Donald trump's fall in the polls is accelerating, Nate Silver warns


trump's policies, both domestic ecnomic and foreign are a disaster for the Repub party. His approval is diving quickly and you can expect it to pick up steam as his tariffs cause prices to spike and Russia plays him on his attempt at a cease fire deal in Ukraine. But the top mover is the economy. His policies are moving the US closer to a recession...or worse.

This Nate Silver?


"The veteran pollster said the numbers were good "but not great" for either candidate, as his forecast model showed Harris winning exactly 270 electoral votes a day out from the election.

Silver has maintained that "50-50 is the only responsible forecast," as polling data remains inconclusive on which candidate will win the election."

 
You and that little mouse in your pocket
And the millions of others like me. You twits are so popular you have to create socks for support.
 

trump's policies, both domestic ecnomic and foreign are a disaster for the Repub party. His approval is diving quickly and you can expect it to pick up steam as his tariffs cause prices to spike and Russia plays him on his attempt at a cease fire deal in Ukraine. But the top mover is the economy. His policies are moving the US closer to a recession...or worse.
/----/ Another fake poll.
1742041271429.webp
 
Trump thinks he has nothing to lose since he’s a lame duck
The Orange Imbecile may not care about his poll numbers, but congressional Repubs do. They may be able to hide from their constituents by not holding town hall meetings but they eventually have to face them in the voting booth. It's still early, but if things continue as they are we may see a blue wave in 2026.
 
Americans don’t like Recessions and Inflation

U.S. consumers are starting to crack as tariffs add to inflation, recession concerns​

It’s not just Walmart.

The leaders of companies that serve everyone from penny-pinching grocery shoppers to first-class travelers are seeing cracks in demand, a shift after resilient consumers propped up the U.S. economy for years despite prolonged inflation. On top of high interest rates and persistent inflation, CEOs are now grappling with how to handle new hurdles like on-again, off-again tariffs, mass government layoffs and worsening consumer sentiment.

Across earnings calls and investor presentations in recent weeks, retailers and other consumer-facing businesses warned that first-quarter sales were coming in softer than expected and the rest of the year might be tougher than Wall Street thought. Many of the executives blamed unseasonably cool weather and a “dynamic” macroeconomic environment, but the early days of President Donald Trump’s second term have brought new challenges — perhaps none greater than trying to plan a global business at a time when his administration shifts its trade policies by the hour.

 

U.S. consumers are starting to crack as tariffs add to inflation, recession concerns​

It’s not just Walmart.

The leaders of companies that serve everyone from penny-pinching grocery shoppers to first-class travelers are seeing cracks in demand, a shift after resilient consumers propped up the U.S. economy for years despite prolonged inflation. On top of high interest rates and persistent inflation, CEOs are now grappling with how to handle new hurdles like on-again, off-again tariffs, mass government layoffs and worsening consumer sentiment.

Across earnings calls and investor presentations in recent weeks, retailers and other consumer-facing businesses warned that first-quarter sales were coming in softer than expected and the rest of the year might be tougher than Wall Street thought. Many of the executives blamed unseasonably cool weather and a “dynamic” macroeconomic environment, but the early days of President Donald Trump’s second term have brought new challenges — perhaps none greater than trying to plan a global business at a time when his administration shifts its trade policies by the hour.

Trump is playing the same act he did with COVID

Don’t worry, it will all be over soon
 
So your vote is to continue the status quo.
Yes. The status quo of not invading Greenland and placing tariffs on Canada for no reason.

I vote against destructive nonsensical policies.
 
/----/ Another fake poll.
View attachment 1089657

The Orange Imbecile may not care about his poll numbers, but congressional Repubs do. They may be able to hide from their constituents by not holding town hall meetings but they eventually have to face them in the voting booth. It's still early, but if things continue as they are we may see a blue wave in 2026.

U.S. consumers are starting to crack as tariffs add to inflation, recession concerns​

It’s not just Walmart.

The leaders of companies that serve everyone from penny-pinching grocery shoppers to first-class travelers are seeing cracks in demand, a shift after resilient consumers propped up the U.S. economy for years despite prolonged inflation. On top of high interest rates and persistent inflation, CEOs are now grappling with how to handle new hurdles like on-again, off-again tariffs, mass government layoffs and worsening consumer sentiment.

Across earnings calls and investor presentations in recent weeks, retailers and other consumer-facing businesses warned that first-quarter sales were coming in softer than expected and the rest of the year might be tougher than Wall Street thought. Many of the executives blamed unseasonably cool weather and a “dynamic” macroeconomic environment, but the early days of President Donald Trump’s second term have brought new challenges — perhaps none greater than trying to plan a global business at a time when his administration shifts its trade policies by the hour.


Trump is playing the same act he did with COVID

Don’t worry, it will all be over soon

So your vote is to continue the status quo.

Yes. The status quo of not invading Greenland and placing tariffs on Canada for no reason.

I vote against destructive nonsensical policies.

I could show polls the exact OPPOSITE of what you Leftists say. But then, the whole thing becomes a battle of polls. My guy/gal says this, your guy/gal says that.

Look, you wanna make pretend? Then make pretend! I know you think Trump is going to fail by your position. You know that I think Trump is going to succeed by my position.

Personally for the near future, I think that YOU have the upper hand. But, going into next year, it is murky. Both of our camps better hope!
 
Yes. The status quo of not invading Greenland and placing tariffs on Canada for no reason.

I vote against destructive nonsensical policies.
Nobody is invading anyone. As for the tariffs, they are needed to level the playing field. But most importantly, it is imperative to our national security that we produce our own stuff.
 
I could show polls the exact OPPOSITE of what you Leftists say. But then, the whole thing becomes a battle of polls. My guy/gal says this, your guy/gal says that.

Look, you wanna make pretend? Then make pretend! I know you think Trump is going to fail by your position. You know that I think Trump is going to succeed by my position.

Personally for the near future, I think that YOU have the upper hand. But, going into next year, it is murky. Both of our camps better hope!
 
Nobody is invading anyone. As for the tariffs, they are needed to level the playing field. But most importantly, it is imperative to our national security that we produce our own stuff.
How uneven was the playing field with Canada that we needed to place a tariff of 25% on most everything?
 
I could show polls the exact OPPOSITE of what you Leftists say. But then, the whole thing becomes a battle of polls. My guy/gal says this, your guy/gal says that.

Look, you wanna make pretend? Then make pretend! I know you think Trump is going to fail by your position. You know that I think Trump is going to succeed by my position.

Personally for the near future, I think that YOU have the upper hand. But, going into next year, it is murky. Both of our camps better hope!
Trump is entering uncharted territory and a huge risk where none is really needed.

The plus side could mean more American jobs
The negative would mean inflation, recession and a global retaliation against the US

Do you feel lucky?
 

HEHEHEHEHEHE, but he is the PRESIDENT, like it or not. So what happens is----------->if his policies work, you are screwed. If they do not, then maybe we are screwed.

You are going to have to push this bullsh** until early 26. Better hope it works-)
 
HEHEHEHEHEHE, but he is the PRESIDENT, like it or not. So what happens is----------->if his policies work, you are screwed. If they do not, then maybe we are screwed.

You are going to have to push this bullsh** until early 26. Better hope it works-)
How will we know if his policies worked, exactly?
 

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