With the Clinton states from 2016 and flipping only AZ, Biden’s at 270.
Clinton's states gave her 232. Flipping Arizona would give Biden 243.
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Get this: even if Biden loses BOTH Pennsylvania and Florida, he can still win the election based on the current electoral map.
- Thread starter Billy000
- Start date
With the Clinton states from 2016 and flipping only AZ, Biden’s at 270.
Clinton's states gave her 232. Flipping Arizona would give Biden 243.
You may not get to go to Alaska but you be able to go to Mars! All you need is a spaceship!He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
If Biden takes ANY Red States, he'll win.
If Trump takes ANY Blue States, he'll win.
If Trump takes the Red States and Obama takes the Blue States, we get this:
Cook Partisan Voting Index - Wikipedia
From there, Trump needs EITHER WI or PA to get over the top.
Biden needs BOTH WI and PA to get there.
Devils_Advocate
Diamond Member
He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
Biden is not winning Texas especially after his Oil Industry comment... Only a delusional fool would think Biden has a Chance in Texas...
Polishprince
Diamond Member
- Jun 8, 2016
- 45,068
- 34,476
- 3,615
Why is it that Fox News of all sources can’t confirm any of that bullshit? You people believe the most bizarre shit lol.It's all going to fall apart fast now that it known that Hunter Biden is a pedophile who tortured Chinese children and the Chinese government has been using this information to blackmail Joe.
Hunter is hiding from the public and refuses to deny the charges, much less provide any actual PROOF of his innocence.
DrLove
Diamond Member
He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
Florida is a jump ball, but Rump's chances in PA are somewhere between slim and none!
| Quinnipiac | 10/16 - 10/19 | 1241 LV | 2.8 | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| CNN* | 10/15 - 10/20 | 843 LV | 4.0 | 53 | 43 | Biden +10 |
| USA Today/Suffolk* | 10/15 - 10/19 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 42 | Biden +7 |
| Morning Call | 10/13 - 10/20 | 416 LV | 5.5 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
- Thread starter
- #66
Lol Trump is behind in the polls in both of those states considerably. You’re also making the unfounded point that Florida is a lock for Trump. It’s not. At best for Trump, Florida is a tossup. Right now, Biden has a slight lead in average polling.You may not get to go to Alaska but you be able to go to Mars! All you need is a spaceship!He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
If Biden takes ANY Red States, he'll win.
If Trump takes ANY Blue States, he'll win.
If Trump takes the Red States and Obama takes the Blue States, we get this:
Cook Partisan Voting Index - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
From there, Trump needs EITHER WI or PA to get over the top.
Biden needs BOTH WI and PA to get there.
- Moderator
- #67
He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed.
Highly unlikely scenario
- Banned
- #69
Lol Trump is behind in the polls in both of those states considerably. You’re also making the unfounded point that Florida is a lock for Trump. It’s not. At best for Trump, Florida is a tossup. Right now, Biden has a slight lead in average polling.You may not get to go to Alaska but you be able to go to Mars! All you need is a spaceship!He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
If Biden takes ANY Red States, he'll win.
If Trump takes ANY Blue States, he'll win.
If Trump takes the Red States and Obama takes the Blue States, we get this:
Cook Partisan Voting Index - Wikipedia
From there, Trump needs EITHER WI or PA to get over the top.
Biden needs BOTH WI and PA to get there.
What poll? Who did they talk to? Did they talk to any of the over 10K people that were at the rally in Ocala going on now? How about the other thousands that will be at the other rally he will do later this afternoon?
Did they poll anybody in the 30K vehicles in Miami that did the motor rally?
Driving around Florida it is rare to see any support for this Biden asshole while we all kinds of Trump support.
No way is Biden going to win in Florida. Maybe a few Negroes, Moon Bats and some Illegals will vote for him but that will be short of what is needed to win the state.
- Thread starter
- #70
To be clear, Biden wouldn’t need Texas if he lost FL and PA so long as he won AZ and Georgia. That scenario of getting 2 out of those 3 states is actually quite plausible given the current polling.He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed.
Highly unlikely scenario
- Moderator
- #71
To be clear, Biden wouldn’t need Texas if he lost FL and PA so long as he won AZ and Georgia. That scenario of getting 2 out of those 3 states is actually quite plausible given the current polling.He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed.
Highly unlikely scenario
There is no reality in which Biden loses Pennsylvania while winning Georgia or Texas.
- Thread starter
- #73
Um well all of those states are independent of each other. Biden probably won’t lose PA. The point is, if he somehow lost both of those crucial states, he would still have a path.To be clear, Biden wouldn’t need Texas if he lost FL and PA so long as he won AZ and Georgia. That scenario of getting 2 out of those 3 states is actually quite plausible given the current polling.He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed.
Highly unlikely scenario
There is no reality in which Biden loses Pennsylvania while winning Georgia or Texas.
Dick Foster
Platinum Member
Thing is he'll lose all of those and more. Many more.He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
Trump will win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin,and North Carolina. He could also win Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Colorado.
Texas is not in play.
Biden has no path to victory.
Texas is not in play.
Biden has no path to victory.
- Thread starter
- #76
Dude you are so far removed from reality lol. What possible indication do you have for this to be true? Based on what facts?Trump will win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin,and North Carolina. He could also win Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Colorado.
Texas is not in play.
Biden has no path to victory.
Dude you are so far removed from reality lol. What possible indication do you have for this to be true? Based on what facts?Trump will win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin,and North Carolina. He could also win Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Colorado.
Texas is not in play.
Biden has no path to victory.
It's called a prediction.
I called it in 2016, and I am calling it now- Trump will win.
Cya in 10 days.
Norman
Diamond Member
- Sep 24, 2010
- 31,254
- 15,176
- 1,590
You may not get to go to Alaska but you be able to go to Mars! All you need is a spaceship!He would simply need to win Arizona, Texas and Georgia in addition to the blue safe states he is guaranteed. Currently he is ahead in AZ and Georgia is a tossup. Texas would be more of a stretch, but it’s doable. One poll has him deadlocked with Trump.
If Biden takes ANY Red States, he'll win.
If Trump takes ANY Blue States, he'll win.
If Trump takes the Red States and Obama takes the Blue States, we get this:
Cook Partisan Voting Index - Wikipedia
From there, Trump needs EITHER WI or PA to get over the top.
Biden needs BOTH WI and PA to get there.
Obama is running for president? Oh of course, Biden is going for the senate.
It is of course neat exercise to consider the different scenarios. But once you realize that Trump takes both PA and Florida, and then all those other states... how is Biden going to win with closer to single digit votes?
- Thread starter
- #79
My point is, if Trump won, it sure as hell wouldn’t even be close to the path you laid out lolDude you are so far removed from reality lol. What possible indication do you have for this to be true? Based on what facts?Trump will win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Florida, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin,and North Carolina. He could also win Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Colorado.
Texas is not in play.
Biden has no path to victory.
It's called a prediction.
I called it in 2016, and I am calling it now- Trump will win.
Cya in 10 days.
Orangecat
Diamond Member
- Jun 22, 2020
- 16,579
- 18,346
- 2,288
That's not a prediction, it's a CYA statement.I’ll say as my official prediction that I don’t rule out Trump winning the election.
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