In mid-2020, the Louisiana Tech Research Institute published Guide to Nuclear Deterrence in an Age of Great Power Competition, a twenty-three chapter handbook written by the country’s top nuclear experts, including former senior military commanders. Recently, Alan Kaptanoglu and Stewart...
nationalinterest.org
skipping down..."As for U.S. great power adversaries, both
Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin
have been talking about using limited nuclear strikes as a means of escalating or threatening to escalate conventional conflicts to the nuclear level to get the United States and its allies to preemptively surrender.
General John Hyten called this an “escalate to win strategy.” Imagine how easy it would be for China and Russia to prevail if the United States stopped relying on its nuclear deterrent.
Kaptanoglu and Prager’s preferred deterrent strategy is apparently to hold an adversary’s cities at risk. But even when the United States and its allies respond to a nuclear attack from China or Russia with a retaliatory strike against only their cities—a highly immoral strategy—both China and Russia are certainly going to think that this is a matter of warfighting (as they see their cities burn to the ground) and not de-escalation. These two major powers are willing to kill tens of millions to stay in power and have military strategies that reflect that. The only deterrent option is to take down their remaining military power in the event of conflict."
Yes, of course. We do prefer to pay high price for victory rather than to pay much higher price for defeat. And it is much better to lost tens of millions (and kill billions) rather than be genocided and lost 100% of population.
Putin reminds me of Stalin, a brutal dictator, and I know that you must type glowing praise on Putin or risk a visit from the GRU.
GRU doesn't work inside Russia. FSB do. And my humble person is much below their radars. Russia is rather free country. If you are not committing obvious crimes - you can say whatever you want. I don't like personally Putin (or, to be specific, his scenic image), I don't like a lot of things in Russia (but it is not place or time to discuss them), but his goal - wealth and safety of Russian people I do like.
And, BTW, USMB is restricted in Russia, so its not very loyal even to discuss here. That's why I prefer not to tell other people about it at all.
NATO has never threatened Russia with invasion.
Plain lie. NATO do pretend to conquere at least Crimea and Novorussia. And the only reason of NATO expansion - is preparation to attack Russia itself.
NATO is an alliance of historically civilized nations.
Plain lie. NATO is an alliance of genocidal barbarians.
Russia is a dictatorship under the brutal dictator Putin.
"Brutal dictators and brainwashed goons" is even less realistic conception than "Dark Wisards and Army of Zombies". Putin is just a man. As any other man he has as much power as people gives him.
You may be good guys, but Putin is not.
Putin do what Russians want him to do.
Tanks are death traps. In Ukraine they are easy targets for drones. Ukraine reminds me of the Spanish Civil War, which was used for testing weapons for the next war
Clips taken over the course of the brutal conflict show civilians running for cover as planes drop hundreds of bombs on Spanish cities
www.mirror.co.uk
But in a tank its anyway safer than without tank.
NATO never had to fight a war, period.
NATO and NATO members just commited numerous aggressions.
Russia is deemed unstable under Putin, as shown by the invasion of Ukraine, many new nations joined NATO for fear of being attacked by Russia. Russia is surrounded by NATO countries, Ukraine is just one more, so Russia calling Ukraine a threat if it joins NATO is nonsense.
Ukraine is a part of Russian world. And yes, its the point where appeasement of NATO is ended.
NATO needs to keep the boundaries of Russia from expanding thru Force.
And Russia needs to eliminate the NATO threat.
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Kiev is the legitimate government of Ukraine, Russia's claim of illegitimacy is the LIE. Call it Russian propaganda.
Zelenskiy is expired and this is plain fact. Stop funding him and his own people will leave him.
If you were correct the Ukrainian army would have collapsed long ago.
You pay them - they are fighting.
Now they are lowering the draft age to 18 to keep up their armed forces. Killing millions in a brutal war is not productive.
Of course killing millions or even billions in a brutal war is more productive than allowing them to kill us.
Putin needs to see the light of peace and prosperity or continued war and the slaughter of more young men on both sides.
Peace and prosperity are possible only in the situation of equal rights and equal safety. And it is possible after elimination of Ukrainian (and Baltic) nazies and rolling back
Very bad path forward. As the Brits would say, taking Kiev "was a bridge too far".
Russia can't roll NATO back. I strongly recommend against trying.
Of course we can and we will. One way or another.
Russia has nothing to fear from NATO, it is a defensive organization, and Ukraine is fighting to keep their independence are undeniable truths.
Plain lie.
Not Mexicans, but drug cartels.
As if drug cartels are not Mexicans.
I have a brutal view of drug deaths. We have an idiom that may not translate well but it is that "drugs are basically chlorine in the gene pool". (We use chlorine in our swimming pools, and people that use drugs must have defective genes.)
Actually, no. People who are genetically prone to addictions are not "defective". They are just prone for searching new and fast studying.
Trump will attack the drug cartels, not sure how, but he will.
Or, may be, he (as well as previous presidents) will continue support mass murders of his own people.
Will war continue or will peace happen? We'll see if Trump can keep his promise of peace.
I'm pretty sceptical about it. Trump is just a human being. Basically, he can do only two things "escalate" (and then we are in WW3) or "deescalate" (and then Russia is fighting anti-guerilla war in West Ukraine and support anti-Nazi rebellions in Baltic countries and Moldova). It might be better for the USA to make few steps back and rethink their further strategy, but there are too many influencers in his government.