Oh, wow, so, not only was it 4.6 in the 1960s, it was 4.6 in the 1950s too, and now it's 5.3. So, how's that claim that murders are at a 120 year low going for you?
You're telling ME that if I bothered looking up the facts? Are you serious?
I'm not disputing that the murder rates in European countries rose in the 1990s. What I'm saying is that the murder rate of the US has ALWAYS BEEN MUCH, MUCH HIGHER than that of other first world countries.
Do you agree or disagree with this?
You say I'm wrong that guns raise the murder rate? Why's that? The US has had guns since forever. And it's had a higher murder rate since, who knows? forever?
There are other factors which can raise and lower murder rates. You seem to be trying to make some argument that if the murder rate rises because of other reasons, therefore guns don't have an impact.
Which is clearly wrong as the US with lots of guns having a 4 times higher murder rate all through history seems to show no matter how much you try and present some cherry picked facts you didn't even bother to look up.
In 2016 it was 4.9 not 5.3
And I don't know if the murder rate was 4 times higher in "all of history" do you want to back that claim up?
If the murder rate is related to the number of guns as you say it is then tell me why is our murder dropping when we have more guns and more people carrying concealed weapons than ever before?
So, are you now saying the 4.9 is LOWER than 4.6?
United States Crime Rates 1960 - 2016
I got 2015 at 4.9, 2016 at 5.3
2016 Crime Statistics Released
"There were an estimated 17,250 murders in the U.S. last year, an 8.6 percent increase from 2015."
What Rising Murder Rates in US Cities Mean for 2016
"
What Rising Murder Rates in US Cities Mean for 2016"
Table 2
FBI says 5.3 too.
Me thinks this is ANOTHER CASE of you making shit up.
2015 it was 4.9 1950 it was 4.8 as I said virtually the same
I didn't use numbers from 2016 because i didn't have them at the time
But no matter we still have had a 30 year decline despite having more guns.
even with the slight increase in 2016 the overall trend is downward
How is what you're doing different from people using one year's harsh winter as proof that global warming is a farce?
Oh, right, so you told me that you knew 2016, then said I was wrong for saying it was 5.3. Great.
There was a rise in murders and a decline in murders.
Now, your argument seems to be that other countries saw a rise and the US saw a rise too. Well, like I said, other factors might increase or decrease the murder rates. I believe that entertainment in the last 20 years or so has decreased murder because people have more things to do. And increase in murders was probably inevitable due to a modern society. However in the UK the murder rate rise wasn't that big. The UK murder rate has remained more or less steady, with a dip in the 1950s when there was a lot of employment. Maybe other factors took place too.
But you see the Canadian and the US chart, Canada's rate is consistently THREE TIMES lower than the US rate. Why? The number of guns is a certainty. There are 25 guns per 100 people in Canada, compared to 101 or higher.
So, 4 times the guns, three times the murders. Hmmm....
There's a downward trend in many first world countries. And yet you seem to be trying to say that a downward trend means the US doesn't have 3 or 4 times the murder rate of other First World countries, when it clearly does.
www.law.harvard.edu/students/orgs/jlpp/Vol30_No2_KatesMauseronline.pdf
View attachment 153071
Fine, if you want to put everything into a little compartment, and the fight each little bit, you'll never figure out the truth. But then some people use their intelligence to avoid the truth, and promote their agendas.
A person with a gun is more powerful than a person without a gun. This does not mean that the person is actually going to use their gun to kill people. The same could be said about any weapon.
However when guns are available, people are far more likely to turn to guns as weapons of murder. They're also more likely to be successful in their attempts.
Within each group of statistics you have to take into account certain factors which might exist, such as large cities which are more likely to see a higher percentage of murders. The issue here would be one of why someone has a gun. Gun ownership for use in hunting and the like are probably less likely to be used in murders as a person would be more likely to think about their profession in the event of using their firearm to kill. Also there is a case for looking at the people who might actually decide to kill. Mostly males, potentially people with aggression problems.
There are quite a lot of factors in place.
The issue here is, what would the US be like if it didn't have guns? Would we be able to make such a comparison?
We can only take guesses there.
But another factor to consider is the ease with which a person may obtain a gun. Such things aren't really quantifiable and easy to compare between countries.They don't make for good statistics. Numbers of guns in a country are easy. But they don't really tell you much at all.
For example Finland.
Comparing the US to Finland isn't so difficult.
Finland has a population of 5.5 million. The US 330 million.
Helsinki is the largest city with 629,000 people. New York has 8.5 million people. The US has 28 cities larger than Helsinki. But the US has cities smaller with much larger amounts of murders. Greater Helsinki has a population of 1.4 million. The New York metropolitan area is 23 million people, with 42 metropolitan areas larger than Helsinki's metropolitan area.
In matters of guns, in the US there are places where guns are easier to buy and more difficult to buy, but also there are plenty of areas where guns are stolen etc. There are 3 to 4 times more guns per capita in the US than in Finland.
In Finland handguns make up about 250,000 of the 1.5 million, so 1/6th of the number of guns. Or 6.3% of households.
In the US handguns make up about 110 million of the 300 million, or about 1/3rd of the number of guns. Or 21.9% of households.
Finland has a much lower level of murder and of gun murders. Their rate is 12.5% of murders are with guns, compared to 69% in the US.
There are other things, like education, like solving the problems of society so they don't get as bad as the US has got. These things are also important and we've spoken about them before.
But what seems to be the case is that the US has these social problems and guns exacerbate these problems. The UK has much worse social problems than Finland, and doesn't have the guns that exacerbate these problems.
The problems here are that this is so complex, a simple analysis doesn't help.