Well, because it is.
Huh? You're taking the number of crimes and dividing by 365 and claiming that they are prevented. Nothing supports that.
Brought to you by the same folks who said Iraq would cost less than a billion and Reagan-nomics.
It's nowhere near 2,000,000 or even half that.
Given that 2,000,000 fantasy, it translates into 230 preventions due to guns per hour....every single hour of every single day.
Pick a day in the future...lets say July 7...if you can show me 50 news stories on 7/7/15 detailing such preventions that occurred on 7/6/15...I'll buy the statistic.
Surely if there are 230 every hour of every day, 25% of them +/- get reported by the local newspapers/radio/tv...don't they?
Accept the challenge?
Given that that number comes from actual research, done over 40 years by both private and public researchers in economics and criminology it isn't fantasy....fantasy is when you anti gun extremists pull a number out of the air and say...that is the number.....
Here is the actual research and this isn't even all of it........
I just averaged the studies......which were conducted by different researchers, from both private and public researchers, over a period of 40 years looking specifically at guns and self defense....the name of the researcher is first, then the year then the number of times they determined guns were used for self defense......notice how many of them there are and how many of them were done by gun grabbers like the clinton Justice Dept. and the obama CDC
And these aren't all of the studies either...there are more...and they support the ones below.....
A quick guide to the studies and the numbers.....the full lay out of what was studied by each study is in the links....
GunCite-Gun Control-How Often Are Guns Used in Self-Defense
GunCite Frequency of Defensive Gun Use in Previous Surveys
Field...1976....3,052,717 ( no cops, military)
DMIa 1978...2,141,512 ( no cops, military)
L.A. TIMES...1994...3,609,68 ( no cops, military)
Kleck...2.5 million ( no cops, military)
Obama's CDC....2013....500,000--3million
--------------------
Bordua...1977...1,414,544
DMIb...1978...1,098,409 ( no cops, military)
Hart...1981...1.797,461 ( no cops, military)
Mauser...1990...1,487,342 ( no cops, military)
Gallup...1993...1,621,377 ( no cops, military)
DEPT. OF JUSTICE...1994...1.5 million
Journal of Quantitative Criminology--- 989,883 times per year."
-------------------------------------------
Ohio...1982...771,043
Gallup...1991...777,152
Tarrance... 1994... 764,036 (no cops, military)
Lawerence Southwich Jr. 400,000 fewer violent crimes and at least 800,000 violent crimes deterred..
*****************************************
If you take the studies from that Kleck cites in his paper, 16 of them....and you only average the ones that exclude military and police shootings..the average becomes 2 million...I use those studies because I have the details on them...and they are still 10 studies (including Kleck's)....
So the vast majority of studies are under 2 million. The much more accurate NCVS survey is 108k.
The CDC did not estimate DGUs. Please link to the department of justice study. La times and field are very high please link those also.
The NCVS survey didn't ask about DGUs. How do you figure it's the most accurate... besides your obvious bias against the notion of valid DGUs.
It asks about crimes and what happened during the crime.
But not DGUs. Correct? I mean, NOT AT ALL. Right? So what's your point?
You need a crime for a dgu.
The conclusion necessarily follows from the premise. Your point?
Gun studies go right into guns which leads to many false positives.
Because you say so? I say otherwise. I say it gets to the subject in question.
Many people claim a DGU when it was really intimidating someone.
You don't have to kill or even shoot someone to use the gun defensively, Mr. Kellerman.
The ncvs also surveys 95k households. No gun study is anywhere close to that. Larger sample equals more accurate results.
Larger studies of things that are not DGUs, do not yield more accurate data about DGUs. I don't care how big the sample is.
The real world is biased against millions of DGUs.
The consensus of studied on DGUs strongly asserts otherwise.
Only about 50 make the news each year.
Lack of anecdotal evidence does not mean lack of verifiable evidence.
People who claim to have one are very rare.
So?
Most people don't know anyone who has had one.
Maybe because people don't run around to news agencies and everyone else to announce that they have a gun? Maybe?
Only about 230 justifiable homicides each year.
You don't have to kill someone to use the gun defensively, Mr. Kellerman.
Nothing from the real world supports millions of DGUs each year.
This is just obtuse denial of reality.