Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature currently requires accessing the site using the built-in Safari browser.
The analysis finds that had people voted last November at the same rates they did in 2004, when black turnout was below its current historic levels, Republican Mitt Romney would have won narrowly:
The 2012 data suggest Romney was a particularly weak GOP candidate, unable to motivate white voters let alone attract significant black or Latino support. Obamas personal appeal and the slowly improving economy helped overcome doubts and spur record levels of minority voters in a way that may not be easily replicated for Democrats soon.
Romney would have erased Obamas nearly 5 million-vote victory margin and narrowly won the popular vote if voters had turned out as they did in 2004, according to Freys analysis. Then, white turnout was slightly higher and black voting lower.
More significantly, the battleground states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida and Colorado would have tipped in favor of Romney, handing him the presidency if the outcome of other states remained the same.
Black youth was also far more likely to be asked to show ID, a study by professors at the University of Chicago and Washington University in St. Louis found, and many did not even try to vote because they lacked the required identification.
The 2008 election was the first year when the minority vote was important to electing a U.S. president. By 2024, their vote will be essential to victory, William H. Frey, a demographer who analyzed the 2012 elections for the AP, said. Democrats will be looking at a landslide going into 2028 if the new Hispanic voters continue to favor Democrats.
Awesome! i mean this is....just excellent. More than ever, statists are out in force showing they want more of what you earn.
Epic!
