My knee jerk reaction to the article, is I would like them to throw in with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and use that cover if they do strike...a coalition...take advantage of the Sunnis not wanting Iran as the power in the ME...
What would that actually accomplish?
>>>>>>the destruction of their nuke facilities
What would you strike?
>>>>>>>their nuclear facilities
How would it stop Iran from pursuing (now covertly) it's nuclear ambitions?
>>>>>>>their nuclear facilities would be destroyed
Any other questions?
""For
every complex
problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong." ".
Would a U.S. Strike Against Iran Actually Work The Atlantic
From a strictly military point of view, according to the defense-world authorities who took part in our war game, the strike would almost certainly be a counterproductive failure. It could not put more than a temporary damper on Iran's capacities and ambitions; it would if anything redouble Iran's determination to develop nuclear weapons (so as to protect itself from such strikes in the future); and it could unleash a range a countermeasures that would make the United States rue the idea that this could have been a "clean" or "surgical" exercise.
Will Iran Be Next The Atlantic
So this is how the war game turned out: with a finding that the next American President must, through bluff and patience, change the actions of a government whose motives he does not understand well, and over which his influence is limited.
"After all this effort, I am left with two simple sentences for policymakers," Sam Gardiner said of his exercise. "You have no military solution for the issues of Iran. And you have to make diplomacy work."
Tom Cotton Military Action Against Iran Would Take Only Several Days It s All Politics NPR
...Of course, military analysts point out that Iran is a larger country than Iraq with a more sophisticated military.
"The only thing worse than an Iran with nuclear weapons would be an Iran with nuclear weapons that one or more countries attempted to prevent them from obtaining by military strikes — and failed,"
said Ryan Crocker, the former U.S. ambassador to Iraq and Afghanistan, in 2013.
Jim Walsh, a researcher at MIT who has studied Iran's nuclear program, told NPR, "Any time the U.S. military uses force, we need to consider this soberly. You'd think the last couple of things [the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan] would point to potential unintended consequences."
He added, "You don't just sort of say, 'We should go bomb' someone. I think that's sort of reckless."
He also disputed Cotton's analogy, noting that Iraq was a hobbled country in 1998. Following a nearly decade-long war with Iran, being forced out of Kuwait in 1991, and "basically under constant U.N. Oil for Food embargo," Iraq was essentially "hollowed out."
"That is not the situation in Iran," Walsh said. "They're a functioning state."
