Latest: Biden, Trump tied at outset of US election year -Reuters/Ipsos poll

Procrustes Stretched

And you say, "Oh my God, am I here all alone?"
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Here we go. We're finally into the new year 2024. It's election season, and the polls will be all over the place come the autumn. It's fun to go back and see how the polls showed the standing of the candidates in previous election years. We'll spare you that for now, but here -- today: "The online randomized poll was conducted Jan. 3 through Jan. 9 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.5 percentage points."

 
They are not tied at all. Out of the swing states, there are two ties, and every other swing state shows Trump leading by a good margin. Even if we gave both of the ties to Biden, Trump wins. And, betting places ALL have Trump winning. Every one of them.

 
They are not tied at all. Out of the swing states, there are two ties, and every other swing state shows Trump leading by a good margin. Even if we gave both of the ties to Biden, Trump wins. And, betting places ALL have Trump winning. Every one of them.

Polls are not static. You will be changing your tune again, and again, and again, and...
 

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