How were the “experts” so wrong about 2024 election and will it carry to 2028?

[rightwinger]

To start the majority of the polling is manipulated. Pre-TRUMP, when polls were referenced you could easily look at the data used including all questions asked demographics....now that is hidden and hard to find.
People like Silver understand talk of democrat landslides suppresses voter turn out.
I honestly don't remember the consensus till ever being towards a TRUMP win.

Polls of the nationwide popular vote are useless
Only statewide polls of key swing states have any relevance

Those polls showed Trump ahead

 

[ColonelAngus]

So EVERYONE claimed Harris was going to lose?

You guys are rewriting history.

 

[EvilCat Breath]

8f Newsom is the democrat candidate, Vance will have a comfortable win. In fact, no matter who democrats put up, democrats will have a comfortable win.

 

[Couchpotato]

So Trump barely managed to beat an opponent that was hobbled by being a last minute replacement.

I dont think increased exposure was helping her case. She was doing better early and as time went on she lost ground. I know she's a black woman so it's important for her to be President for some reason but there are better candidates out there who also happen to be black and female.

 

[HeyNorm]

8f Newsom is the democrat candidate, Vance will have a comfortable win. In fact, no matter who democrats put up, democrats will have a comfortable win.

It appears the left is hell bent on either Newsome/AOC or Harris/AOC. Running a ticket made up of a Californian and a New Yorker will doom the party.

 

[EvilCat Breath]

It appears the left is hell bent on either Newsome/AOC or Harris/AOC. Running a ticket made up of a Californian and a New Yorker will doom the party.

Democrats have no one. Unless they put up someone no one ever heard of from flyover country, they are stuck with their own loudmouths. Don't discount Newsom/Crockett.

 

[EvilCat Breath]

Is it because “Our reverence for the truth has become a distraction”?

If it is Newsom vs Vance in 2028, there will be many predicting a Newsom landslide.

Newsom landslide

 

[ColonelAngus]

Crockett should be named “crock of shit”.

 

[pknopp]

8f Newsom is the democrat candidate, Vance will have a comfortable win. In fact, no matter who democrats put up, democrats will have a comfortable win.

Vance won't be the 2028 nominee. If Newsome is for rhe (D)'s it will show that they are incapable of ever learning anything.

 

[ColonelAngus]

Show where the left wing media picked Trump prior to the election.

 

[ColonelAngus]

PK,

Your reactions are useless.

Thanks in advance.

 

[TheGreatSatan]

Is it because “Our reverence for the truth has become a distraction”?

If it is Newsom vs Vance in 2028, there will be many predicting a Newsom landslide.

Enough Americans have awoken to the fact that democrats are traitors working to intentionally collapse America for their WEF masters.

An American voting for democrats is like a chicken voting for KFC.

There aren't nearly as many democrats as the WEF/MSM would have you believe. If it wasn't for fraud and harvesting operations democrats wouldn't win anywhere.

Democrats = traitors

 

[pknopp]

PK,

Your reactions are useless.

Thanks in advance.

Useless is as useless does. You are left no longer defending your original useless argument.

 

[IM2]

Most of the so-called "experts" were white, and whites never factor in the possibility that other whites will vote for racism.

 

[Independent thinker]

Which experts?

In the lead-up to the 2024 United States presidential election, most major forecasting models and analysts gave the edge to Donald Trump (Republican) over Kamala Harris (Democrat).

• For example, the forecasting model by Nate Silver (formerly at FiveThirtyEight) gave Trump a higher probability of winning the Electoral College. Wikipedia+3Nate Silver+3The Economist+3
• Some polls and commentary showed a very tight race, with neither candidate dominating. Nate Silver+3The Hub+3The Week+3
• A few models (such as Allan Lichtman’s “13 keys” model) predicted Harris would win — but she did not. Brandeis University+1

In short: while the race was widely regarded as very competitive, the consensus tilt was toward Trump as the favorite.

It didn't wind up an "edge". Trump won the popular vote, won the House, kept the Senate, and won every single swing state. You must agree with Kamala Harris that the election was so close.

 

[ColonelAngus]

Useless is as useless does. You are left no longer defending your original useless argument.

Sure. Show me who picked Trump to win from the media “experts”?

 

[Marener]

I refuse to believe that the majority of the country is ignorant enough to vote for any of the current crop of extremist, Socialist Democrats, but then again, NYC is getting ready to elect one, so who knows. Maybe the years of indoctrination has finally reached the tipping point. If so, we are all doomed.

Because you’re in a cult. People in a cult have a hard time understanding how people outside the cult think.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Most of the so-called "experts" were white, and whites never factor in the possibility that other whites will vote for racism.

Biden voted for racism all his life.

 

[SweetTea]

Because you’re in a cult. People in a cult have a hard time understanding how people outside the cult think.

Pretty ironic. That is exactly what someone in a cult would say about people who disagree with them.

 

[Marener]

Pretty ironic. That is exactly what someone in a cult would say about people who disagree with them.

Your sentiment that you don’t understand how people could vote differently than you is your problem.

I don’t have a problem understanding how people vote differently than me.