Florida and forced them to go to Texas. Word was they register republican.
Miami Elects First Democratic Mayor in 30 Years
- Thread starter Dont Taz Me Bro
- Start date
toobfreak
Tungsten/Glass Member
- Apr 29, 2017
- 98,776
- 104,708
- 3,615
Well, Blah Blah Blah, W6. In 2016, every indication was that Hillary was killing it and was going to Trounce Trump by 98%, yet, look who won.
Last Fall when Kammy was running, did any poll indicate that Trump was going to crush Kammy winning the popular vote by millions, win all the swing states and take the EC by a wide margin?
The midterms are a year away, a ton of stuff can happen between now and then that could swing this election any way imaginable, and after the bizarre twists the Dems have taken electing a muslim communist to run NYC, only a fool tries to read too much into the Left's tea leaves now.
Trump just needs to keep working on turning the economy around for the better while the GOP just need to keep working on aiding that agenda and I think the GOP will do just fine.
0311
Diamond Member
MAGA is facing demise. Voters are sick and tired of 47 and his bullshit His tariffs are a tax on American Consumer and the low unemployment is getting worse.
Admiral Rockwell Tory
Diamond Member
Exactly. All were given political asylum. Remember the Mariel boatlift? Remember Elian Gozalez? Obviously you have no clue about Cuban immigrants, like Marco Rubio's parents and Ted Cruz's father. Did you think they were all illegals?
BTW, that's the wrong term. Right use of the word, wrong spelling.
bellwether noun bell·weth·er ˈbel-ˈwe-t͟hər
Synonyms of bellwether: one that takes the lead or initiative : leader
also : an indicator of trends
In regard to the election, hardly anyone voted. Tennessee's 7th Congressional district was supposed to flip to the DEMs, but it didn't happen, did it?
- Nov 10, 2019
- 58,182
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- Moderator
- #145
What does Hillary have to do with 2025 and the Cuban American vote in Miami?
Nothing? Right. Nothing. So, I guess that is just some more of your partisan off-topic talking points to derail threads.
What does "Kammy" have to do with the 2025 Miami Mayor race? She was not mentioned in the OP, probably because she had no effect, nor mattered. Not one single news article since the election on Tuesday's Miami Mayoral race even mentioned her.
I was inclined to agree with you, before Admiral Hornblower took object, with me agreeing, the outcome of the Miami Mayoral election, was more of a Miami thing, due to the large Cuban American vote, the republican candidate lost, causing his double digit defeat. Now, not so sure, since you guys are jumping in. Are you saying, you equate all Hispanic American vote, with the Cuban American vote in Miami? That would indeed bode poorly for the 2026 Mid-Term elections, if you are saying it is a bell weather situational outcome.
I did better over the 4 years of the Biden economy, than witnessed this year under the Trump economy, with the Tariffs, trade wars, slowing hiring, etc. But, I would not want Joe back, either. True, I thought you guys were just doing the old political partisan hatchet job on Joe, until I saw that debate, forced to realize you were correct. I figure, if he was not running the show, it had to be the staff and department heads, along with the Fed, that made those 4 years profitable and showing the amazing growth, jobs numbers, GDP and record stock market and oil production, and that staff and those department heads are history, never to return, Joe in no shape to put them back together, and Trump is going to change out Powell at the Fed. I simply hope Trump changes course, gets out of his fixation on picking winners and loser via tariff and basically quits the trade war business, so we can go back to a conservatively managed economy, not run for fun and profit of his biggest donors, but for the whole country. If not, I will be fine, but will feel sorry for most, not in the top .01%.
schmidlap
Platinum Member
- Oct 30, 2020
- 14,070
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The impact of Trumpery on the GOP that grovels before the blowhard is apparent, and not just in Miami
The blowhard's growing repugnance is reflected in elections elsewhere, and his healthcare changes are about to add to Trump/GOP failures - as he kowtows to Putin and betrays NATO.
GENERIC BALLOT
The Democratic Party has shown strong performance in recent elections, particularly in special congressional races, where they have overperformed by 17 percent on average. This momentum has led to a series of notable wins, including the Miami mayor’s office and a state House seat in Georgia. The party is optimistic about the upcoming midterms, with a focus on shifting the balance of power on both state and federal levels.
Georgia House District 121: Democrat Eric Gisler narrowly flipped the district, which had been held by Republicans for years.State House Seats: Democrats have also retained control of several state House seats, including in Georgia and New Jersey.
These wins reflect a renewed sense of Democratic momentum across the country, with the party feeling energized and ready to capitalize on voter dissatisfaction with the current administration.
The lowlife is repugnant to decent Republicans as well as to Democrats and Independents:Indiana senator says he's a no on redistricting after Trump uses slur
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- Nov 10, 2019
- 58,182
- 37,443
- 2,490
- Moderator
- #147
Nope. Not a Floridian. It wasn't big news in Tennessee or else so far back, I worked for a living.
On and thanks for the Grammar Nazi correction, Admiral Hornblower.
BackAgain
Neutronium Member & truth speaker #StopBrandon
You lose an assload of credibility by your ignorant misuse of the non-word “bigly.”
0311
Diamond Member
The lame ass whatabourtery by MAGA will only get worse. Whenever a MAGA cannot develop a logical, cogent well thought out argument, they will bring out their Great White Whale, HRC. Bringing former Vice President Harris is to be expected.
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Nobody911
Platinum Member
- Nov 26, 2022
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Uncertainty is always a risk in any situation in the world. It's a fundamental characteristic of existence. 
Every election has limits on how precisely we can predict its outcome. Key factors that determine how much uncertainty there is:
1. Data completeness
- Counted ballots vs. outstanding ballots: Large uncounted blocs raise uncertainty.
- Timeliness and accuracy of precinct returns.
2. Ballot type and processing
- Mail/absentee ballots often arrive and are counted later; their partisan tilt can differ from Election Day votes.
- Provisional ballots and signature challenges add uncertainty until resolved.
3. Margin of lead
- Wide lead + few outstanding votes → low uncertainty.
- Narrow lead + many outstanding votes → high uncertainty.
4. Geography of remaining ballots
- If uncounted ballots are concentrated in areas that historically favor one party, that skews likely outcomes.
5. Turnout dynamics
- Differential turnout between demographic groups (age, race, partisanship) can shift results unpredictably.
- Late-breaking mobilization or suppression events change turnout patterns.
6. Polling and model quality
- Sample size, weighting, nonresponse bias, and modeling assumptions affect forecast reliability.
- Polls often miss late swings or hidden voters.
7. Counting processes and errors
- Human error, machine malfunctions, recounts, and legal challenges can change totals or delay certification.
8. Legal and procedural factors
- Recounts, contested ballots, court rulings, and deadlines for counting ballots alter final outcomes.
9. Information and transparency
- Clear reporting from election officials reduces uncertainty; opaque or delayed reporting increases it.
10. Statistical noise
- Random variability — even with good models, there's always a nonzero probability of an upset.
How to assess uncertainty quickly
Bottom line: Prediction certainty varies case-by-case; evaluate the margin, outstanding votes, ballot types, geography, and process to judge how likely a projected outcome is.
Every election has limits on how precisely we can predict its outcome. Key factors that determine how much uncertainty there is:1. Data completeness
- Counted ballots vs. outstanding ballots: Large uncounted blocs raise uncertainty.
- Timeliness and accuracy of precinct returns.
2. Ballot type and processing
- Mail/absentee ballots often arrive and are counted later; their partisan tilt can differ from Election Day votes.
- Provisional ballots and signature challenges add uncertainty until resolved.
3. Margin of lead
- Wide lead + few outstanding votes → low uncertainty.
- Narrow lead + many outstanding votes → high uncertainty.
4. Geography of remaining ballots
- If uncounted ballots are concentrated in areas that historically favor one party, that skews likely outcomes.
5. Turnout dynamics
- Differential turnout between demographic groups (age, race, partisanship) can shift results unpredictably.
- Late-breaking mobilization or suppression events change turnout patterns.
6. Polling and model quality
- Sample size, weighting, nonresponse bias, and modeling assumptions affect forecast reliability.
- Polls often miss late swings or hidden voters.
7. Counting processes and errors
- Human error, machine malfunctions, recounts, and legal challenges can change totals or delay certification.
8. Legal and procedural factors
- Recounts, contested ballots, court rulings, and deadlines for counting ballots alter final outcomes.
9. Information and transparency
- Clear reporting from election officials reduces uncertainty; opaque or delayed reporting increases it.
10. Statistical noise
- Random variability — even with good models, there's always a nonzero probability of an upset.
How to assess uncertainty quickly
- Check the current margin, number and location of outstanding ballots, and sources (official election office counts vs. media projections).
- See if projections come from deterministic counts (finalized precincts) or from statistical models estimating uncounted ballots.
- Prefer multiple independent sources and official statements about remaining ballots.
Bottom line: Prediction certainty varies case-by-case; evaluate the margin, outstanding votes, ballot types, geography, and process to judge how likely a projected outcome is.
schmidlap
Platinum Member
- Oct 30, 2020
- 14,070
- 8,972
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Trumpwanks' need for diversions intensifies.
0311
Diamond Member
Expect them to start blaming Mr. Biden and Mr. Obama.
No real conservative would vote to put justices on the Supreme Court picked by Hillary, Biden, or Harris. Keep fooling yourself. Your vote and what it supports is who you are. Never Trump loons gave this nation Katanji. You should be proud, that is what you stand for. Pathetic.
This whole thread...............you clowns on the left must not get any good news often, if this is?
Had to do it twice with marginal voter support each time. Looks like both parties voters aren't that excited.
LOL...............
Had to do it twice with marginal voter support each time. Looks like both parties voters aren't that excited.
LOL...............
yidnar
Diamond Member
of course you are right .. but Dems are masters of lies and false propaganda .. they will hang the cost of living that skyrocketed during the last admin on the gop .. they are counting on the electorates short memory .. and they may win big in Nov 2026 ..Are Democrat idiots still offering sky high inflation, climate change BS, millions of RAPING MURDERING illegals, depraved sicko trans scumbags, sky high taxes, leaders who stumble around and fall over, sky high crime with no bail or jail? Because that didn't work out so well a year ago.
MagicMike
Platinum Member
MAGAts are becoming a cult of magical rainbow unicorns who refuse to see the writing on the wall.
Though the race and the job of mayor are nominally nonpartisan, the election generated sizable interest from national Democrats and Republicans. Higgins’ win adds to the slew of victories and close calls Democrats have seen this year, including last week’s strong performance in a House special election in Tennessee.
Like how they portray a stunning loss.
Miami-Dade County Chair Kevin Cooper said Democrats were “making a mountain out of a molehill.”
“They are going to try to read something into this that it’s not,” he said. “It’s not a rebuke of the president or the party. Democratic city elects Democratic mayor.”
Like how they portray a stunning loss.
Miami-Dade County Chair Kevin Cooper said Democrats were “making a mountain out of a molehill.”
“They are going to try to read something into this that it’s not,” he said. “It’s not a rebuke of the president or the party. Democratic city elects Democratic mayor.”
Failzero
Diamond Member
Shallowly Blue city
Same one Gore wanted a recount in....LOL.
Trump is down to the support of uneducated racist white voters and billionaires - what a marriage of oddity. The GOP will likely abandon him in his lame duck 2 year session. We will see.
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