My first problem with this is in principle. This is basically assistance to one group of people, which ought not to be done. Whatver the parameters are, somebody is going to qualify and somebody isn't. Say your home has to be underwater by 125% but yours is only 120%, is that fair? I am generally opposed to programs that benefit one group rather than everybody.
The second problem is the cost, somebody is going to take a hit. Who? The banks? You all know what happens then, whatever the costs are in terms of lost revenue gets passed on to customers or to taxpayers in terms of tax writeoffs. There's no free lunch, never has been and never will be.
Thirdly, is it worth it? This looks like pure political bullshit by Obama, to make him look like he's doing something. It's not like this has any chance of fixing the housing crisis, as it is now not that many homeowners will be affected. Consider this, from AEI blog:
snippet:
—The program only applies to those mortgages that are held or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—probably 800,000 mortgages, according to their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency. This means that the total saving for these homeowners would be $2.4 million annually.
BFD
—If the interest on these mortgages is reduced, the losses will be taken in part by Fannie and Freddie, meaning that the taxpayers will pick them up.
I thought so.
—If the losses are taken by the holders of securities guaranteed by Fannie and Freddie, the losses will be taken by the investors in these securities, and this new government intervention will mean that it will be harder to sell Fannie and Freddie securities to investors in the future.
Uhuh.
—Finally, the vast majority of the holders of these Fannie and Freddie securities are banks and S&Ls, which are already weak because they suffered vast losses on mortgages and mortgage-backed securities they held in the past. Reducing their revenues further at this point will of course reduce the funds they have to lend to businesses, thus keeping unemployment high.
Uhuh.
The Enterprise Blog