Harris / Trump Election Polls

[SassyIrishLass]

This is a dumb thread

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

This is a dumb thread

And yet you keep showing up to it

 

[RhodyPatriot]

NY Times Sienna just dropped, first quality poll since Atlas Intel:

Trump/Harris tied nationally, Trump winning the electoral college in a blow out.

In 2020 the same poll had Biden up 8 around this time.

OH BUT HE'S TOTALLY LOSING FOLKS!

And how about them Teamsters ladies and germs?

You mean to tell me that if Kamala loses just 1 or two percent of the white working class from Biden's performance in the upper midwest - she's toast?

You mean to tell me CBS Morning News couldn't find but one Kamala supporter after traversing multiple restaurants in a PA swing county?

Well I am smart, and an educated Democrat EXPERT - so I will choose to believe the polls that got it wrong in the last two elections.

(Even though even those are coming in about 5 points worse for Harris than Biden.)

Now back to your regularly scheduled program of JOY!

 

[RhodyPatriot]

P.S. Trump's gonna win, bigly. *


*If they don't assassinate him.

 

[RhodyPatriot]

This is a dumb thread

I leave for three days and it's nothing but a wasteland of garbage over sample Dem polls - where she's still performing markedly worse than Old Man Winter did.

Maybe we should boycott the thread and let him talk to himself til election day.

Then he magically disappears, never to be seen from again.

Or at least for a while.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

 

[Robert W]

The national polls are what matter in a national election.

You seem obsessed with why anyone outside of the USA care whether you elect a fascist dictator or not. I guess you know nothing of the terror and the violence of right wingers in the USA in the 1950's and 1960's. The McCarthy Era. The KKK lynchings. Black people being subjected to violence and hate.

I thought you people had gotten a whole lot smarter than that. But apparently not.

You reported the history of the Democrats. Study more.

 

[Grumpyolman]

All these polls are completely unreliable. What is the reality? Who knows until the votes are actually cast?

 

[SweetSue92]

You were around for Covid and you think the media etc is honest and doesn't manipulate this?

Two weeks before the election the polls will miraculously "tighten" as the cretins attempt to save their reputations.

 

[RhodyPatriot]

You were around for Covid and you think the media etc is honest and doesn't manipulate this?

Two weeks before the election the polls will miraculously "tighten" as the cretins attempt to save their reputations.

Kamal is so WINNING.

He has to believe it.

He just HAS TO.

 

[sealybobo]

And yet you keep showing up to it

We all know Polls don't tell the whole story but they are telling. I think we all believed the polls after the Biden Trump debate and first fake assassination attempt.

And so when we see Kamala doing 6% better than Trump now, it makes sense. But we all still got to turn out the vote. Do you think Oprah out stumping for Kamala is helping? How about Taylor Swift's endorsement of Kamala? I heard 500,000 women registered to vote after Taylor told them to. Do you think any of them are voting for Donald I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT Trump?

 

[RhodyPatriot]

And so when we see Kamala doing 6% better than Trump now

Nope.

But even if true, she's doing 5 points worse than Biden - who was overestimated by almost 5.

Her lead in the RCP average is less than 2.

While almost certainly over-ranking her: If true?

She still loses.

The latest polling averages show non-college voters backing Trump over Harris by 11.7 points, constituting a 5.7-point swing in his direction. Moreover, in 2020, they made up nearly 60% of the electorate, and the white non-college share was a 44% plurality. These voters are also overrepresented in key swing states, including the party’s Blue Wall (Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) as well as Nevada — a demonstration of just how pivotal they will be.

Teamsters herald end of Democrats’ blue-collar dominance

On Wednesday, the Teamsters Union announced that, for the first time since 1996, they would be withholding an endorsement in the race for president. The news, while not entirely unexpected, still stung for Kamala Harris and her campaign. And it’s the latest sign of the Democratic Party’s...

unherd.com

Your map is shrinking.

And you've been caught with your pants down and no compass.

Six more weeks.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

We all know Polls don't tell the whole story but they are telling. I think we all believed the polls after the Biden Trump debate and first fake assassination attempt.

And so when we see Kamala doing 6% better than Trump now, it makes sense. But we all still got to turn out the vote. Do you think Oprah out stumping for Kamala is helping? How about Taylor Swift's endorsement of Kamala? I heard 500,000 women registered to vote after Taylor told them to. Do you think any of them are voting for Donald I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT Trump?

I think celebrity endorsements are overrated.

 

[RhodyPatriot]

I think celebrity endorsements are overrated.

Clearly:

According to the New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College poll of 2,436 likely voters nationally, 47% of respondents had a favorable opinion of Trump while 44% viewed Swift favorably.

Trump receives higher favorability rating than Taylor Swift in new poll

Swift endorsed Harris for president in an Instagram post

justthenews.com

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

But BUT NATE SILVER!! NATE SILVER!!

 

[RhodyPatriot]

But BUT NATE SILVER!! NATE SILVER!!

OH NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

 

[RhodyPatriot]

 

[sealybobo]

I think celebrity endorsements are overrated.

Some are. But when Republicans were sooo happy with Kid Rock and Hulk Hogan, but then suddenly downplay Taylor Swift? Such hypocrisy right?

And Taylor Swift isn't just any celebrity. Like Oprah, who is also helping Kamala. These are influencers.

P.S. You're probably old and wrong. I understand the youth vote is going to decide this one and have you been on social media lately? They ARE being influenced. And by people you don't even know. Social media influencers. So don't poo poo them. They will get out the vote.