healthmyths
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- Sep 19, 2011
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two points immediately struck my attention:The statistical modeling over the 5 to 10 years utilizes many more metrics than the analysis you provide. I have attached a 15 page summary of new data and the indications the data is providing.
"growing knowledge that global warming may impact financial investments and loss factors farther into the future, a need for catastrophe models to be able to extend a decade or further is becoming highly desirable. Additionally, being able to transform and combine global warming impact models with catastrophe models is vital in communicating to risk analysts and government bodies in a language which they more understand, financials. With the ceiling for potential high it may be possible to direct world leaders in a direction that protects Earth and ourselves from catastrophe."
Besides the analysis you provide and I provide, look at observational metrics; what we see going on. Let's start with Hurricane Ian and the higher instance of catastrophic hurricanes the past few years, drought throughout the world. Look at US cities who have experienced new high temperatures over the past year. In the past, new high temps usually were a degree or so above the old high. Now the new highs are are multiple degrees higher. Look at was happening to our ice packs. You don't have to be a weather scientist to see something is going on.
A very simplistic cost benefit analysis of you being right or wrong compared to me being right or wrong. was provided earlier.
First of all who says these events are related to recent climate change? YOU? Who are you?
You wrote:higher instance of catastrophic hurricanes the past few years,
Where is your proof of catastrophic hurricanes?
23 of the top 36 hurricanes occurred in the 20th century. Many before "climate change" made the MSM attention! Again you have to remember BAD NEWS SELLS ADVERTISINGS!!!
As of March 2022, there have been 1,631 tropical cyclones of at least tropical storm intensity, and 935 of hurricane intensity within the Atlantic Ocean since 1851, the first Atlantic hurricane season to be included in the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record
List of Atlantic hurricane records - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
Pre-1600 Atlantic hurricane seasons - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
Scientists have identified 13 major drought episodes—when 10 percent or more of the country is in drought—that affected the United States between 1900 and 2014. Of these, 11 covered 10 percent or more of the United States (excepting Alaska and Hawaii) for at least 90 percent of their duration.
Historical Drought
The 1930s “Dust Bowl” drought remains the most significant drought—meteorological and agricultural—in the United States’ historical record.
www.drought.gov
Drought is a normal climate pattern that has occurred in varying degrees of length, severity, and size throughout history.
Tree ring archives indicate that agricultural droughts such as those that happened in the United States during the 1930s Dust Bowl era have occurred occasionally over the last 2,000 years, and climate model simulations suggest that droughts that may last several years to even decades occur naturally in the southwestern U.S.
Now I didn't look at your 15 page summary but what you wrote about it being so scientific..5 to 10 years utilizes many more metrics...
Question: Do they go back 2,000 years for example as the above mentioned "over the last 2,000 years"?
My whole point of showing just these 2 points is that most "scientists" that believe in "global warming" (NOTE I'm using the old fashion term because it is too specific to be substantiated so it is more woke to say "climate change") don't seem to answer one simple question that maybe you ElmerMudd can answer.
Why in North pole is there 90 billion barrels of oil from animals and plants (diatoms) that lived millions of years in the Arctic circle?" Why Is There So Much Oil in the Arctic?
The Arctic Ocean used to be so warm it was practically Mediterranean, an international drilling team has found. Although the Earth was known to have warmed rapidly 55 million years ago, no one had expected to find evidence of such high temperatures so close to the North Pole.
North Pole once enjoyed Mediterranean climate - Nature
Arctic ocean drilling reveals bygone greenhouse world.
www.nature.com
Finally... I'm not saying this... experts are! Droughts occurred 2,000 years ago. The The Arctic Ocean used to be so warm it was practically Mediterranean, so why does the MSM keep pushing "Global warming"???