Harris / Trump Election Polls

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

 

[SassyIrishLass]

Nobody cares

 

[Delldude]

Snap polls.............get back to us in a week and a half.

 

[JohnDB]

They ALL had Hillary and Biden in 2016 and 2020 respectively up by much much more.

Meaning it's not going well.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

They ALL had Hillary and Biden in 2016 and 2020 respectively up by much much more.

Meaning it's not going well.

Duh….. Trump being down really means he’s winning

Duh…..

 

[JohnDB]

Duh….. Trump being down really means he’s winning

Duh…..

View attachment 1011992

Not necessarily.
It's the margins. The polls you are quoting are MSM polling. They have a side in this. They have an agenda to show Kamala winning for the campaign contributions and to energize their base. (Everyone wants to back a winner instead of a loser)

Considering ABC's behavior during the Debate....and now Nate Silver's "GFY" to ABC....kinda gotta wonder if he has an agenda or not.

But that's why the source of the aggregate data and then the formulas matter.
The ipsos poll is made of their membership. And before they were trying to obtain UK phone logs to sell people's private data to third parties.
Not exactly good stuff.

 

[Dragonlady]

She up to 59/40 today:

Harris wins 59 times out of 100
in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
Trump wins 40 times out of 100.
There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.

Politics News | Breaking Political News, Video & Analysis-ABC News

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Do you have any idea why there is such a big discrepancy between 538 and Nate Silver?

I know he’s not there anymore, but that still seems very odd to me.

Silver has started his own website and rumour is he's being by funded by Peter Thiel. For a week, Silver promised to tell us why his new model was coming up Trump winning, and every day he founded new excuses for not telling us what factors he was weighing in coming up with these forecasts.

Then he revealled that he's voting for Harris, after the debate. I'm wondering if he's hedging his bets or whether he realizes that if he gets this call wrong, his professional reputation will be toast, and no amount of Dark Money will help.

Polling guru Nate Silver reveals he's voting for Kamala Harris

Polling guru Nate Silver said during a podcast on Wednesday that he wanted VP Kamala Harris for president, but aims to be nonpartisan for his audience.

www.yahoo.com

 

[TNHarley]

Polls are ridiculous

And has been proven. Unless you are an idiot.
They even try to make up for 2016 with all these new considerations but IDC what they say. 1500 does not represent a state. 5k people does not represent our nation.

 

[Dragonlady]

Not necessarily.
It's the margins. The polls you are quoting are MSM polling. They have a side in this. They have an agenda to show Kamala winning for the campaign contributions and to energize their base. (Everyone wants to back a winner instead of a loser)

Considering ABC's behavior during the Debate....and now Nate Silver's "GFY" to ABC....kinda gotta wonder if he has an agenda or not.

But that's why the source of the aggregate data and then the formulas matter.
The ipsos poll is made of their membership. And before they were trying to obtain UK phone logs to sell people's private data to third parties.
Not exactly good stuff.

Bullshit. They all have professional reputations to protect and they've been wrong too many times lately. Who's going to pay for their polling if they're never right?

 

[JohnDB]

Bullshit. They all have professional reputations to protect and they've been wrong too many times lately. Who's going to pay for their polling if they're never right?

Good question!
I think it's worth researching.

 

[SassyIrishLass]

And has been proven. Unless you are an idiot.
They even try to make up for 2016 with all these new considerations but IDC what they say. 1500 does not represent a state. 5k people does not represent our nation.

Taz's hope springs eternal

 

[RhodyPatriot]

Taz's hope springs eternal

He's ******* delusional.....and brainwashed.

Sad.

 

[RhodyPatriot]

And now back to reality.

KABOOM:

 

[Delldude]

She up to 59/40 today:

Not a poll..................

 

[RhodyPatriot]

Not a poll..................

It's literally insane that anyone with functioning brain cells actually truly believes Kamala has this in the bag.

It's like, time to take grandpa to a home.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

 

[Delldude]

Bro'..............MOE..................

 

[RhodyPatriot]

Hey Dont Taz Me Bro , please continue to advertise your ignorance to the rest of the class.

I would ask you if you didn't know that WI is notorious for being the most inaccurate for state polling when it comes to underestimating Trump...

AND I would ask you if you realized that this is the closest he's ever been in this poll.

But you wouldn't know any of that.

And you wouldn't know that what you just did was post insanely great news for Trump supporters.

Would you?

So embarrassing...

 

[RhodyPatriot]

Yeah. Trump's up 1 in MICHIGAN, but down 2 in Wisconsin.

According to the same ******* pollster.

Makes perfect sense.

Does anyone who frequents this message board on the Left understand even basic, rudimentary electoral mechanics?

2024 Michigan: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling

2024 Michigan: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling

www.realclearpolling.com

We already know the answer.

 

[RhodyPatriot]