Joe Biden will not be renominated or reelected, due to health issues and unpopularity, but the DNC will keep him in the primaries in order to prevent serious challengers. Old Joe will then announce that he has decided not to run again, allowing the DNC unfettered power to pick the nominee.
The timing of his announcement will depend, among other things, on a political assessment of what to do with VP Kamala Harris. If Biden resigns before the end of his term, she would become an incumbent President who might help the Democrats in the 2024 elections, since they are determined on a state and district basis. As a result, her unpopularity in Red States would be largely immaterial to the overall election results.
Unless prevented by some unknown cataclysmic occurs, Donald Trump will probably be the Republican nominee for President. If anything, his continuing prosecutions will increase his popularity as a persecuted underdog. It is also likely that the Republicans will maintain control of Congress. In that event, a serious challenge to unverified vote returns in suspect states could throw the Presidential election to the House of Representatives.
The timing of his announcement will depend, among other things, on a political assessment of what to do with VP Kamala Harris. If Biden resigns before the end of his term, she would become an incumbent President who might help the Democrats in the 2024 elections, since they are determined on a state and district basis. As a result, her unpopularity in Red States would be largely immaterial to the overall election results.
Unless prevented by some unknown cataclysmic occurs, Donald Trump will probably be the Republican nominee for President. If anything, his continuing prosecutions will increase his popularity as a persecuted underdog. It is also likely that the Republicans will maintain control of Congress. In that event, a serious challenge to unverified vote returns in suspect states could throw the Presidential election to the House of Representatives.